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IMD: Monsoon to be good through June -Amit Bhattacharya

-The Times of India

NEW DELHI: The monsoon is likely to remain strong through the month of June, the India Meteorological Department said on Thursday, as another storm system developed over the Bay of Bengal, promising widespread rain across central and south India over the next four-five days.

As on June 18, the monsoon was 10% above normal, mainly on account of excess rains over central India, the southeastern coast and parts of the Northeast.

"Looking at the rest of the month, our models do not show the monsoon weakening. Indications are that rainfall would remain good this month," IMD director B P Yadav said.

The monsoon, however, hasn't entered fresh areas since June 14. The monsoon line continues to pass through the southern tip of Gujarat, cutting through Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and south Odisha, before moving vertically through the eastern border of Bengal.

IMD has been predicting the monsoon's progress into some more parts of central and east India for the past few days. But barring Kerala, coastal Karnataka and some areas of the Northeast, rains have been good in regions covered so far by the rain system.

"The spell of good rains that started around June 10 continues. There is likely to be another surge in rainfall as a low pressure area off south Odisha-Andhra coast is expected to become a well-marked system in the next 24 hours and move inland," Yadav said.

The fresh surge, Yadav said, will led to an increase in the intensity, distribution and spread of rains in Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, Chhattisgarh and Gujarat - areas that are already seeing wet weather.

While the forecast of normal rains in June would encourage sowing of the kharif crop, particularly in central India, uncertainty remains over monsoon's performance in July, an agriculturally crucial month which is also the wettest of the year.

IMD has predicted an 8% shortfall in rains during July, mainly on account of abnormally warm conditions in the Pacific Ocean — a periodic phenomenon call El Nino that's known to weaken monsoons in India.