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Modi and Shah are wrong: Several states have higher crime rates than UP (including BJP-ruled ones) -Manoj K

-Scroll.in / Factchecker.in

NCRB data does not bear out the leaders' claim of lawlessness in Uttar Pradesh.

Uttar Pradesh has reached “number one” in crime, Prime Minister Narendra Modi said on February 5, repeating the claim five days later. Similarly, Bharatiya Janata Party chief Amit Shah said on February 3 that states ruled by the BJP have a better law-and-order record than Uttar Pradesh.

The crime situation has been a constant refrain in the electoral battle for India’s most populous state, but the facts – garnered from the Centre’s own crime database – did not support the assertions made by Modi and Shah. In 2015 (the year for which latest data is available), Factchecker found that, compared to Uttar Pradesh, 27 states and union territories had a higher rate of rapes, 21 had a higher murder rate, 19 had a higher rate of kidnapping and abduction, 16 had a higher rate of riots and 18 had higher theft rates.

We also found that many BJP-ruled states had higher crime rates than Uttar Pradesh.

A caveat: crime data nationwide is often not an accurate reflection of crime because it is compiled by the National Crime Records Bureau, a division of the Union Ministry of Home Affairs, with data sent by states.

Some crimes, such as rape and assault, could be hidden or not reported, but others that result in a body – such as murder or dowry death – are harder to hide. For instance, Bihar – India’s third-most-populous state, with the country’s poorest people – has a crime rate lower than more prosperous states with fewer people, such as Gujarat, Kerala, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh, as IndiaSpend reported in May. Factchecker also reported in March 2015 how Uttar Pradesh was misrepresenting some crime and health data.

In general, while northern states tend to under-report crime than those in the south, their crime data largely reflect crime trends.

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