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Is Cyclone Tauktae an indication towards a new trend for Arabian Sea?

-Financial Express

Arabian Sea is witnessing frequent cyclonic storms having strong intensities. This year, Cyclone Tauktae is an example.

Cyclones have not been uncommon in India as every year, low to moderate cyclonic storms keep hitting the Indian shores. Be it Bay of Bengal or Arabian Sea, over the last few years, many storms have formed in the bay. While the ones in Bay of Bengal have been known, Arabian Sea too is witnessing frequent cyclonic storms having strong intensities. This year, Cyclone Tauktae is an example.

Is Cyclone Tauktae a trend setter?

The cyclone hitting the western shores of India- Cyclone Tauktae is the fourth cyclone in the consecutive years to have developed in the Arabian Sea. Apart from this, the cyclones in the region usually are seen post-monsoon, however, this is also the fourth cyclone to form in the pre-monsoon period and of high intensity. A report by The IE has noted a trend in severe category cyclones forming in Arabian Sea before monsoon season begins in India.

Prior to this, Cyclone Mekanu formed in 2018 hit Oman, whereas Cyclone Vayu struck Gujarat in 2019 and Cyclone Nisarga made landfall in Maharashtra last year (2020). This year too, the cyclone is expected to hit the Gujarat shoreline of the country. Since last year, the cyclones forming in the Arabian Sea are being termed in the very severe cyclone category.

Why is Arabian Sea cyclones a concern?

The report noted that if five cyclones are developed on an average in the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal combined, as many as four cyclones are in the Bay of Bengal with one forming in Arabian Sea. The reason is simple: the Bay of Bengal is warmer than the Arabian Sea, thus providing a necessary cushion for a cyclone to form. Cyclones developing on the western side of India are usually over the Lakshadweep island areas further traversing westwards, or away from the west coast of the country.

In the last few years, given the global warming, meteorologists have seen changes in the temperature of the Arabian Sea. This can likely be the reason for increased cyclonic activities in the area.

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