Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 73 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]Code Context
trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);
}
$message = 'The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 73 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.' $stackFrame = (int) 1 $trace = [ (int) 0 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ServerRequest.php', 'line' => (int) 2421, 'function' => 'deprecationWarning', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead.' ] ], (int) 1 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php', 'line' => (int) 73, 'function' => 'offsetGet', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ServerRequest', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'catslug' ] ], (int) 2 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Controller/Controller.php', 'line' => (int) 610, 'function' => 'printArticle', 'class' => 'App\Controller\ArtileDetailController', 'object' => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ], (int) 3 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php', 'line' => (int) 120, 'function' => 'invokeAction', 'class' => 'Cake\Controller\Controller', 'object' => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ], (int) 4 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php', 'line' => (int) 94, 'function' => '_invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {} ] ], (int) 5 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/BaseApplication.php', 'line' => (int) 235, 'function' => 'dispatch', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 6 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\BaseApplication', 'object' => object(App\Application) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 7 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 162, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 8 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 9 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 88, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 10 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 11 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 96, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 12 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 13 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 51, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 14 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Server.php', 'line' => (int) 98, 'function' => 'run', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\MiddlewareQueue) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 15 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/webroot/index.php', 'line' => (int) 39, 'function' => 'run', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Server', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Server) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ] ] $frame = [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php', 'line' => (int) 73, 'function' => 'offsetGet', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ServerRequest', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) { trustProxy => false [protected] params => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] data => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] query => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] cookies => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] _environment => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] url => 'latest-news-updates/missing-the-evidence-sourindra-ghosh-and-atul-sood-24991/print' [protected] base => '' [protected] webroot => '/' [protected] here => '/latest-news-updates/missing-the-evidence-sourindra-ghosh-and-atul-sood-24991/print' [protected] trustedProxies => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] _input => null [protected] _detectors => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] _detectorCache => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] stream => object(Zend\Diactoros\PhpInputStream) {} [protected] uri => object(Zend\Diactoros\Uri) {} [protected] session => object(Cake\Http\Session) {} [protected] attributes => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] emulatedAttributes => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] uploadedFiles => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] protocol => null [protected] requestTarget => null [private] deprecatedProperties => [ [maximum depth reached] ] }, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'catslug' ] ]deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311 Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421 App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::printArticle() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 73 Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51 Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98
Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 74 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]Code Context
trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);
}
$message = 'The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 74 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.' $stackFrame = (int) 1 $trace = [ (int) 0 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ServerRequest.php', 'line' => (int) 2421, 'function' => 'deprecationWarning', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead.' ] ], (int) 1 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php', 'line' => (int) 74, 'function' => 'offsetGet', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ServerRequest', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'artileslug' ] ], (int) 2 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Controller/Controller.php', 'line' => (int) 610, 'function' => 'printArticle', 'class' => 'App\Controller\ArtileDetailController', 'object' => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ], (int) 3 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php', 'line' => (int) 120, 'function' => 'invokeAction', 'class' => 'Cake\Controller\Controller', 'object' => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ], (int) 4 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php', 'line' => (int) 94, 'function' => '_invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(App\Controller\ArtileDetailController) {} ] ], (int) 5 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/BaseApplication.php', 'line' => (int) 235, 'function' => 'dispatch', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 6 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\BaseApplication', 'object' => object(App\Application) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 7 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 162, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 8 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 9 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 88, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 10 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 11 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php', 'line' => (int) 96, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 12 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 65, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware', 'object' => object(Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {} ] ], (int) 13 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Runner.php', 'line' => (int) 51, 'function' => '__invoke', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 14 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Http/Server.php', 'line' => (int) 98, 'function' => 'run', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Runner', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Runner) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\Http\MiddlewareQueue) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\Http\Response) {} ] ], (int) 15 => [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/webroot/index.php', 'line' => (int) 39, 'function' => 'run', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\Server', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\Server) {}, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [] ] ] $frame = [ 'file' => '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php', 'line' => (int) 74, 'function' => 'offsetGet', 'class' => 'Cake\Http\ServerRequest', 'object' => object(Cake\Http\ServerRequest) { trustProxy => false [protected] params => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] data => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] query => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] cookies => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] _environment => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] url => 'latest-news-updates/missing-the-evidence-sourindra-ghosh-and-atul-sood-24991/print' [protected] base => '' [protected] webroot => '/' [protected] here => '/latest-news-updates/missing-the-evidence-sourindra-ghosh-and-atul-sood-24991/print' [protected] trustedProxies => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] _input => null [protected] _detectors => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] _detectorCache => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] stream => object(Zend\Diactoros\PhpInputStream) {} [protected] uri => object(Zend\Diactoros\Uri) {} [protected] session => object(Cake\Http\Session) {} [protected] attributes => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] emulatedAttributes => [ [maximum depth reached] ] [protected] uploadedFiles => [[maximum depth reached]] [protected] protocol => null [protected] requestTarget => null [private] deprecatedProperties => [ [maximum depth reached] ] }, 'type' => '->', 'args' => [ (int) 0 => 'artileslug' ] ]deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311 Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421 App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::printArticle() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 74 Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51 Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98
Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]Code Contextif (Configure::read('debug')) {
trigger_error($message, E_USER_WARNING);
} else {
$response = object(Cake\Http\Response) { 'status' => (int) 200, 'contentType' => 'text/html', 'headers' => [ 'Content-Type' => [ [maximum depth reached] ] ], 'file' => null, 'fileRange' => [], 'cookies' => object(Cake\Http\Cookie\CookieCollection) {}, 'cacheDirectives' => [], 'body' => '<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd"> <html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"> <head> <link rel="canonical" href="https://im4change.in/<pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr680492a2da751-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr680492a2da751-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Notice</b> (8)</a>: Undefined variable: urlPrefix [<b>APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp</b>, line <b>8</b>]<div id="cakeErr680492a2da751-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr680492a2da751-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr680492a2da751-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr680492a2da751-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr680492a2da751-context').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr680492a2da751-code" class="cake-code-dump" style="display: none;"><code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"></span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">head</span><span style="color: #007700">> </span></span></code> <span class="code-highlight"><code><span style="color: #000000"> <link rel="canonical" href="<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">Configure</span><span style="color: #007700">::</span><span style="color: #0000BB">read</span><span style="color: #007700">(</span><span style="color: #DD0000">'SITE_URL'</span><span style="color: #007700">); </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$urlPrefix</span><span style="color: #007700">;</span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">category</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">slug</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>/<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">seo_url</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>.html"/> </span></code></span> <code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"> </span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">meta http</span><span style="color: #007700">-</span><span style="color: #0000BB">equiv</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"Content-Type" </span><span style="color: #0000BB">content</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"text/html; charset=utf-8"</span><span style="color: #007700">/> </span></span></code></pre><pre id="cakeErr680492a2da751-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$viewFile = '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp' $dataForView = [ 'article_current' => object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 24809, 'title' => 'Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood', 'subheading' => '', 'description' => '<div style="text-align: justify"> -The Indian Express </div> <p style="text-align: justify"> &nbsp; </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> <em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em> </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;<a href="../latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being &quot;neither equitable nor inclusive&quot; (&lsquo;The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012). </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-&agrave;-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states? </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a &quot;rank ordering of relative performance&quot; for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are &quot;subject to ceiling and floor constraints&quot;? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-&agrave;-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (&lsquo;Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from &quot;Development&quot;?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the &quot;Gujarat style&quot; economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> <em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em> </p>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Indian Express, 6 May, 2014, http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/missing-the-evidence/99/', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'missing-the-evidence-sourindra-ghosh-and-atul-sood-24991', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 24991, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], '[dirty]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[original]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[virtual]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[invalid]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[repository]' => 'Articles' }, 'articleid' => (int) 24809, 'metaTitle' => 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood', 'metaKeywords' => 'Economic Development,Economic Growth,Gujarat,inclusive growth', 'metaDesc' => ' -The Indian Express &nbsp; The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining. Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;Gujarat's inclusive growth', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case...', 'disp' => '<div style="text-align: justify">-The Indian Express</div><p style="text-align: justify">&nbsp;</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify">Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being &quot;neither equitable nor inclusive&quot; (&lsquo;The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012).</p><p style="text-align: justify">There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-&agrave;-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern.</p><p style="text-align: justify">The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states?</p><p style="text-align: justify">The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a &quot;rank ordering of relative performance&quot; for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are &quot;subject to ceiling and floor constraints&quot;? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-&agrave;-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant.</p><p style="text-align: justify">It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (&lsquo;Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from &quot;Development&quot;?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the &quot;Gujarat style&quot; economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it.</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em></p>', 'lang' => 'English', 'SITE_URL' => 'https://im4change.in/', 'site_title' => 'im4change', 'adminprix' => 'admin' ] $article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 24809, 'title' => 'Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood', 'subheading' => '', 'description' => '<div style="text-align: justify"> -The Indian Express </div> <p style="text-align: justify"> &nbsp; </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> <em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em> </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;<a href="../latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being &quot;neither equitable nor inclusive&quot; (&lsquo;The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012). </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-&agrave;-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states? </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a &quot;rank ordering of relative performance&quot; for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are &quot;subject to ceiling and floor constraints&quot;? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-&agrave;-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (&lsquo;Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from &quot;Development&quot;?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the &quot;Gujarat style&quot; economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> <em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em> </p>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Indian Express, 6 May, 2014, http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/missing-the-evidence/99/', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'missing-the-evidence-sourindra-ghosh-and-atul-sood-24991', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 24991, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 3 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {} ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ '*' => true, 'id' => false ], '[dirty]' => [], '[original]' => [], '[virtual]' => [], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [], '[invalid]' => [], '[repository]' => 'Articles' } $articleid = (int) 24809 $metaTitle = 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood' $metaKeywords = 'Economic Development,Economic Growth,Gujarat,inclusive growth' $metaDesc = ' -The Indian Express &nbsp; The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining. Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;Gujarat's inclusive growth', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case...' $disp = '<div style="text-align: justify">-The Indian Express</div><p style="text-align: justify">&nbsp;</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify">Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being &quot;neither equitable nor inclusive&quot; (&lsquo;The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012).</p><p style="text-align: justify">There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-&agrave;-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern.</p><p style="text-align: justify">The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states?</p><p style="text-align: justify">The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a &quot;rank ordering of relative performance&quot; for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are &quot;subject to ceiling and floor constraints&quot;? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-&agrave;-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant.</p><p style="text-align: justify">It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (&lsquo;Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from &quot;Development&quot;?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the &quot;Gujarat style&quot; economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it.</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em></p>' $lang = 'English' $SITE_URL = 'https://im4change.in/' $site_title = 'im4change' $adminprix = 'admin'</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp, line 8 Cake\View\View::_evaluate() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1413 Cake\View\View::_render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1374 Cake\View\View::renderLayout() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 927 Cake\View\View::render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 885 Cake\Controller\Controller::render() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 791 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 126 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51</pre></div></pre>latest-news-updates/missing-the-evidence-sourindra-ghosh-and-atul-sood-24991.html"/> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"/> <link href="https://im4change.in/css/control.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="all"/> <title>LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood | Im4change.org</title> <meta name="description" content=" -The Indian Express The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining. Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (‘Gujarat's inclusive growth', IE, April 12, ‘Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and ‘Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case..."/> <script src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-1.10.2.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-migrate.min.js"></script> <script language="javascript" type="text/javascript"> $(document).ready(function () { var img = $("img")[0]; // Get my img elem var pic_real_width, pic_real_height; $("<img/>") // Make in memory copy of image to avoid css issues .attr("src", $(img).attr("src")) .load(function () { pic_real_width = this.width; // Note: $(this).width() will not pic_real_height = this.height; // work for in memory images. }); }); </script> <style type="text/css"> @media screen { div.divFooter { display: block; } } @media print { .printbutton { display: none !important; } } </style> </head> <body> <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" width="98%" align="center"> <tr> <td class="top_bg"> <div class="divFooter"> <img src="https://im4change.in/images/logo1.jpg" height="59" border="0" alt="Resource centre on India's rural distress" style="padding-top:14px;"/> </div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td id="topspace"> </td> </tr> <tr id="topspace"> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-bottom:1px solid #000; padding-top:10px;" class="printbutton"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%"> <h1 class="news_headlines" style="font-style:normal"> <strong>Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood</strong></h1> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%" style="font-family:Arial, 'Segoe Script', 'Segoe UI', sans-serif, serif"><font size="3"> <div style="text-align: justify">-The Indian Express</div><p style="text-align: justify"> </p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify">Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (‘<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, ‘Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and ‘Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being "neither equitable nor inclusive" (‘The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012).</p><p style="text-align: justify">There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-à-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern.</p><p style="text-align: justify">The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states?</p><p style="text-align: justify">The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a "rank ordering of relative performance" for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are "subject to ceiling and floor constraints"? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-à-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant.</p><p style="text-align: justify">It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (‘Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from "Development"?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the "Gujarat style" economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it.</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em></p> </font> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-top:1px solid #000; border-bottom:1px solid #000;padding-top:10px;"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> </table></body> </html>' } $maxBufferLength = (int) 8192 $file = '/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php' $line = (int) 853 $message = 'Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853'Cake\Http\ResponseEmitter::emit() - CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48 Cake\Http\Server::emit() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 141 [main] - ROOT/webroot/index.php, line 39
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It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being &quot;neither equitable nor inclusive&quot; (&lsquo;The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012). </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-&agrave;-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states? </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a &quot;rank ordering of relative performance&quot; for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are &quot;subject to ceiling and floor constraints&quot;? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-&agrave;-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (&lsquo;Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from &quot;Development&quot;?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the &quot;Gujarat style&quot; economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> <em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. 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Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;Gujarat's inclusive growth', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case...', 'disp' => '<div style="text-align: justify">-The Indian Express</div><p style="text-align: justify">&nbsp;</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify">Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being &quot;neither equitable nor inclusive&quot; (&lsquo;The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012).</p><p style="text-align: justify">There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-&agrave;-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern.</p><p style="text-align: justify">The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states?</p><p style="text-align: justify">The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a &quot;rank ordering of relative performance&quot; for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are &quot;subject to ceiling and floor constraints&quot;? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-&agrave;-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant.</p><p style="text-align: justify">It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (&lsquo;Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from &quot;Development&quot;?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the &quot;Gujarat style&quot; economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it.</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em></p>', 'lang' => 'English', 'SITE_URL' => 'https://im4change.in/', 'site_title' => 'im4change', 'adminprix' => 'admin' ] $article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 24809, 'title' => 'Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood', 'subheading' => '', 'description' => '<div style="text-align: justify"> -The Indian Express </div> <p style="text-align: justify"> &nbsp; </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> <em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em> </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;<a href="../latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being &quot;neither equitable nor inclusive&quot; (&lsquo;The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012). </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-&agrave;-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states? </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a &quot;rank ordering of relative performance&quot; for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are &quot;subject to ceiling and floor constraints&quot;? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-&agrave;-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (&lsquo;Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from &quot;Development&quot;?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the &quot;Gujarat style&quot; economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> <em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em> </p>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Indian Express, 6 May, 2014, http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/missing-the-evidence/99/', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'missing-the-evidence-sourindra-ghosh-and-atul-sood-24991', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 24991, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 3 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {} ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ '*' => true, 'id' => false ], '[dirty]' => [], '[original]' => [], '[virtual]' => [], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [], '[invalid]' => [], '[repository]' => 'Articles' } $articleid = (int) 24809 $metaTitle = 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood' $metaKeywords = 'Economic Development,Economic Growth,Gujarat,inclusive growth' $metaDesc = ' -The Indian Express &nbsp; The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining. Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;Gujarat's inclusive growth', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case...' $disp = '<div style="text-align: justify">-The Indian Express</div><p style="text-align: justify">&nbsp;</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify">Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being &quot;neither equitable nor inclusive&quot; (&lsquo;The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012).</p><p style="text-align: justify">There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-&agrave;-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern.</p><p style="text-align: justify">The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states?</p><p style="text-align: justify">The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a &quot;rank ordering of relative performance&quot; for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are &quot;subject to ceiling and floor constraints&quot;? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-&agrave;-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant.</p><p style="text-align: justify">It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (&lsquo;Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from &quot;Development&quot;?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the &quot;Gujarat style&quot; economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it.</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em></p>' $lang = 'English' $SITE_URL = 'https://im4change.in/' $site_title = 'im4change' $adminprix = 'admin'</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp, line 8 Cake\View\View::_evaluate() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1413 Cake\View\View::_render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1374 Cake\View\View::renderLayout() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 927 Cake\View\View::render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 885 Cake\Controller\Controller::render() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 791 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 126 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51</pre></div></pre>latest-news-updates/missing-the-evidence-sourindra-ghosh-and-atul-sood-24991.html"/> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"/> <link href="https://im4change.in/css/control.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="all"/> <title>LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood | Im4change.org</title> <meta name="description" content=" -The Indian Express The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining. Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (‘Gujarat's inclusive growth', IE, April 12, ‘Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and ‘Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case..."/> <script src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-1.10.2.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-migrate.min.js"></script> <script language="javascript" type="text/javascript"> $(document).ready(function () { var img = $("img")[0]; // Get my img elem var pic_real_width, pic_real_height; $("<img/>") // Make in memory copy of image to avoid css issues .attr("src", $(img).attr("src")) .load(function () { pic_real_width = this.width; // Note: $(this).width() will not pic_real_height = this.height; // work for in memory images. }); }); </script> <style type="text/css"> @media screen { div.divFooter { display: block; } } @media print { .printbutton { display: none !important; } } </style> </head> <body> <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" width="98%" align="center"> <tr> <td class="top_bg"> <div class="divFooter"> <img src="https://im4change.in/images/logo1.jpg" height="59" border="0" alt="Resource centre on India's rural distress" style="padding-top:14px;"/> </div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td id="topspace"> </td> </tr> <tr id="topspace"> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-bottom:1px solid #000; padding-top:10px;" class="printbutton"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%"> <h1 class="news_headlines" style="font-style:normal"> <strong>Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood</strong></h1> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%" style="font-family:Arial, 'Segoe Script', 'Segoe UI', sans-serif, serif"><font size="3"> <div style="text-align: justify">-The Indian Express</div><p style="text-align: justify"> </p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify">Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (‘<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, ‘Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and ‘Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being "neither equitable nor inclusive" (‘The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012).</p><p style="text-align: justify">There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-à-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern.</p><p style="text-align: justify">The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states?</p><p style="text-align: justify">The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a "rank ordering of relative performance" for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are "subject to ceiling and floor constraints"? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-à-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant.</p><p style="text-align: justify">It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (‘Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from "Development"?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the "Gujarat style" economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it.</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em></p> </font> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-top:1px solid #000; border-bottom:1px solid #000;padding-top:10px;"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> </table></body> </html>' } $reasonPhrase = 'OK'header - [internal], line ?? 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'' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr680492a2da751-code" class="cake-code-dump" style="display: none;"><code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"></span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">head</span><span style="color: #007700">> </span></span></code> <span class="code-highlight"><code><span style="color: #000000"> <link rel="canonical" href="<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">Configure</span><span style="color: #007700">::</span><span style="color: #0000BB">read</span><span style="color: #007700">(</span><span style="color: #DD0000">'SITE_URL'</span><span style="color: #007700">); </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$urlPrefix</span><span style="color: #007700">;</span><span style="color: #0000BB">?><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">category</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">slug</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>/<span style="color: #0000BB"><?php </span><span style="color: #007700">echo </span><span style="color: #0000BB">$article_current</span><span style="color: #007700">-></span><span style="color: #0000BB">seo_url</span><span style="color: #007700">; </span><span style="color: #0000BB">?></span>.html"/> </span></code></span> <code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"> </span><span style="color: #007700"><</span><span style="color: #0000BB">meta http</span><span style="color: #007700">-</span><span style="color: #0000BB">equiv</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"Content-Type" </span><span style="color: #0000BB">content</span><span style="color: #007700">=</span><span style="color: #DD0000">"text/html; charset=utf-8"</span><span style="color: #007700">/> </span></span></code></pre><pre id="cakeErr680492a2da751-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$viewFile = '/home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp' $dataForView = [ 'article_current' => object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 24809, 'title' => 'Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood', 'subheading' => '', 'description' => '<div style="text-align: justify"> -The Indian Express </div> <p style="text-align: justify"> &nbsp; </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> <em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em> </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;<a href="../latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being &quot;neither equitable nor inclusive&quot; (&lsquo;The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012). </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-&agrave;-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states? </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a &quot;rank ordering of relative performance&quot; for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are &quot;subject to ceiling and floor constraints&quot;? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-&agrave;-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (&lsquo;Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from &quot;Development&quot;?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the &quot;Gujarat style&quot; economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> <em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em> </p>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Indian Express, 6 May, 2014, http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/missing-the-evidence/99/', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'missing-the-evidence-sourindra-ghosh-and-atul-sood-24991', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 24991, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ [maximum depth reached] ], '[dirty]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[original]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[virtual]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[invalid]' => [[maximum depth reached]], '[repository]' => 'Articles' }, 'articleid' => (int) 24809, 'metaTitle' => 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood', 'metaKeywords' => 'Economic Development,Economic Growth,Gujarat,inclusive growth', 'metaDesc' => ' -The Indian Express &nbsp; The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining. Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;Gujarat's inclusive growth', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case...', 'disp' => '<div style="text-align: justify">-The Indian Express</div><p style="text-align: justify">&nbsp;</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify">Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being &quot;neither equitable nor inclusive&quot; (&lsquo;The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012).</p><p style="text-align: justify">There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-&agrave;-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern.</p><p style="text-align: justify">The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states?</p><p style="text-align: justify">The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a &quot;rank ordering of relative performance&quot; for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are &quot;subject to ceiling and floor constraints&quot;? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-&agrave;-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant.</p><p style="text-align: justify">It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (&lsquo;Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from &quot;Development&quot;?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the &quot;Gujarat style&quot; economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it.</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em></p>', 'lang' => 'English', 'SITE_URL' => 'https://im4change.in/', 'site_title' => 'im4change', 'adminprix' => 'admin' ] $article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 24809, 'title' => 'Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood', 'subheading' => '', 'description' => '<div style="text-align: justify"> -The Indian Express </div> <p style="text-align: justify"> &nbsp; </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> <em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em> </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;<a href="../latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being &quot;neither equitable nor inclusive&quot; (&lsquo;The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012). </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-&agrave;-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states? </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a &quot;rank ordering of relative performance&quot; for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are &quot;subject to ceiling and floor constraints&quot;? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-&agrave;-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (&lsquo;Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from &quot;Development&quot;?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the &quot;Gujarat style&quot; economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> <em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em> </p>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Indian Express, 6 May, 2014, http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/missing-the-evidence/99/', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'missing-the-evidence-sourindra-ghosh-and-atul-sood-24991', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 24991, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 3 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {} ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ '*' => true, 'id' => false ], '[dirty]' => [], '[original]' => [], '[virtual]' => [], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [], '[invalid]' => [], '[repository]' => 'Articles' } $articleid = (int) 24809 $metaTitle = 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood' $metaKeywords = 'Economic Development,Economic Growth,Gujarat,inclusive growth' $metaDesc = ' -The Indian Express &nbsp; The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining. Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;Gujarat's inclusive growth', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case...' $disp = '<div style="text-align: justify">-The Indian Express</div><p style="text-align: justify">&nbsp;</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify">Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (&lsquo;<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, &lsquo;Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and &lsquo;Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being &quot;neither equitable nor inclusive&quot; (&lsquo;The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012).</p><p style="text-align: justify">There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-&agrave;-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern.</p><p style="text-align: justify">The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states?</p><p style="text-align: justify">The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a &quot;rank ordering of relative performance&quot; for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are &quot;subject to ceiling and floor constraints&quot;? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-&agrave;-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant.</p><p style="text-align: justify">It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (&lsquo;Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from &quot;Development&quot;?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the &quot;Gujarat style&quot; economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it.</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em></p>' $lang = 'English' $SITE_URL = 'https://im4change.in/' $site_title = 'im4change' $adminprix = 'admin'</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp, line 8 Cake\View\View::_evaluate() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1413 Cake\View\View::_render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 1374 Cake\View\View::renderLayout() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 927 Cake\View\View::render() - CORE/src/View/View.php, line 885 Cake\Controller\Controller::render() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 791 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 126 Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94 Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96 Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65 Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51</pre></div></pre>latest-news-updates/missing-the-evidence-sourindra-ghosh-and-atul-sood-24991.html"/> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"/> <link href="https://im4change.in/css/control.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="all"/> <title>LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood | Im4change.org</title> <meta name="description" content=" -The Indian Express The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining. Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (‘Gujarat's inclusive growth', IE, April 12, ‘Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and ‘Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case..."/> <script src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-1.10.2.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://im4change.in/js/jquery-migrate.min.js"></script> <script language="javascript" type="text/javascript"> $(document).ready(function () { var img = $("img")[0]; // Get my img elem var pic_real_width, pic_real_height; $("<img/>") // Make in memory copy of image to avoid css issues .attr("src", $(img).attr("src")) .load(function () { pic_real_width = this.width; // Note: $(this).width() will not pic_real_height = this.height; // work for in memory images. }); }); </script> <style type="text/css"> @media screen { div.divFooter { display: block; } } @media print { .printbutton { display: none !important; } } </style> </head> <body> <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" width="98%" align="center"> <tr> <td class="top_bg"> <div class="divFooter"> <img src="https://im4change.in/images/logo1.jpg" height="59" border="0" alt="Resource centre on India's rural distress" style="padding-top:14px;"/> </div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td id="topspace"> </td> </tr> <tr id="topspace"> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-bottom:1px solid #000; padding-top:10px;" class="printbutton"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%"> <h1 class="news_headlines" style="font-style:normal"> <strong>Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood</strong></h1> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="100%" style="font-family:Arial, 'Segoe Script', 'Segoe UI', sans-serif, serif"><font size="3"> <div style="text-align: justify">-The Indian Express</div><p style="text-align: justify"> </p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify">Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (‘<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, ‘Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and ‘Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being "neither equitable nor inclusive" (‘The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012).</p><p style="text-align: justify">There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-à-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern.</p><p style="text-align: justify">The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states?</p><p style="text-align: justify">The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a "rank ordering of relative performance" for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are "subject to ceiling and floor constraints"? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-à-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant.</p><p style="text-align: justify">It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (‘Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from "Development"?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the "Gujarat style" economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it.</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em></p> </font> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="50" style="border-top:1px solid #000; border-bottom:1px solid #000;padding-top:10px;"> <form><input type="button" value=" Print this page " onclick="window.print();return false;"/></form> </td> </tr> </table></body> </html>' } $cookies = [] $values = [ (int) 0 => 'text/html; charset=UTF-8' ] $name = 'Content-Type' $first = true $value = 'text/html; charset=UTF-8'header - [internal], line ?? Cake\Http\ResponseEmitter::emitHeaders() - CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 181 Cake\Http\ResponseEmitter::emit() - CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 55 Cake\Http\Server::emit() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 141 [main] - ROOT/webroot/index.php, line 39
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It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being "neither equitable nor inclusive" (‘The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012). </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-à-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states? </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a "rank ordering of relative performance" for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are "subject to ceiling and floor constraints"? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-à-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Are children going to school in Gujarat? 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It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being "neither equitable nor inclusive" (‘The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012).</p><p style="text-align: justify">There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-à-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern.</p><p style="text-align: justify">The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states?</p><p style="text-align: justify">The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a "rank ordering of relative performance" for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are "subject to ceiling and floor constraints"? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-à-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant.</p><p style="text-align: justify">It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (‘Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from "Development"?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the "Gujarat style" economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it.</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em></p>', 'lang' => 'English', 'SITE_URL' => 'https://im4change.in/', 'site_title' => 'im4change', 'adminprix' => 'admin' ] $article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) { 'id' => (int) 24809, 'title' => 'Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood', 'subheading' => '', 'description' => '<div style="text-align: justify"> -The Indian Express </div> <p style="text-align: justify"> </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> <em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em> </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (‘<a href="../latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, ‘Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and ‘Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being "neither equitable nor inclusive" (‘The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012). </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-à-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states? </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a "rank ordering of relative performance" for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are "subject to ceiling and floor constraints"? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-à-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (‘Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from "Development"?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the "Gujarat style" economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it. </p> <p style="text-align: justify"> <em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em> </p>', 'credit_writer' => 'The Indian Express, 6 May, 2014, http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/missing-the-evidence/99/', 'article_img' => '', 'article_img_thumb' => '', 'status' => (int) 1, 'show_on_home' => (int) 1, 'lang' => 'EN', 'category_id' => (int) 16, 'tag_keyword' => '', 'seo_url' => 'missing-the-evidence-sourindra-ghosh-and-atul-sood-24991', 'meta_title' => null, 'meta_keywords' => null, 'meta_description' => null, 'noindex' => (int) 0, 'publish_date' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenDate) {}, 'most_visit_section_id' => null, 'article_big_img' => null, 'liveid' => (int) 24991, 'created' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'modified' => object(Cake\I18n\FrozenTime) {}, 'edate' => '', 'tags' => [ (int) 0 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 1 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 2 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {}, (int) 3 => object(Cake\ORM\Entity) {} ], 'category' => object(App\Model\Entity\Category) {}, '[new]' => false, '[accessible]' => [ '*' => true, 'id' => false ], '[dirty]' => [], '[original]' => [], '[virtual]' => [], '[hasErrors]' => false, '[errors]' => [], '[invalid]' => [], '[repository]' => 'Articles' } $articleid = (int) 24809 $metaTitle = 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood' $metaKeywords = 'Economic Development,Economic Growth,Gujarat,inclusive growth' $metaDesc = ' -The Indian Express The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining. Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (‘Gujarat's inclusive growth', IE, April 12, ‘Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and ‘Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case...' $disp = '<div style="text-align: justify">-The Indian Express</div><p style="text-align: justify"> </p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify">Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (‘<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/gujarats-inclusive-growth-surjit-s-bhalla-24990.html">Gujarat's inclusive growth</a>', IE, April 12, ‘Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and ‘Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being "neither equitable nor inclusive" (‘The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012).</p><p style="text-align: justify">There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-à-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern.</p><p style="text-align: justify">The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states?</p><p style="text-align: justify">The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a "rank ordering of relative performance" for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are "subject to ceiling and floor constraints"? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-à-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant.</p><p style="text-align: justify">It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (‘Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from "Development"?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers.</p><p style="text-align: justify">Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13.</p><p style="text-align: justify">So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the "Gujarat style" economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it.</p><p style="text-align: justify"><em>Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi</em></p>' $lang = 'English' $SITE_URL = 'https://im4change.in/' $site_title = 'im4change' $adminprix = 'admin'
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Missing the evidence-Sourindra Ghosh and Atul Sood |
-The Indian Express
The Gujarat model, if there is one, is not shining. Surjit Bhalla, in recent articles (‘Gujarat's inclusive growth', IE, April 12, ‘Gujarat's other calling card', IE, April 19 and ‘Just name-calling', IE, April 26), has been making a case for Narendra Modi's prime ministerial candidacy by praising the Gujarat development model. It is surprising because, just a year ago, he critiqued Gujarat's growth model for being "neither equitable nor inclusive" (‘The Modi metric', IE, December 13, 2012). There are three fundamental inconsistencies in his recent approach. The first is conceptual. Previously, he was talking about the inequitable and non-inclusive nature of Gujarat's growth model in terms of the unequal status of Muslims and SC/STs vis-à-vis others in the state. In recent articles, he has abandoned this concern. The second inconsistency is methodological. He had earlier compared Gujarat with all states. In recent articles, he compares Gujarat with states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001. There are two problems with this: the states that had similar levels of per capita income in 2001 may not be the same in 2010, so the definition of the comparison doesn't remain consistent. Also, why not compare Gujarat against all states? The third is the technique of comparison, wherein he is inconsistent. In his previous approach, Bhalla does a "rank ordering of relative performance" for indicators like education and poverty reduction, which are subject to ceiling and floor constraints. In his present approach, he compares aggregate percentage point changes. So what happens if we compare Gujarat's performance against all states (subject to availability of data) by rank ordering the indicators that are "subject to ceiling and floor constraints"? This method was followed in Poverty Amidst Prosperity: Essays on Trajectory of Development in Gujarat (edited by Atul Sood, 2012), and specifically on health and education. It had shown the inequitable status of marginalised groups vis-à-vis others in Gujarat and establishes on a range of indicators that the Gujarat model is not shining. Even in aggregate terms relative to the other states, has Gujarat improved in terms of quality of life? Let's take inequality. Inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient; the floor being 0 and the ceiling 1. Among all the 32 states and Union Territories (UTs), Gujarat's rank in equality of consumer expenditure has overall deteriorated during the period 1999-2000 to 2009-10, for both rural (13th to 17th position) and urban (11th to 13th position) areas. How is the state of education in Gujarat? On literacy, Gujarat's rank among all 35 states and UTs has deteriorated from 15th in 2001 to 18th in 2011. Are children going to school in Gujarat? Among 32 comparable states and UTs, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of children of school-going age (6-14 years) attending any educational institution has fallen from 21st in 1999-2000 to 25th in 2011-12. On sanitation, having a latrine at home is a basic indicator. According to the Census, Gujarat's rank in terms of percentage of houses with toilets at home has deteriorated from 13th in 2001 to 22nd in 2011 among all 35 states and UTs. The infant mortality rate for Gujarat remained stagnant. It is not so surprising that, relative to other states, the standard of life for common people in Gujarat is deteriorating. As Jayati Ghosh and C.P. Chandrasekhar point out (‘Have Workers in Gujarat Benefited from "Development"?' Business Line, March 31), casual workers' wages in Gujarat are significantly lower than in other states. We have ranked 35 states and UTs in terms of rural and urban wages of regular-wage/ salaried employees and casual workers. Results from the latest NSSO data of 2011-12 corroborate our findings, that is, for regular-wage/ salaried employees, Gujarat ranks 28th and 35th in rural and urban areas respectively in terms of average wages; for casual workers, it ranks 33rd and 31st in rural and urban areas respectively. The government is playing no redistributive role to reverse the situation - the state ranks 27th among 30 states and UTs in terms of social-sector expenditure as a share of the GSDP in 2010-13. So Surjit Bhalla's conclusion that the development experience of Gujarat is worth replicating is inconsistent and not based on evidence. If we look at a range of critical studies in recent years, where the claims of the "Gujarat style" economic strategy have been questioned, we see a narrative that is consistently evidence-based. But others who have suddenly discovered Gujarat, based on selective reading and incorrect measurement techniques, are arguing that there is only one evidence and they are the only ones to have it. Ghosh is research consultant, Council for Social Development. Sood teaches at the Centre for the Study of Regional Development, JNU, Delhi |