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Bihar’s development record under Nitish Kumar -Roshan Kishore

-Livemint.com

Will a development record alone be enough to win elections?

There is a popular saying in Bihar that people in the state do not cast their vote, but vote their caste. Lalu Prasad Yadav’s 15-year rule till 2005 was built on the Muslim-Yadav equation. The 2010 elections marked a break in this trend, according to many commentators. In a column after the 2010 Bihar elections, political scientist Milan Vaishnav attributed Nitish Kumar’s (who had then allied with the Bharatiya Janata Party) landslide victory to a clever mix of development and caste issues as an election strategy. The former was completely absent in Yadav’s politics, wrote Vaishnav.

Kumar seems to have maintained his good track record in his second term. Bihar’s performance on many socio-economic indicators after 2005, when Kumar took over, is not only better than its own performance in the previous decade, but also of comparable states or the national average. Among the states we have taken for comparison with Bihar are Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal.

Bihar’s economic growth has been impressive under Kumar’s tenure. The average annual growth of Bihar’s economic output was the highest among selected states. Its performance in agriculture was second only to Madhya Pradesh.

Writing before the 2010 assembly elections, economist Swaminathan Aiyar attributed the economic turnaround of Bihar to improved law and order situation under Kumar. A look at the National Crime Records Bureau data shows significant reduction in crimes such as dacoity and robbery under Kumar’s tenure.

Another ASSOCHAM study released in 2013 cited public investment as an important growth stimulus to growth in Bihar unlike states such as Gujarat where private investment was the leader.

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