Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 73 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]Code Context
trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);
}
$message = 'The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 73 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.' $stackFrame = (int) 1 $trace = [ (int) 0 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ServerRequest.php', 'line' => (int) 2421, 'function' => 'deprecationWarning', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead.' ] ], (int) 1 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php', 'line' => (int) 73, 'function' => 'offsetGet', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ServerRequest', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'catslug' ] ], (int) 2 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Controller/Controller.php', 'line' => (int) 610, 'function' => 'printArticle', 'class' => 'App\Controller\ArtileDetailController', 'object' => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ], (int) 3 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php', 'line' => (int) 120, 'function' => 'invokeAction', 'class' => 'Cake\Controller\Controller', 'object' => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ], (int) 4 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php', 'line' => (int) 94, 'function' => '_invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {} ] ], (int) 5 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/BaseApplication.php', 'line' => (int) 235, 'function' => 'dispatch', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 6 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\BaseApplication', 'object' => object(App\Application) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 7 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 162, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 8 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 9 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 88, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 10 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 11 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 96, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 12 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 13 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 51, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 14 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Server.php', 'line' => (int) 98, 'function' => 'run', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\MiddlewareQueue) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 15 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/webroot/index.php', 'line' => (int) 39, 'function' => 'run', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Server', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Server) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ] ] $frame = [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php', 'line' => (int) 73, 'function' => 'offsetGet', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ServerRequest', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) { trustProxy => false [protected] params => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] data => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] query => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] cookies => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] _environment => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] url => 'latest-news-updates/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed-murad-banaji-aashish-gupta-and-leena-kumarappan/print' [protected] base => '' [protected] webroot => '/' [protected] here => '/latest-news-updates/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed-murad-banaji-aashish-gupta-and-leena-kumarappan/print' [protected] trustedProxies => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] _input => null [protected] _detectors => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] _detectorCache => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] stream => object(Zend\Diactoros\PhpInputStream) {} [protected] uri => object(Zend\Diactoros\Uri) {} [protected] session => object(Cake\Http\Session) {} [protected] attributes => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] emulatedAttributes => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] uploadedFiles => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] protocol => null [protected] requestTarget => null [private] deprecatedProperties => [ [maximum depth reached] ] }, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'catslug' ] ]deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311 Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421 App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::printArticle() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 73 Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51 Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98
Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 74 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]Code Context
trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);
}
$message = 'The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 74 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.' $stackFrame = (int) 1 $trace = [ (int) 0 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ServerRequest.php', 'line' => (int) 2421, 'function' => 'deprecationWarning', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead.' ] ], (int) 1 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php', 'line' => (int) 74, 'function' => 'offsetGet', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ServerRequest', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'artileslug' ] ], (int) 2 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Controller/Controller.php', 'line' => (int) 610, 'function' => 'printArticle', 'class' => 'App\Controller\ArtileDetailController', 'object' => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ], (int) 3 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php', 'line' => (int) 120, 'function' => 'invokeAction', 'class' => 'Cake\Controller\Controller', 'object' => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ], (int) 4 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php', 'line' => (int) 94, 'function' => '_invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {} ] ], (int) 5 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/BaseApplication.php', 'line' => (int) 235, 'function' => 'dispatch', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 6 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\BaseApplication', 'object' => object(App\Application) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 7 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 162, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 8 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 9 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 88, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 10 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 11 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 96, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 12 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 13 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 51, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 14 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Server.php', 'line' => (int) 98, 'function' => 'run', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\MiddlewareQueue) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 15 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/webroot/index.php', 'line' => (int) 39, 'function' => 'run', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Server', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Server) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ] ] $frame = [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php', 'line' => (int) 74, 'function' => 'offsetGet', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ServerRequest', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) { trustProxy => false [protected] params => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] data => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] query => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] cookies => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] _environment => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] url => 'latest-news-updates/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed-murad-banaji-aashish-gupta-and-leena-kumarappan/print' [protected] base => '' [protected] webroot => '/' [protected] here => '/latest-news-updates/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed-murad-banaji-aashish-gupta-and-leena-kumarappan/print' [protected] trustedProxies => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] _input => null [protected] _detectors => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] _detectorCache => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] stream => object(Zend\Diactoros\PhpInputStream) {} [protected] uri => object(Zend\Diactoros\Uri) {} [protected] session => object(Cake\Http\Session) {} [protected] attributes => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] emulatedAttributes => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] uploadedFiles => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] protocol => null [protected] requestTarget => null [private] deprecatedProperties => [ [maximum depth reached] ] }, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'artileslug' ] ]deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311 Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421 App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::printArticle() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 74 Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51 Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98
Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]Code Contextif (Configure::read('debug')) {
trigger_error($message, E_USER_WARNING);
} else {
$response = object(Cake\Http\Response) { 'status' => (int) 200, 'contentType' => 'text/html', 'headers' => [ 'Content-Type' => [ [maximum depth reached] ] ], 'file' => null, 'fileRange' => [], 'cookies' => object(Cake\Http\Cookie\CookieCollection) {}, 'cacheDirectives' => [], 'body' => '<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd"> <html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"> <head> <link rel="canonical" href="https://im4change.in/<pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Notice</b> (8)</a>: Undefined variable: urlPrefix [<b>APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp</b>, line <b>8</b>]<div id="cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-context').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-code" class="cake-code-dump" style="display: none;"><code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"></span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">head</span><span style="color: #007700">> </span></span></code> <span class="code-highlight"><code><span style="color: #000000"> <link rel="canonical" href="<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">Configure</span><span style="color: #007700">::</span><span style="color: #0000BB">read</span><span style="color: #007700">(</span><span style="color: #DD0000">'SITE_URL'</span><span style="color: #007700">); </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$urlPrefix</span><span style="color: #007700">;</span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">category</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">slug</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>/<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">seo_url</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>.html"/> </span></code></span> <code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"> </span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">meta http</span><span style="color: #007700">-</span><span style="color: #0000BB">equiv</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"Content-Type" </span><span style="color: #0000BB">content</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"text/html; charset=utf-8"</span><span style="color: #007700">/> </span></span></code></pre><pre id="cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$viewFile = '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp' $dataForView = [ 'article_current' => object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 59741, 'title' => 'In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan', 'subheading' => null, 'description' => '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p> <p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India.</em></p> <p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p> <p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p> <p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete &ndash; outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p> ', 'credit_writer' => 'TheWire.in, 18 June, 2021, https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed-murad-banaji-aashish-gupta-and-leena-kumarappan', 'meta_title' => '', 'meta_keywords' => '', 'meta_description' => '', 'noindex' => (int) 1, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => null, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], '[dirty]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[original]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[virtual]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[invalid]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[repository]' => 'Articles' }, 'articleid' => (int) 59741, 'metaTitle' => 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan', 'metaKeywords' => 'Covid-19,Covid-19 deaths,Rural areas', 'metaDesc' => '-TheWire.in If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India. Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge....', 'disp' => '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India.</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p><p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p><p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p><p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p><p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete &ndash; outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed" title="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p>', 'lang' => 'English', 'SITE_URL' => 'https://im4change.in/', 'site_title' => 'im4change', 'adminprix' => 'admin' ] $article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 59741, 'title' => 'In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan', 'subheading' => null, 'description' => '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p> <p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India.</em></p> <p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p> <p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p> <p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete &ndash; outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p> ', 'credit_writer' => 'TheWire.in, 18 June, 2021, https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed-murad-banaji-aashish-gupta-and-leena-kumarappan', 'meta_title' => '', 'meta_keywords' => '', 'meta_description' => '', 'noindex' => (int) 1, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => null, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {} ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ '*' => true, 'id' => false ], '[dirty]' => [], '[original]' => [], '[virtual]' => [], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [], '[invalid]' => [], '[repository]' => 'Articles' } $articleid = (int) 59741 $metaTitle = 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan' $metaKeywords = 'Covid-19,Covid-19 deaths,Rural areas' $metaDesc = '-TheWire.in If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India. Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge....' $disp = '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India.</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p><p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p><p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p><p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p><p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete &ndash; outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed" title="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p>' $lang = 'English' $SITE_URL = 'https://im4change.in/' $site_title = 'im4change' $adminprix = 'admin'</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp, line 8 Cake\View\View::_evaluate() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1413 Cake\View\View::_render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1374 Cake\View\View::renderLayout() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 927 Cake\View\View::render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 885 Cake\Controller\Controller::render() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 791 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 126 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51</pre></div></pre>latest-news-updates/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed-murad-banaji-aashish-gupta-and-leena-kumarappan.html"/> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"/> <link href="https://im4change.in/css/control.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="all"/> <title>LATEST NEWS UPDATES | In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan | Im4change.org</title> <meta name="description" content="-TheWire.in If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural “protection” from severe disease in rural India. Many rural areas were hit hard during India’s devastating recent COVID-19 surge...."/> <script src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-1.10.2.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-migrate.min.js"></script> <script language="javascript" type="text/javascript"> $(document).ready(function () { var img = $("img")[0]; // Get my img elem var pic_real_width, pic_real_height; $("<img/>") // Make in memory copy of image to avoid css issues .attr("src", $(img).attr("src")) .load(function () { pic_real_width = this.width; // Note: $(this).width() will not pic_real_height = this.height; // work for in memory images. }); }); </script> <style type="text/css"> @media screen { div.divFooter { display: block; } } @media print { .printbutton { display: none !important; } } </style> </head> <body> <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" width="98%" align="center"> <tr> <td class="top_bg"> <div class="divFooter"> <img src="https://im4change.in/images/logo1.jpg" height="59" border="0" alt="Resource centre on India's rural distress" style="padding-top:14px;"/> </div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td id="topspace"> </td> </tr> <tr id="topspace"> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-bottom:1px solid #000; padding-top:10px;" class="printbutton"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%"> <h1 class="news_headlines" style="font-style:normal"> <strong>In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan</strong></h1> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%" style="font-family:Arial, 'Segoe Script', 'Segoe UI', sans-serif, serif"><font size="3"> <p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural “protection” from severe disease in rural India.</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India’s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p><p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p><p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p><p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p><p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete – outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed" title="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p> </font> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-top:1px solid #000; border-bottom:1px solid #000;padding-top:10px;"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> </table></body> </html>' } $maxBufferLength = (int) 8192 $file = '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php' $line = (int) 853 $message = 'Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853'Cake\Http\ResponseEmitter::emit() - CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48 Cake\Http\Server::emit() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 141 [main] - ROOT/webroot/index.php, line 39
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$response = object(Cake\Http\Response) { 'status' => (int) 200, 'contentType' => 'text/html', 'headers' => [ 'Content-Type' => [ [maximum depth reached] ] ], 'file' => null, 'fileRange' => [], 'cookies' => object(Cake\Http\Cookie\CookieCollection) {}, 'cacheDirectives' => [], 'body' => '<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd"> <html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"> <head> <link rel="canonical" href="https://im4change.in/<pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Notice</b> (8)</a>: Undefined variable: urlPrefix [<b>APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp</b>, line <b>8</b>]<div id="cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-context').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-code" class="cake-code-dump" style="display: none;"><code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"></span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">head</span><span style="color: #007700">> </span></span></code> <span class="code-highlight"><code><span style="color: #000000"> <link rel="canonical" href="<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">Configure</span><span style="color: #007700">::</span><span style="color: #0000BB">read</span><span style="color: #007700">(</span><span style="color: #DD0000">'SITE_URL'</span><span style="color: #007700">); </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$urlPrefix</span><span style="color: #007700">;</span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">category</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">slug</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>/<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">seo_url</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>.html"/> </span></code></span> <code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"> </span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">meta http</span><span style="color: #007700">-</span><span style="color: #0000BB">equiv</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"Content-Type" </span><span style="color: #0000BB">content</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"text/html; charset=utf-8"</span><span style="color: #007700">/> </span></span></code></pre><pre id="cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$viewFile = '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp' $dataForView = [ 'article_current' => object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 59741, 'title' => 'In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan', 'subheading' => null, 'description' => '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p> <p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India.</em></p> <p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p> <p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p> <p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete &ndash; outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p> ', 'credit_writer' => 'TheWire.in, 18 June, 2021, https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed-murad-banaji-aashish-gupta-and-leena-kumarappan', 'meta_title' => '', 'meta_keywords' => '', 'meta_description' => '', 'noindex' => (int) 1, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => null, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], '[dirty]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[original]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[virtual]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[invalid]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[repository]' => 'Articles' }, 'articleid' => (int) 59741, 'metaTitle' => 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan', 'metaKeywords' => 'Covid-19,Covid-19 deaths,Rural areas', 'metaDesc' => '-TheWire.in If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India. Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge....', 'disp' => '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India.</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p><p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p><p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p><p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p><p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete &ndash; outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed" title="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p>', 'lang' => 'English', 'SITE_URL' => 'https://im4change.in/', 'site_title' => 'im4change', 'adminprix' => 'admin' ] $article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 59741, 'title' => 'In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan', 'subheading' => null, 'description' => '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p> <p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India.</em></p> <p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p> <p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p> <p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete &ndash; outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p> ', 'credit_writer' => 'TheWire.in, 18 June, 2021, https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed-murad-banaji-aashish-gupta-and-leena-kumarappan', 'meta_title' => '', 'meta_keywords' => '', 'meta_description' => '', 'noindex' => (int) 1, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => null, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {} ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ '*' => true, 'id' => false ], '[dirty]' => [], '[original]' => [], '[virtual]' => [], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [], '[invalid]' => [], '[repository]' => 'Articles' } $articleid = (int) 59741 $metaTitle = 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan' $metaKeywords = 'Covid-19,Covid-19 deaths,Rural areas' $metaDesc = '-TheWire.in If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India. Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge....' $disp = '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India.</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p><p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p><p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p><p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p><p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete &ndash; outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed" title="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p>' $lang = 'English' $SITE_URL = 'https://im4change.in/' $site_title = 'im4change' $adminprix = 'admin'</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp, line 8 Cake\View\View::_evaluate() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1413 Cake\View\View::_render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1374 Cake\View\View::renderLayout() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 927 Cake\View\View::render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 885 Cake\Controller\Controller::render() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 791 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 126 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51</pre></div></pre>latest-news-updates/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed-murad-banaji-aashish-gupta-and-leena-kumarappan.html"/> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"/> <link href="https://im4change.in/css/control.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="all"/> <title>LATEST NEWS UPDATES | In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan | Im4change.org</title> <meta name="description" content="-TheWire.in If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural “protection” from severe disease in rural India. Many rural areas were hit hard during India’s devastating recent COVID-19 surge...."/> <script src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-1.10.2.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-migrate.min.js"></script> <script language="javascript" type="text/javascript"> $(document).ready(function () { var img = $("img")[0]; // Get my img elem var pic_real_width, pic_real_height; $("<img/>") // Make in memory copy of image to avoid css issues .attr("src", $(img).attr("src")) .load(function () { pic_real_width = this.width; // Note: $(this).width() will not pic_real_height = this.height; // work for in memory images. }); }); </script> <style type="text/css"> @media screen { div.divFooter { display: block; } } @media print { .printbutton { display: none !important; } } </style> </head> <body> <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" width="98%" align="center"> <tr> <td class="top_bg"> <div class="divFooter"> <img src="https://im4change.in/images/logo1.jpg" height="59" border="0" alt="Resource centre on India's rural distress" style="padding-top:14px;"/> </div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td id="topspace"> </td> </tr> <tr id="topspace"> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-bottom:1px solid #000; padding-top:10px;" class="printbutton"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%"> <h1 class="news_headlines" style="font-style:normal"> <strong>In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan</strong></h1> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%" style="font-family:Arial, 'Segoe Script', 'Segoe UI', sans-serif, serif"><font size="3"> <p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural “protection” from severe disease in rural India.</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India’s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p><p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p><p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p><p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p><p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete – outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed" title="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p> </font> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-top:1px solid #000; border-bottom:1px solid #000;padding-top:10px;"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> </table></body> </html>' } $reasonPhrase = 'OK'header - [internal], line ?? Cake\Http\ResponseEmitter::emitStatusLine() - CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 148 Cake\Http\ResponseEmitter::emit() - CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 54 Cake\Http\Server::emit() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 141 [main] - ROOT/webroot/index.php, line 39
Warning (2): Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php:853) [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 181]Notice (8): Undefined variable: urlPrefix [APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp, line 8]Code Context$value
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$response = object(Cake\Http\Response) { 'status' => (int) 200, 'contentType' => 'text/html', 'headers' => [ 'Content-Type' => [ [maximum depth reached] ] ], 'file' => null, 'fileRange' => [], 'cookies' => object(Cake\Http\Cookie\CookieCollection) {}, 'cacheDirectives' => [], 'body' => '<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd"> <html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"> <head> <link rel="canonical" href="https://im4change.in/<pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Notice</b> (8)</a>: Undefined variable: urlPrefix [<b>APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp</b>, line <b>8</b>]<div id="cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-context').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-code" class="cake-code-dump" style="display: none;"><code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"></span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">head</span><span style="color: #007700">> </span></span></code> <span class="code-highlight"><code><span style="color: #000000"> <link rel="canonical" href="<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">Configure</span><span style="color: #007700">::</span><span style="color: #0000BB">read</span><span style="color: #007700">(</span><span style="color: #DD0000">'SITE_URL'</span><span style="color: #007700">); </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$urlPrefix</span><span style="color: #007700">;</span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">category</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">slug</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>/<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">seo_url</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>.html"/> </span></code></span> <code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"> </span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">meta http</span><span style="color: #007700">-</span><span style="color: #0000BB">equiv</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"Content-Type" </span><span style="color: #0000BB">content</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"text/html; charset=utf-8"</span><span style="color: #007700">/> </span></span></code></pre><pre id="cakeErr67f40fbe1cf7c-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$viewFile = '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp' $dataForView = [ 'article_current' => object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 59741, 'title' => 'In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan', 'subheading' => null, 'description' => '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p> <p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India.</em></p> <p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p> <p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p> <p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete &ndash; outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p> ', 'credit_writer' => 'TheWire.in, 18 June, 2021, https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed-murad-banaji-aashish-gupta-and-leena-kumarappan', 'meta_title' => '', 'meta_keywords' => '', 'meta_description' => '', 'noindex' => (int) 1, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => null, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], '[dirty]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[original]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[virtual]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[invalid]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[repository]' => 'Articles' }, 'articleid' => (int) 59741, 'metaTitle' => 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan', 'metaKeywords' => 'Covid-19,Covid-19 deaths,Rural areas', 'metaDesc' => '-TheWire.in If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India. Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge....', 'disp' => '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India.</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p><p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p><p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p><p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p><p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete &ndash; outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed" title="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p>', 'lang' => 'English', 'SITE_URL' => 'https://im4change.in/', 'site_title' => 'im4change', 'adminprix' => 'admin' ] $article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 59741, 'title' => 'In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan', 'subheading' => null, 'description' => '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p> <p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India.</em></p> <p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p> <p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p> <p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. 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Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge....' $disp = '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural &ldquo;protection&rdquo; from severe disease in rural India.</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India&rsquo;s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p><p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p><p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p><p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p><p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete &ndash; outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed" title="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p>' $lang = 'English' $SITE_URL = 'https://im4change.in/' $site_title = 'im4change' $adminprix = 'admin'</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp, line 8 Cake\View\View::_evaluate() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1413 Cake\View\View::_render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1374 Cake\View\View::renderLayout() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 927 Cake\View\View::render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 885 Cake\Controller\Controller::render() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 791 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 126 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51</pre></div></pre>latest-news-updates/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed-murad-banaji-aashish-gupta-and-leena-kumarappan.html"/> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"/> <link href="https://im4change.in/css/control.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="all"/> <title>LATEST NEWS UPDATES | In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan | Im4change.org</title> <meta name="description" content="-TheWire.in If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural “protection” from severe disease in rural India. Many rural areas were hit hard during India’s devastating recent COVID-19 surge...."/> <script src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-1.10.2.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-migrate.min.js"></script> <script language="javascript" type="text/javascript"> $(document).ready(function () { var img = $("img")[0]; // Get my img elem var pic_real_width, pic_real_height; $("<img/>") // Make in memory copy of image to avoid css issues .attr("src", $(img).attr("src")) .load(function () { pic_real_width = this.width; // Note: $(this).width() will not pic_real_height = this.height; // work for in memory images. }); }); </script> <style type="text/css"> @media screen { div.divFooter { display: block; } } @media print { .printbutton { display: none !important; } } </style> </head> <body> <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" width="98%" align="center"> <tr> <td class="top_bg"> <div class="divFooter"> <img src="https://im4change.in/images/logo1.jpg" height="59" border="0" alt="Resource centre on India's rural distress" style="padding-top:14px;"/> </div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td id="topspace"> </td> </tr> <tr id="topspace"> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-bottom:1px solid #000; padding-top:10px;" class="printbutton"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%"> <h1 class="news_headlines" style="font-style:normal"> <strong>In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan</strong></h1> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%" style="font-family:Arial, 'Segoe Script', 'Segoe UI', sans-serif, serif"><font size="3"> <p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural “protection” from severe disease in rural India.</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India’s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p><p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p><p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p><p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p><p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete – outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed" title="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p> </font> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-top:1px solid #000; border-bottom:1px solid #000;padding-top:10px;"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> </table></body> </html>' } $cookies = [] $values = [ (int) 0 => 'text/html; charset=UTF-8' ] $name = 'Content-Type' $first = true $value = 'text/html; charset=UTF-8'header - [internal], line ?? 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But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p> <p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p> <p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. 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Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p><p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete – outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed" title="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p>', 'lang' => 'English', 'SITE_URL' => 'https://im4change.in/', 'site_title' => 'im4change', 'adminprix' => 'admin' ] $article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 59741, 'title' => 'In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan', 'subheading' => null, 'description' => '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p> <p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural “protection” from severe disease in rural India.</em></p> <p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India’s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p> <p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p> <p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete – outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts.</p> <p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed">click here</a> to read more.</p> ', 'credit_writer' => 'TheWire.in, 18 June, 2021, https://thewire.in/health/in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'in-rural-india-covid-19-outbreaks-have-one-standout-feature-speed-murad-banaji-aashish-gupta-and-leena-kumarappan', 'meta_title' => '', 'meta_keywords' => '', 'meta_description' => '', 'noindex' => (int) 1, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => null, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {} ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ '*' => true, 'id' => false ], '[dirty]' => [], '[original]' => [], '[virtual]' => [], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [], '[invalid]' => [], '[repository]' => 'Articles' } $articleid = (int) 59741 $metaTitle = 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan' $metaKeywords = 'Covid-19,Covid-19 deaths,Rural areas' $metaDesc = '-TheWire.in If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural “protection” from severe disease in rural India. Many rural areas were hit hard during India’s devastating recent COVID-19 surge....' $disp = '<p style="text-align:justify">-TheWire.in</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural “protection” from severe disease in rural India.</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">Many rural areas were hit hard during India’s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up.</p><p style="text-align:justify">We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/).</p><p style="text-align:justify">A surge in mortality</p><p style="text-align:justify">The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. 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In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan |
-TheWire.in If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural “protection” from severe disease in rural India. Many rural areas were hit hard during India’s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal testing and health systems unable to keep up. We collected a total of 61 case-studies from the first three weeks of May, each describing at least five suspected COVID-19 deaths in one or more villages. We searched the Hindi press for such reports, and hence the focus is on Hindi-speaking states. Of the studies, 26 were from Uttar Pradesh, nine from Haryana, eight from Bihar and six each from Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Rajasthan. The details and links to the media reports are in this accompanying technical documentation (maths.mdx.ac.uk/research/modelling-the-covid-19-pandemic/ruralmortalityreports/). A surge in mortality The reports describe a total of 1,297 deaths from villages with an estimated combined population of around 480,000. This means that in these villages, taken together, around 0.27% of the population died of suspected COVID-19. In individual reports, this figure varied between 0.05% and 1% with a median value of 0.31%. This means that a typical village in this sample with 5,000 inhabitants would have seen around 15 deaths in the space of roughly as many days. Indeed, many reports described roughly one death a day. There are several uncertainties. For example, some reports name all the deceased while others give an approximate figure reported by the village head. The reports cover periods ranging from under a week to over a month; but it is not always clear whether they describe all deaths in the village in these periods, or only those suspected to be from COVID-19. The death tolls may also be incomplete – outbreaks were often ongoing when journalists filed their reports, and sometimes follow-up reports give higher death counts. Please click here to read more. |