Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 73
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::printArticle() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 73
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Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 74
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::printArticle() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 74
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]
Code Context
            if (Configure::read('debug')) {

                trigger_error($message, E_USER_WARNING);

            } else {
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    <link rel="canonical" href="https://im4change.in/<pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr6802f6d2095f3-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr6802f6d2095f3-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Notice</b> (8)</a>: Undefined variable: urlPrefix [<b>APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp</b>, line <b>8</b>]<div id="cakeErr6802f6d2095f3-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr6802f6d2095f3-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr6802f6d2095f3-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr6802f6d2095f3-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr6802f6d2095f3-context').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr6802f6d2095f3-code" class="cake-code-dump" style="display: none;"><code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"></span><span style="color: #007700">&lt;</span><span style="color: #0000BB">head</span><span style="color: #007700">&gt;
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		&#039;title&#039; =&gt; &#039;Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx&#039;,
		&#039;subheading&#039; =&gt; &#039;&#039;,
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-Business Standard&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&amp;quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;CLOUDS OF HOPE&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Agriculture&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Water crisis&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Rural demand&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Drought alleviation&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o effect is waning
&lt;/div&gt;&#039;,
		&#039;credit_writer&#039; =&gt; &#039;Business Standard, 7 April, 2016, http://www.business-standard.com/article/current-affairs/rains-may-break-2-yr-el-nino-jinx-116040700067_1.html&#039;,
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-Business Standard

After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand

Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be...&#039;,
	&#039;disp&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;-Business Standard&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&amp;quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;CLOUDS OF HOPE&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;Agriculture&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Water crisis&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Rural demand&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Drought alleviation&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o effect is waning&lt;/div&gt;&#039;,
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	&#039;id&#039; =&gt; (int) 30974,
	&#039;title&#039; =&gt; &#039;Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx&#039;,
	&#039;subheading&#039; =&gt; &#039;&#039;,
	&#039;description&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
-Business Standard&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&amp;quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;CLOUDS OF HOPE&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Agriculture&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Water crisis&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Rural demand&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Drought alleviation&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o effect is waning
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-Business Standard

After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand

Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be...&#039;
$disp = &#039;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;-Business Standard&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&amp;quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;CLOUDS OF HOPE&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;Agriculture&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Water crisis&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Rural demand&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Drought alleviation&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o effect is waning&lt;/div&gt;&#039;
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After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand

Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be..."/>
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                <strong>Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx</strong></h1>
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                <div align="justify">-Business Standard<br /><br /><em>After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand<br /></em><br />Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.<br /><br />Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.<br /><br />Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.<br /><br />The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.<br /><br />&quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.<br /><br />The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.<br /><br />The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br /><br />&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br /><br />Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br /><br />On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br /><br />The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br /><br />El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br /><br />The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br /><br />&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br /><br />Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br /><br />On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br /><br />The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br /><br />El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br /><br /><strong>CLOUDS OF HOPE<br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors<br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em>Agriculture<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve<br /><br /><em>Water crisis<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month<br /><br /><em>Rural demand<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon<br /><br /><em>Drought alleviation<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&ntilde;o effect is waning</div>               </font>
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		&#039;title&#039; =&gt; &#039;Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx&#039;,
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-Business Standard&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&amp;quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;CLOUDS OF HOPE&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Agriculture&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Water crisis&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Rural demand&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Drought alleviation&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o effect is waning
&lt;/div&gt;&#039;,
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-Business Standard

After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand

Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be...&#039;,
	&#039;disp&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;-Business Standard&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&amp;quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;CLOUDS OF HOPE&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;Agriculture&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Water crisis&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Rural demand&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Drought alleviation&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o effect is waning&lt;/div&gt;&#039;,
	&#039;lang&#039; =&gt; &#039;English&#039;,
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	&#039;id&#039; =&gt; (int) 30974,
	&#039;title&#039; =&gt; &#039;Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx&#039;,
	&#039;subheading&#039; =&gt; &#039;&#039;,
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-Business Standard&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&amp;quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;CLOUDS OF HOPE&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Agriculture&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Water crisis&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Rural demand&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Drought alleviation&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o effect is waning
&lt;/div&gt;&#039;,
	&#039;credit_writer&#039; =&gt; &#039;Business Standard, 7 April, 2016, http://www.business-standard.com/article/current-affairs/rains-may-break-2-yr-el-nino-jinx-116040700067_1.html&#039;,
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$metaTitle = &#039;LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx&#039;
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-Business Standard

After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand

Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be...&#039;
$disp = &#039;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;-Business Standard&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&amp;quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;CLOUDS OF HOPE&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;Agriculture&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Water crisis&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Rural demand&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Drought alleviation&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o effect is waning&lt;/div&gt;&#039;
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-Business Standard

After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand

Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be..."/>
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                <strong>Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx</strong></h1>
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                <div align="justify">-Business Standard<br /><br /><em>After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand<br /></em><br />Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.<br /><br />Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.<br /><br />Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.<br /><br />The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.<br /><br />&quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.<br /><br />The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.<br /><br />The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br /><br />&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br /><br />Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br /><br />On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br /><br />The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br /><br />El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br /><br />The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br /><br />&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br /><br />Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br /><br />On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br /><br />The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br /><br />El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br /><br /><strong>CLOUDS OF HOPE<br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors<br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em>Agriculture<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve<br /><br /><em>Water crisis<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month<br /><br /><em>Rural demand<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon<br /><br /><em>Drought alleviation<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&ntilde;o effect is waning</div>               </font>
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		&#039;title&#039; =&gt; &#039;Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx&#039;,
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		&#039;description&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
-Business Standard&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&amp;quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;CLOUDS OF HOPE&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Agriculture&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Water crisis&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Rural demand&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Drought alleviation&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o effect is waning
&lt;/div&gt;&#039;,
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	&#039;metaTitle&#039; =&gt; &#039;LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx&#039;,
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-Business Standard

After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand

Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be...&#039;,
	&#039;disp&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;-Business Standard&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&amp;quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;CLOUDS OF HOPE&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;Agriculture&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Water crisis&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Rural demand&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Drought alleviation&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o effect is waning&lt;/div&gt;&#039;,
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	&#039;id&#039; =&gt; (int) 30974,
	&#039;title&#039; =&gt; &#039;Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx&#039;,
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-Business Standard&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&amp;quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;CLOUDS OF HOPE&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Agriculture&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Water crisis&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Rural demand&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Drought alleviation&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o effect is waning
&lt;/div&gt;&#039;,
	&#039;credit_writer&#039; =&gt; &#039;Business Standard, 7 April, 2016, http://www.business-standard.com/article/current-affairs/rains-may-break-2-yr-el-nino-jinx-116040700067_1.html&#039;,
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$metaTitle = &#039;LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx&#039;
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-Business Standard

After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand

Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be...&#039;
$disp = &#039;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;-Business Standard&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan&#039;s hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&amp;quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&amp;quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&amp;ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;CLOUDS OF HOPE&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;Agriculture&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Water crisis&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Rural demand&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Drought alleviation&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o effect is waning&lt;/div&gt;&#039;
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-Business Standard

After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand

Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be..."/>
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                <strong>Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx</strong></h1>
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                <div align="justify">-Business Standard<br /><br /><em>After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand<br /></em><br />Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.<br /><br />Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.<br /><br />Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.<br /><br />The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.<br /><br />&quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.<br /><br />The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.<br /><br />The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br /><br />&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br /><br />Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br /><br />On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br /><br />The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br /><br />El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br /><br />The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br /><br />&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br /><br />Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br /><br />On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br /><br />The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br /><br />El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br /><br /><strong>CLOUDS OF HOPE<br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors<br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em>Agriculture<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve<br /><br /><em>Water crisis<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month<br /><br /><em>Rural demand<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon<br /><br /><em>Drought alleviation<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&ntilde;o effect is waning</div>               </font>
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-Business Standard<br />
<br />
<em>After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand<br />
</em><br />
Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.<br />
<br />
Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.<br />
<br />
Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.<br />
<br />
The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.<br />
<br />
&quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.<br />
<br />
The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.<br />
<br />
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br />
<br />
&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br />
<br />
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br />
<br />
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br />
<br />
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br />
<br />
El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br />
<br />
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br />
<br />
&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br />
<br />
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br />
<br />
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br />
<br />
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br />
<br />
El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br />
<br />
<strong>CLOUDS OF HOPE<br />
</strong>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors<br />
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<em>Agriculture<br />
</em>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve<br />
<br />
<em>Water crisis<br />
</em>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month<br />
<br />
<em>Rural demand<br />
</em>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon<br />
<br />
<em>Drought alleviation<br />
</em>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&ntilde;o effect is waning
</div>',
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-Business Standard

After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand

Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be...',
	'disp' => '<div align="justify">-Business Standard<br /><br /><em>After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand<br /></em><br />Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.<br /><br />Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.<br /><br />Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.<br /><br />The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.<br /><br />&quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.<br /><br />The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.<br /><br />The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br /><br />&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br /><br />Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br /><br />On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br /><br />The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br /><br />El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br /><br />The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br /><br />&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br /><br />Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br /><br />On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br /><br />The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br /><br />El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br /><br /><strong>CLOUDS OF HOPE<br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors<br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em>Agriculture<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve<br /><br /><em>Water crisis<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month<br /><br /><em>Rural demand<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon<br /><br /><em>Drought alleviation<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&ntilde;o effect is waning</div>',
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	'title' => 'Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx',
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-Business Standard<br />
<br />
<em>After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand<br />
</em><br />
Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.<br />
<br />
Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.<br />
<br />
Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.<br />
<br />
The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.<br />
<br />
&quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.<br />
<br />
The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.<br />
<br />
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br />
<br />
&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br />
<br />
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br />
<br />
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br />
<br />
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br />
<br />
El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br />
<br />
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br />
<br />
&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br />
<br />
Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br />
<br />
On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br />
<br />
The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br />
<br />
El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br />
<br />
<strong>CLOUDS OF HOPE<br />
</strong>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors<br />
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<em>Agriculture<br />
</em>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve<br />
<br />
<em>Water crisis<br />
</em>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month<br />
<br />
<em>Rural demand<br />
</em>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon<br />
<br />
<em>Drought alleviation<br />
</em>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&ntilde;o effect is waning
</div>',
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$metaTitle = 'LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx'
$metaKeywords = 'La Niña,El Niño,rainfall,Rainfall Deficit,monsoon,farming,Agriculture,Irrigation'
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-Business Standard

After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand

Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be...'
$disp = '<div align="justify">-Business Standard<br /><br /><em>After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand<br /></em><br />Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled.<br /><br />Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year.<br /><br />Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA.<br /><br />The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm.<br /><br />&quot;As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast,&quot; D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard.<br /><br />The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good.<br /><br />The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br /><br />&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br /><br />Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br /><br />On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br /><br />The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br /><br />El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br /><br />The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal.<br /><br />&quot;All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent,&quot; Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said.<br /><br />Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains.<br /><br />On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal.<br /><br />The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Ni&ntilde;o, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years.<br /><br />El Ni&ntilde;o is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines.<br /><br /><strong>CLOUDS OF HOPE<br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors<br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em>Agriculture<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve<br /><br /><em>Water crisis<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month<br /><br /><em>Rural demand<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon<br /><br /><em>Drought alleviation<br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Ni&ntilde;o effect is waning</div>'
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Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx

-Business Standard After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled. Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year. Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the rainfall this year could be normal, with some forecasting it to be 102-103 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A monsoon is considered normal if rain during the June to September season is 96-104 per cent of the LPA. The LPA is average seasonal rainfall over the country in the past 50 years, starting from 1951. It is estimated, at present, to be 89 cm. "As of now, nothing is looking bad about the southwest monsoon this year. But, we are waiting for some more data, after which we will come out with our first seasonal forecast," D S Pai, deputy director general, climatology, India Meteorological Department (IMD), told Business Standard. The first official forecast of the IMD for the 2016 monsoon is expected to released around April 20. Other weather observers are also of the opinion that the rains this year could be good. The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal. "All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent," Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said. Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains. On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal. The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Niño, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years. El Niño is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines. The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said there is a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day - more than normal. "All global models are pointing towards a normal monsoon in India this year, with a possibility of it being on the higher side of the LPA, that is, more than 100 per cent," Mahesh Palawat, the chief meteorologist at the private weather forecasting company Skymet said. Skymet had predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but last year, its first forecast was off the mark from the actual rains. On April 1, Weather Risk Management Services (WRMS), a Gurgaon-based private forecaster, had also said monsoon this year would be better than normal. The main reason why meteorologists are optimistic about the monsoon is the waning of Niño, a weather phenomenon which has been blamed for the 2014 and 2015 droughts. This is only the fourth time in the past 115 years that there have been droughts on consecutive years. El Niño is a climate cycle in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warm water pools near Indonesia and the Philippines. CLOUDS OF HOPE   More rains could provide the much-needed fillip to different sectors   Agriculture   Could push agriculture gross domestic growth in 2016-17 to over 2%. Overall kharif production of foodgrain, which had dipped to 124.24 million tonnes in 2015-16 from128.06 million tonnes in 2014-15, might improve Water crisis   The rains would also fill up reservoirs in the western and southern parts of the country, many of which have dried up. That would help mitigate the drinking water crisis, which led to the Latur riots last month Rural demand   Overall rural consumption, which has slumped to a multi-year low, because of consecutive droughts and a historic fall in product prices, would get a big boost from a good monsoon Drought alleviation   In the past 100 years, three consecutive droughts have been unheard of. The drought over the past two years were the fourth case of consecutive all-India droughts in the past 115 years. All global models indicate the El Niño effect is waning