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Notice (8): Undefined variable: urlPrefix [APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp, line 8]latest-news-updates/how-demonetisation-crippled-bank-lending-paras-chakravarty-4682009.html"/> LATEST NEWS UPDATES | How demonetisation crippled bank lending -Paras Chakravarty | Im4change.org
Resource centre on India's rural distress
 
 

How demonetisation crippled bank lending -Paras Chakravarty

-Livemint.com

Bank loans to rural India were the most affected, but other parts of the country also saw a deceleration in credit growth, RBI data shows

It is, of course, well known that the growth of bank credit slowed in the second half of 2016-17 due to demonetisation. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) data shows that as on 30 September 2016, the annual rate of growth of bank credit was 12.1%. That year-on-year growth rate decelerated sharply to 5.4% by 31 March 2017. It indicates the banking system is yet to recover from the after-effects of the note ban.

More interesting, though, is the question about which parts of the nation bore the brunt of the lending slowdown resulting from demonetisation. RBI data show that lending to rural India was badly affected. Growth in rural loans between 30 September 2016 and 31 March 2017 was a mere 2.5%. Compare that with the growth of 12.9% in the second half of 2015-16 and the extent of the slowdown becomes clear (chart 1).

There is little doubt that the note ban hurt rural India and that, as at end-March, loan growth was far below its pre-demonetisation levels.

Indeed, in the second half of FY2017, bank lending to rural Haryana, Punjab, Goa, Maharashtra and Kerala contracted. Lending to rural Maharashtra fell by as much as 9.2%. Putting that in perspective, bank loans in the second half of FY16 to rural Haryana increased by 18% and to rural Punjab by 12.2%, while rural Maharashtra saw an increase in lending of 5.8%. Not a single state had showed a contraction in rural lending in the second half of FY16. In other words, the slowdown in rural lending in the second half of FY17 was very abnormal and may be attributed largely to demonetisation.

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