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Excess deaths in Rajasthan are five times the official COVID-19 tally -Srinivasan Ramani

-The Hindu

Undercount factor for the State is lower than Madhya Pradesh’s 23.8

The number of “excess deaths” registered by the Civil Registration System (CRS) in Rajasthan ever since the COVID-19 pandemic hit (from April 2020 to May 2021) was 45,088, which is 5.4 times the official reported figure of 8,385 deaths for the same period.

This high number was largely due to deaths registered in April 2021 (26,251) and May 2021(49,046). In this period, which coincided with the second COVID-19 wave, the excess deaths were around 39,438, compared to the registered COVID-19 tally of 5,567, leading to an undercount factor of 7.1. The overall COVID-19 tally in Rajasthan so far, as of July 2, is 8,970.

Excess deaths in Rajasthan were calculated based on the month-wise number of deaths registered in the Rajasthan Civil Registration System (Pehchan portal) from January 2018 to May 2021, which was accessed by The Hindu. It was ensured that the data analysed did not include duplicate records (~1,100 names out of ~7.92 lakh deaths from 2018 to 2021).

Not all “excess deaths” would be related to COVID-19 but a bulk of them are, during the pandemic.

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