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As the rupee touches 80 to the dollar, what does this mean for India’s economy? -Deepanshu Mohan

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Costlier imports and the widening of the current account deficit is likely to eat into India’s foreign currency exchange reserves.

The Indian rupee touched a historical low, trading almost at Rs 80 against the US dollar on Wednesday. A knee-jerk, macro-analytical response studying India’s currency performance would mistakenly see this trend in isolation, while projecting a weakening of macro-economic fundamentals to be leading towards a depreciation.

Looking closely at the numbers it does seem to be the case but India’s macro-economic woes are being accentuated by external factors. For example, a tightening of the US Federal Reserve’s short-term interest rates – due to high inflationary expectations – has occurred at a time when the dollar is strengthening in its relative value, influencing weaker currencies, like the Indian rupee.

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