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India to surpass China as most populous country in 2023: UN -GS Mudur

-The Telegraph

According to report, China’s population will decline to 1.317 billion by 2050, while India’s population will grow to 1.668 billion

India is projected to surpass China as the most populous country during 2023, the United Nations said on Monday in a report forecasting global population trends over the coming decades.

Both countries have around 1.4 billion people each in 2022, but an absolute decline in China’s population and continued growth in India’s will make India the most populous country next year, the UN department of economic and social affairs said.

China’s population will decline to 1.317 billion by 2050, while India’s population — even amid its declining fertility level — will grow to 1.668 billion by that year, the report said.

It said the global human population had tripled over the past 70 years and was expected to reach 8 billion by mid-November 2022 from 2.5 billion in 1950. However, the pace of growth has declined mainly due to reduced levels of fertility.

In 2020, the global population growth rate fell below 1 per cent per year, but it is projected to increase to 8.5 billion by 2030, reach 9.7 billion by 2050 and peak around 10.4 billion during the 2080s.

A nationwide health survey during 2019-21 had found that India’s total fertility rate — the average number of children a woman will have — had declined for the first time to 2.0, the so-called population replacement threshold. The TFR was calculated to be 2.2 in the previous similar survey in 2015-16.

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