Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 73 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]Code Context
trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);
}
$message = 'The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 73 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.' $stackFrame = (int) 1 $trace = [ (int) 0 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ServerRequest.php', 'line' => (int) 2421, 'function' => 'deprecationWarning', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead.' ] ], (int) 1 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php', 'line' => (int) 73, 'function' => 'offsetGet', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ServerRequest', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'catslug' ] ], (int) 2 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Controller/Controller.php', 'line' => (int) 610, 'function' => 'printArticle', 'class' => 'App\Controller\ArtileDetailController', 'object' => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ], (int) 3 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php', 'line' => (int) 120, 'function' => 'invokeAction', 'class' => 'Cake\Controller\Controller', 'object' => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ], (int) 4 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php', 'line' => (int) 94, 'function' => '_invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {} ] ], (int) 5 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/BaseApplication.php', 'line' => (int) 235, 'function' => 'dispatch', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 6 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\BaseApplication', 'object' => object(App\Application) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 7 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 162, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 8 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 9 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 88, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 10 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 11 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 96, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 12 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 13 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 51, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 14 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Server.php', 'line' => (int) 98, 'function' => 'run', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\MiddlewareQueue) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 15 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/webroot/index.php', 'line' => (int) 39, 'function' => 'run', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Server', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Server) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ] ] $frame = [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php', 'line' => (int) 73, 'function' => 'offsetGet', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ServerRequest', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) { trustProxy => false [protected] params => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] data => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] query => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] cookies => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] _environment => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] url => 'latest-news-updates/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033/print' [protected] base => '' [protected] webroot => '/' [protected] here => '/latest-news-updates/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033/print' [protected] trustedProxies => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] _input => null [protected] _detectors => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] _detectorCache => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] stream => object(Zend\Diactoros\PhpInputStream) {} [protected] uri => object(Zend\Diactoros\Uri) {} [protected] session => object(Cake\Http\Session) {} [protected] attributes => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] emulatedAttributes => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] uploadedFiles => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] protocol => null [protected] requestTarget => null [private] deprecatedProperties => [ [maximum depth reached] ] }, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'catslug' ] ]deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311 Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421 App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::printArticle() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 73 Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51 Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98
Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 74 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]Code Context
trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);
}
$message = 'The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 74 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.' $stackFrame = (int) 1 $trace = [ (int) 0 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ServerRequest.php', 'line' => (int) 2421, 'function' => 'deprecationWarning', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead.' ] ], (int) 1 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php', 'line' => (int) 74, 'function' => 'offsetGet', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ServerRequest', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'artileslug' ] ], (int) 2 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Controller/Controller.php', 'line' => (int) 610, 'function' => 'printArticle', 'class' => 'App\Controller\ArtileDetailController', 'object' => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ], (int) 3 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php', 'line' => (int) 120, 'function' => 'invokeAction', 'class' => 'Cake\Controller\Controller', 'object' => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ], (int) 4 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php', 'line' => (int) 94, 'function' => '_invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {} ] ], (int) 5 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/BaseApplication.php', 'line' => (int) 235, 'function' => 'dispatch', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 6 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\BaseApplication', 'object' => object(App\Application) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 7 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 162, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 8 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 9 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 88, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 10 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 11 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 96, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 12 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 13 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 51, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 14 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Server.php', 'line' => (int) 98, 'function' => 'run', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\MiddlewareQueue) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 15 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/webroot/index.php', 'line' => (int) 39, 'function' => 'run', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Server', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Server) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ] ] $frame = [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php', 'line' => (int) 74, 'function' => 'offsetGet', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ServerRequest', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) { trustProxy => false [protected] params => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] data => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] query => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] cookies => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] _environment => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] url => 'latest-news-updates/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033/print' [protected] base => '' [protected] webroot => '/' [protected] here => '/latest-news-updates/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033/print' [protected] trustedProxies => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] _input => null [protected] _detectors => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] _detectorCache => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] stream => object(Zend\Diactoros\PhpInputStream) {} [protected] uri => object(Zend\Diactoros\Uri) {} [protected] session => object(Cake\Http\Session) {} [protected] attributes => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] emulatedAttributes => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] uploadedFiles => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] protocol => null [protected] requestTarget => null [private] deprecatedProperties => [ [maximum depth reached] ] }, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'artileslug' ] ]deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311 Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421 App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::printArticle() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 74 Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51 Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98
Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]Code Contextif (Configure::read('debug')) {
trigger_error($message, E_USER_WARNING);
} else {
$response = object(Cake\Http\Response) { 'status' => (int) 200, 'contentType' => 'text/html', 'headers' => [ 'Content-Type' => [ [maximum depth reached] ] ], 'file' => null, 'fileRange' => [], 'cookies' => object(Cake\Http\Cookie\CookieCollection) {}, 'cacheDirectives' => [], 'body' => '<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd"> <html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"> <head> <link rel="canonical" href="https://im4change.in/<pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr6802a7cb69ee1-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr6802a7cb69ee1-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Notice</b> (8)</a>: Undefined variable: urlPrefix [<b>APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp</b>, line <b>8</b>]<div id="cakeErr6802a7cb69ee1-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr6802a7cb69ee1-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr6802a7cb69ee1-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr6802a7cb69ee1-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr6802a7cb69ee1-context').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr6802a7cb69ee1-code" class="cake-code-dump" style="display: none;"><code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"></span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">head</span><span style="color: #007700">> </span></span></code> <span class="code-highlight"><code><span style="color: #000000"> <link rel="canonical" href="<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">Configure</span><span style="color: #007700">::</span><span style="color: #0000BB">read</span><span style="color: #007700">(</span><span style="color: #DD0000">'SITE_URL'</span><span style="color: #007700">); </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$urlPrefix</span><span style="color: #007700">;</span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">category</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">slug</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>/<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">seo_url</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>.html"/> </span></code></span> <code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"> </span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">meta http</span><span style="color: #007700">-</span><span style="color: #0000BB">equiv</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"Content-Type" </span><span style="color: #0000BB">content</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"text/html; charset=utf-8"</span><span style="color: #007700">/> </span></span></code></pre><pre id="cakeErr6802a7cb69ee1-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$viewFile = '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp' $dataForView = [ 'article_current' => object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 37902, 'title' => 'Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian', 'subheading' => '', 'description' => '<div align="justify"> -IANS<br /> <br /> <em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /> </em><br /> Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /> <br /> Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /> <br /> Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book &ldquo;Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,&rdquo; he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /> <br /> &ldquo;Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.&rdquo;<br /> <br /> &ldquo;In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),&rdquo; Subramanian says in the chapter &lsquo;The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation &mdash; Political and Economic.&rsquo;<br /> <br /> The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect &mdash;whether it was 2% points, or much less. &ldquo;After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,&rdquo; he writes<br /> <br /> &rdquo;...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.&rdquo;<br /> <br /> Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /> </div>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Hindu, 29 November, 2018, https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 4686033, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], '[dirty]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[original]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[virtual]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[invalid]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[repository]' => 'Articles' }, 'articleid' => (int) 37902, 'metaTitle' => 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian', 'metaKeywords' => 'Unorganized Manufacturing Sector,Unorganized Workers,informal economy,informal employment,Informal Trade,Informal Work,Informal Workers,Demonetisation,Note Ban,Economic Growth', 'metaDesc' => ' -IANS The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note...', 'disp' => '<div align="justify">-IANS<br /><br /><em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /></em><br />Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /><br />Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /><br />Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book &ldquo;Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,&rdquo; he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /><br />&ldquo;Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.&rdquo;<br /><br />&ldquo;In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),&rdquo; Subramanian says in the chapter &lsquo;The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation &mdash; Political and Economic.&rsquo;<br /><br />The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect &mdash;whether it was 2% points, or much less. &ldquo;After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,&rdquo; he writes<br /><br />&rdquo;...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.&rdquo;<br /><br />Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true" title="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>', 'lang' => 'English', 'SITE_URL' => 'https://im4change.in/', 'site_title' => 'im4change', 'adminprix' => 'admin' ] $article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 37902, 'title' => 'Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian', 'subheading' => '', 'description' => '<div align="justify"> -IANS<br /> <br /> <em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /> </em><br /> Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /> <br /> Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /> <br /> Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book &ldquo;Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,&rdquo; he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /> <br /> &ldquo;Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.&rdquo;<br /> <br /> &ldquo;In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),&rdquo; Subramanian says in the chapter &lsquo;The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation &mdash; Political and Economic.&rsquo;<br /> <br /> The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect &mdash;whether it was 2% points, or much less. &ldquo;After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,&rdquo; he writes<br /> <br /> &rdquo;...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.&rdquo;<br /> <br /> Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /> </div>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Hindu, 29 November, 2018, https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 4686033, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 3 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 4 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 5 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 6 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 7 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 8 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 9 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {} ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ '*' => true, 'id' => false ], '[dirty]' => [], '[original]' => [], '[virtual]' => [], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [], '[invalid]' => [], '[repository]' => 'Articles' } $articleid = (int) 37902 $metaTitle = 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian' $metaKeywords = 'Unorganized Manufacturing Sector,Unorganized Workers,informal economy,informal employment,Informal Trade,Informal Work,Informal Workers,Demonetisation,Note Ban,Economic Growth' $metaDesc = ' -IANS The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note...' $disp = '<div align="justify">-IANS<br /><br /><em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /></em><br />Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /><br />Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /><br />Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book &ldquo;Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,&rdquo; he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /><br />&ldquo;Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.&rdquo;<br /><br />&ldquo;In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),&rdquo; Subramanian says in the chapter &lsquo;The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation &mdash; Political and Economic.&rsquo;<br /><br />The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect &mdash;whether it was 2% points, or much less. &ldquo;After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,&rdquo; he writes<br /><br />&rdquo;...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.&rdquo;<br /><br />Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true" title="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>' $lang = 'English' $SITE_URL = 'https://im4change.in/' $site_title = 'im4change' $adminprix = 'admin'</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp, line 8 Cake\View\View::_evaluate() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1413 Cake\View\View::_render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1374 Cake\View\View::renderLayout() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 927 Cake\View\View::render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 885 Cake\Controller\Controller::render() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 791 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 126 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51</pre></div></pre>latest-news-updates/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033.html"/> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"/> <link href="https://im4change.in/css/control.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="all"/> <title>LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian | Im4change.org</title> <meta name="description" content=" -IANS The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note..."/> <script src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-1.10.2.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-migrate.min.js"></script> <script language="javascript" type="text/javascript"> $(document).ready(function () { var img = $("img")[0]; // Get my img elem var pic_real_width, pic_real_height; $("<img/>") // Make in memory copy of image to avoid css issues .attr("src", $(img).attr("src")) .load(function () { pic_real_width = this.width; // Note: $(this).width() will not pic_real_height = this.height; // work for in memory images. }); }); </script> <style type="text/css"> @media screen { div.divFooter { display: block; } } @media print { .printbutton { display: none !important; } } </style> </head> <body> <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" width="98%" align="center"> <tr> <td class="top_bg"> <div class="divFooter"> <img src="https://im4change.in/images/logo1.jpg" height="59" border="0" alt="Resource centre on India's rural distress" style="padding-top:14px;"/> </div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td id="topspace"> </td> </tr> <tr id="topspace"> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-bottom:1px solid #000; padding-top:10px;" class="printbutton"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%"> <h1 class="news_headlines" style="font-style:normal"> <strong>Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian</strong></h1> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%" style="font-family:Arial, 'Segoe Script', 'Segoe UI', sans-serif, serif"><font size="3"> <div align="justify">-IANS<br /><br /><em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /></em><br />Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /><br />Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /><br />Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book “Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,” he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /><br />“Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.”<br /><br />“In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),” Subramanian says in the chapter ‘The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation — Political and Economic.’<br /><br />The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect —whether it was 2% points, or much less. “After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,” he writes<br /><br />”...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.”<br /><br />Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true" title="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div> </font> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-top:1px solid #000; border-bottom:1px solid #000;padding-top:10px;"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> </table></body> </html>' } $maxBufferLength = (int) 8192 $file = '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php' $line = (int) 853 $message = 'Unable to emit headers. 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'' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr6802a7cb69ee1-code" class="cake-code-dump" style="display: none;"><code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"></span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">head</span><span style="color: #007700">> </span></span></code> <span class="code-highlight"><code><span style="color: #000000"> <link rel="canonical" href="<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">Configure</span><span style="color: #007700">::</span><span style="color: #0000BB">read</span><span style="color: #007700">(</span><span style="color: #DD0000">'SITE_URL'</span><span style="color: #007700">); </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$urlPrefix</span><span style="color: #007700">;</span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">category</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">slug</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>/<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">seo_url</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>.html"/> </span></code></span> <code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"> </span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">meta http</span><span style="color: #007700">-</span><span style="color: #0000BB">equiv</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"Content-Type" </span><span style="color: #0000BB">content</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"text/html; charset=utf-8"</span><span style="color: #007700">/> </span></span></code></pre><pre id="cakeErr6802a7cb69ee1-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$viewFile = '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp' $dataForView = [ 'article_current' => object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 37902, 'title' => 'Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian', 'subheading' => '', 'description' => '<div align="justify"> -IANS<br /> <br /> <em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /> </em><br /> Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /> <br /> Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /> <br /> Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book &ldquo;Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,&rdquo; he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /> <br /> &ldquo;Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.&rdquo;<br /> <br /> &ldquo;In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),&rdquo; Subramanian says in the chapter &lsquo;The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation &mdash; Political and Economic.&rsquo;<br /> <br /> The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect &mdash;whether it was 2% points, or much less. &ldquo;After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,&rdquo; he writes<br /> <br /> &rdquo;...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.&rdquo;<br /> <br /> Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /> </div>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Hindu, 29 November, 2018, https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 4686033, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], '[dirty]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[original]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[virtual]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[invalid]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[repository]' => 'Articles' }, 'articleid' => (int) 37902, 'metaTitle' => 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian', 'metaKeywords' => 'Unorganized Manufacturing Sector,Unorganized Workers,informal economy,informal employment,Informal Trade,Informal Work,Informal Workers,Demonetisation,Note Ban,Economic Growth', 'metaDesc' => ' -IANS The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note...', 'disp' => '<div align="justify">-IANS<br /><br /><em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /></em><br />Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /><br />Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /><br />Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book &ldquo;Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,&rdquo; he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /><br />&ldquo;Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.&rdquo;<br /><br />&ldquo;In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),&rdquo; Subramanian says in the chapter &lsquo;The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation &mdash; Political and Economic.&rsquo;<br /><br />The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect &mdash;whether it was 2% points, or much less. &ldquo;After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,&rdquo; he writes<br /><br />&rdquo;...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.&rdquo;<br /><br />Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true" title="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>', 'lang' => 'English', 'SITE_URL' => 'https://im4change.in/', 'site_title' => 'im4change', 'adminprix' => 'admin' ] $article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 37902, 'title' => 'Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian', 'subheading' => '', 'description' => '<div align="justify"> -IANS<br /> <br /> <em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /> </em><br /> Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /> <br /> Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /> <br /> Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book &ldquo;Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,&rdquo; he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /> <br /> &ldquo;Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.&rdquo;<br /> <br /> &ldquo;In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),&rdquo; Subramanian says in the chapter &lsquo;The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation &mdash; Political and Economic.&rsquo;<br /> <br /> The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect &mdash;whether it was 2% points, or much less. &ldquo;After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,&rdquo; he writes<br /> <br /> &rdquo;...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.&rdquo;<br /> <br /> Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /> </div>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Hindu, 29 November, 2018, https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 4686033, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 3 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 4 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 5 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 6 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 7 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 8 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 9 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {} ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ '*' => true, 'id' => false ], '[dirty]' => [], '[original]' => [], '[virtual]' => [], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [], '[invalid]' => [], '[repository]' => 'Articles' } $articleid = (int) 37902 $metaTitle = 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian' $metaKeywords = 'Unorganized Manufacturing Sector,Unorganized Workers,informal economy,informal employment,Informal Trade,Informal Work,Informal Workers,Demonetisation,Note Ban,Economic Growth' $metaDesc = ' -IANS The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note...' $disp = '<div align="justify">-IANS<br /><br /><em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /></em><br />Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /><br />Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /><br />Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book &ldquo;Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,&rdquo; he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /><br />&ldquo;Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.&rdquo;<br /><br />&ldquo;In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),&rdquo; Subramanian says in the chapter &lsquo;The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation &mdash; Political and Economic.&rsquo;<br /><br />The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect &mdash;whether it was 2% points, or much less. &ldquo;After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,&rdquo; he writes<br /><br />&rdquo;...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.&rdquo;<br /><br />Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true" title="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>' $lang = 'English' $SITE_URL = 'https://im4change.in/' $site_title = 'im4change' $adminprix = 'admin'</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp, line 8 Cake\View\View::_evaluate() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1413 Cake\View\View::_render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1374 Cake\View\View::renderLayout() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 927 Cake\View\View::render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 885 Cake\Controller\Controller::render() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 791 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 126 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51</pre></div></pre>latest-news-updates/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033.html"/> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"/> <link href="https://im4change.in/css/control.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="all"/> <title>LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian | Im4change.org</title> <meta name="description" content=" -IANS The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note..."/> <script src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-1.10.2.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-migrate.min.js"></script> <script language="javascript" type="text/javascript"> $(document).ready(function () { var img = $("img")[0]; // Get my img elem var pic_real_width, pic_real_height; $("<img/>") // Make in memory copy of image to avoid css issues .attr("src", $(img).attr("src")) .load(function () { pic_real_width = this.width; // Note: $(this).width() will not pic_real_height = this.height; // work for in memory images. }); }); </script> <style type="text/css"> @media screen { div.divFooter { display: block; } } @media print { .printbutton { display: none !important; } } </style> </head> <body> <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" width="98%" align="center"> <tr> <td class="top_bg"> <div class="divFooter"> <img src="https://im4change.in/images/logo1.jpg" height="59" border="0" alt="Resource centre on India's rural distress" style="padding-top:14px;"/> </div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td id="topspace"> </td> </tr> <tr id="topspace"> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-bottom:1px solid #000; padding-top:10px;" class="printbutton"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%"> <h1 class="news_headlines" style="font-style:normal"> <strong>Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian</strong></h1> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%" style="font-family:Arial, 'Segoe Script', 'Segoe UI', sans-serif, serif"><font size="3"> <div align="justify">-IANS<br /><br /><em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /></em><br />Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /><br />Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /><br />Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book “Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,” he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /><br />“Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.”<br /><br />“In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),” Subramanian says in the chapter ‘The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation — Political and Economic.’<br /><br />The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect —whether it was 2% points, or much less. “After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,” he writes<br /><br />”...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.”<br /><br />Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true" title="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div> </font> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-top:1px solid #000; border-bottom:1px solid #000;padding-top:10px;"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> </table></body> </html>' } $reasonPhrase = 'OK'header - [internal], line ?? 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'' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr6802a7cb69ee1-code" class="cake-code-dump" style="display: none;"><code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"></span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">head</span><span style="color: #007700">> </span></span></code> <span class="code-highlight"><code><span style="color: #000000"> <link rel="canonical" href="<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">Configure</span><span style="color: #007700">::</span><span style="color: #0000BB">read</span><span style="color: #007700">(</span><span style="color: #DD0000">'SITE_URL'</span><span style="color: #007700">); </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$urlPrefix</span><span style="color: #007700">;</span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">category</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">slug</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>/<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">seo_url</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>.html"/> </span></code></span> <code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"> </span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">meta http</span><span style="color: #007700">-</span><span style="color: #0000BB">equiv</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"Content-Type" </span><span style="color: #0000BB">content</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"text/html; charset=utf-8"</span><span style="color: #007700">/> </span></span></code></pre><pre id="cakeErr6802a7cb69ee1-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$viewFile = '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp' $dataForView = [ 'article_current' => object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 37902, 'title' => 'Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian', 'subheading' => '', 'description' => '<div align="justify"> -IANS<br /> <br /> <em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /> </em><br /> Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /> <br /> Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /> <br /> Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book &ldquo;Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,&rdquo; he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /> <br /> &ldquo;Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.&rdquo;<br /> <br /> &ldquo;In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),&rdquo; Subramanian says in the chapter &lsquo;The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation &mdash; Political and Economic.&rsquo;<br /> <br /> The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect &mdash;whether it was 2% points, or much less. &ldquo;After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,&rdquo; he writes<br /> <br /> &rdquo;...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.&rdquo;<br /> <br /> Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /> </div>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Hindu, 29 November, 2018, https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 4686033, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], '[dirty]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[original]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[virtual]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[invalid]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[repository]' => 'Articles' }, 'articleid' => (int) 37902, 'metaTitle' => 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian', 'metaKeywords' => 'Unorganized Manufacturing Sector,Unorganized Workers,informal economy,informal employment,Informal Trade,Informal Work,Informal Workers,Demonetisation,Note Ban,Economic Growth', 'metaDesc' => ' -IANS The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. 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The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /><br />&ldquo;Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.&rdquo;<br /><br />&ldquo;In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),&rdquo; Subramanian says in the chapter &lsquo;The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation &mdash; Political and Economic.&rsquo;<br /><br />The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect &mdash;whether it was 2% points, or much less. &ldquo;After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,&rdquo; he writes<br /><br />&rdquo;...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.&rdquo;<br /><br />Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true" title="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>', 'lang' => 'English', 'SITE_URL' => 'https://im4change.in/', 'site_title' => 'im4change', 'adminprix' => 'admin' ] $article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 37902, 'title' => 'Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian', 'subheading' => '', 'description' => '<div align="justify"> -IANS<br /> <br /> <em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /> </em><br /> Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /> <br /> Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /> <br /> Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book &ldquo;Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,&rdquo; he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /> <br /> &ldquo;Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.&rdquo;<br /> <br /> &ldquo;In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),&rdquo; Subramanian says in the chapter &lsquo;The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation &mdash; Political and Economic.&rsquo;<br /> <br /> The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect &mdash;whether it was 2% points, or much less. &ldquo;After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,&rdquo; he writes<br /> <br /> &rdquo;...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.&rdquo;<br /> <br /> Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /> </div>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Hindu, 29 November, 2018, https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 4686033, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 3 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 4 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 5 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 6 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 7 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 8 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 9 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {} ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ '*' => true, 'id' => false ], '[dirty]' => [], '[original]' => [], '[virtual]' => [], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [], '[invalid]' => [], '[repository]' => 'Articles' } $articleid = (int) 37902 $metaTitle = 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian' $metaKeywords = 'Unorganized Manufacturing Sector,Unorganized Workers,informal economy,informal employment,Informal Trade,Informal Work,Informal Workers,Demonetisation,Note Ban,Economic Growth' $metaDesc = ' -IANS The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note...' $disp = '<div align="justify">-IANS<br /><br /><em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /></em><br />Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /><br />Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /><br />Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book &ldquo;Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,&rdquo; he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /><br />&ldquo;Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.&rdquo;<br /><br />&ldquo;In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),&rdquo; Subramanian says in the chapter &lsquo;The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation &mdash; Political and Economic.&rsquo;<br /><br />The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect &mdash;whether it was 2% points, or much less. &ldquo;After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,&rdquo; he writes<br /><br />&rdquo;...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.&rdquo;<br /><br />Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true" title="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>' $lang = 'English' $SITE_URL = 'https://im4change.in/' $site_title = 'im4change' $adminprix = 'admin'</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp, line 8 Cake\View\View::_evaluate() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1413 Cake\View\View::_render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1374 Cake\View\View::renderLayout() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 927 Cake\View\View::render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 885 Cake\Controller\Controller::render() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 791 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 126 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51</pre></div></pre>latest-news-updates/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033.html"/> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"/> <link href="https://im4change.in/css/control.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="all"/> <title>LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian | Im4change.org</title> <meta name="description" content=" -IANS The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note..."/> <script src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-1.10.2.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-migrate.min.js"></script> <script language="javascript" type="text/javascript"> $(document).ready(function () { var img = $("img")[0]; // Get my img elem var pic_real_width, pic_real_height; $("<img/>") // Make in memory copy of image to avoid css issues .attr("src", $(img).attr("src")) .load(function () { pic_real_width = this.width; // Note: $(this).width() will not pic_real_height = this.height; // work for in memory images. }); }); </script> <style type="text/css"> @media screen { div.divFooter { display: block; } } @media print { .printbutton { display: none !important; } } </style> </head> <body> <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" width="98%" align="center"> <tr> <td class="top_bg"> <div class="divFooter"> <img src="https://im4change.in/images/logo1.jpg" height="59" border="0" alt="Resource centre on India's rural distress" style="padding-top:14px;"/> </div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td id="topspace"> </td> </tr> <tr id="topspace"> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-bottom:1px solid #000; padding-top:10px;" class="printbutton"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%"> <h1 class="news_headlines" style="font-style:normal"> <strong>Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian</strong></h1> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%" style="font-family:Arial, 'Segoe Script', 'Segoe UI', sans-serif, serif"><font size="3"> <div align="justify">-IANS<br /><br /><em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /></em><br />Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /><br />Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /><br />Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book “Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,” he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /><br />“Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.”<br /><br />“In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),” Subramanian says in the chapter ‘The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation — Political and Economic.’<br /><br />The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect —whether it was 2% points, or much less. “After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,” he writes<br /><br />”...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.”<br /><br />Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true" title="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div> </font> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-top:1px solid #000; border-bottom:1px solid #000;padding-top:10px;"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> </table></body> </html>' } $cookies = [] $values = [ (int) 0 => 'text/html; charset=UTF-8' ] $name = 'Content-Type' $first = true $value = 'text/html; charset=UTF-8'header - [internal], line ?? 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The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /> <br /> “Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.”<br /> <br /> “In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),” Subramanian says in the chapter ‘The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation — Political and Economic.’<br /> <br /> The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect —whether it was 2% points, or much less. “After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,” he writes<br /> <br /> ”...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.”<br /> <br /> Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /> </div>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Hindu, 29 November, 2018, https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 4686033, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], '[dirty]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[original]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[virtual]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[invalid]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[repository]' => 'Articles' }, 'articleid' => (int) 37902, 'metaTitle' => 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian', 'metaKeywords' => 'Unorganized Manufacturing Sector,Unorganized Workers,informal economy,informal employment,Informal Trade,Informal Work,Informal Workers,Demonetisation,Note Ban,Economic Growth', 'metaDesc' => ' -IANS The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. 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The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /><br />“Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.”<br /><br />“In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),” Subramanian says in the chapter ‘The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation — Political and Economic.’<br /><br />The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect —whether it was 2% points, or much less. “After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,” he writes<br /><br />”...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.”<br /><br />Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true" title="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>', 'lang' => 'English', 'SITE_URL' => 'https://im4change.in/', 'site_title' => 'im4change', 'adminprix' => 'admin' ] $article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 37902, 'title' => 'Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian', 'subheading' => '', 'description' => '<div align="justify"> -IANS<br /> <br /> <em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /> </em><br /> Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /> <br /> Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /> <br /> Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book “Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,” he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /> <br /> “Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.”<br /> <br /> “In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),” Subramanian says in the chapter ‘The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation — Political and Economic.’<br /> <br /> The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect —whether it was 2% points, or much less. “After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,” he writes<br /> <br /> ”...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.”<br /> <br /> Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /> </div>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Hindu, 29 November, 2018, https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian-4686033', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 4686033, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 3 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 4 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 5 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 6 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 7 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 8 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 9 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {} ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ '*' => true, 'id' => false ], '[dirty]' => [], '[original]' => [], '[virtual]' => [], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [], '[invalid]' => [], '[repository]' => 'Articles' } $articleid = (int) 37902 $metaTitle = 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian' $metaKeywords = 'Unorganized Manufacturing Sector,Unorganized Workers,informal economy,informal employment,Informal Trade,Informal Work,Informal Workers,Demonetisation,Note Ban,Economic Growth' $metaDesc = ' -IANS The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note...' $disp = '<div align="justify">-IANS<br /><br /><em>The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth.<br /></em><br />Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian.<br /><br />Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial.<br /><br />Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book “Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,” he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision.<br /><br />“Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.”<br /><br />“In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),” Subramanian says in the chapter ‘The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation — Political and Economic.’<br /><br />The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect —whether it was 2% points, or much less. “After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,” he writes<br /><br />”...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.”<br /><br />Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true" title="https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/demonetisation-a-massive-draconian-monetary-shock-arvind-subramanian/article25621183.ece?homepage=true">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>' $lang = 'English' $SITE_URL = 'https://im4change.in/' $site_title = 'im4change' $adminprix = 'admin'
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Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian |
-IANS
The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian. Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed empirical view apart from the fact that the welfare costs, especially on the informal sector, were substantial. Though Subramanian, who quit the post earlier this year after a four-year tenure, has devoted a chapter in the upcoming book “Of Counsel: The Challenges of the Modi-Jaitley Economy,” he continued to keep a studied silence on whether he was consulted in the decision-making process of demonetisation. The detractors of the government had said that the Prime Minister had not consulted the CEA on the crucial decision. “Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock: In one fell swoop, 86% of the currency in circulation was withdrawn. The real GDP growth was affected by the demonetisation. Growth had been slowing even before, but after demonetisation, the slide accelerated.” “In the six quarters before demonetisation, growth averaged 8% and in the seven quarters after, it averaged about 6.8% (with a four quarter window, the relevant numbers are 8.1% before and 6.2% after),” Subramanian says in the chapter ‘The Two Puzzles of Demonetisation — Political and Economic.’ The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Rather, the debate has been about the size of the effect —whether it was 2% points, or much less. “After all, many other factors affected growth in this period, especially higher real interest rates, GST implementation and oil prices,” he writes ”...But when a shock like demonetisation occurs, that primarily affects the informal sector, relying on formal indicators to measure overall activity will overstate GDP. This hypothesis goes only a small way towards explaining the puzzle since any squeeze in informal sector incomes would depress demand in the formal sector, and this effect should have been sizable.” Please click here to read more. |