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Coronavirus waves inevitable without appropriate protocol: experts -Jacob Koshy

-The Hindu

Preventive vaccination, data analysis, behavioural changes crucial, say epidemiologists

Recurring waves of coronavirus infections are inevitable if existing practices such as expanding India's vaccination drive and following COVID protocol are not adhered to, say experts.

Earlier last week, Principal Scientific Advisor K. VijayRaghavan had said, “A phase three is inevitable, given the higher levels of circulating virus.”

“There is, however, no clear time-line on when this third phase will occur. We should be prepared for new waves and COVID appropriate behaviour and vaccine upgrades are the way forward,” he added.

On Friday, however, he qualified his statement saying that such a wave wasn't a foregone conclusion. “If we take strong measures, the third COVID wave may not happen in all the places or indeed anywhere,” Dr. Vijay Raghavan said.

After cases peaked and registered a steady decline since September and well into early March, life in India had gone back to normal with the inevitable crowds. While multiple serology surveys by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) had suggested that at most 21% of India had been exposed to the coronavirus, the subsequent decisions to have a staggered vaccine rollout that would cover only the most at-risk populations and to be entirely dependent on locally produced vaccines reflected the government's calculation that a devastating second wave was unlikely.

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