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Size of rural families shrinks: Sample registration system report -Abhishek Jha

-Hindustan Times

The Total Fertility Level (TFR) – defined as the number of children a woman is expected to have in her reproductive age (15-49 years) – in rural and urban India in 2019 has been estimated to be 2.3 and 1.7

Smaller rural families and an increase in working-age population -- these are some of the findings from the latest report of the Sample Registration System (SRS; for 2019) which was released on March 13.

According to the report, families in India’s villages are increasingly having fewer children, a trend that will bring down the size of rural households to around the same as their urban counterparts (which are smaller) in days to come. The Total Fertility Level (TFR) – defined as the number of children a woman is expected to have in her reproductive age (15-49 years) – in rural and urban India in 2019 has been estimated to be 2.3 and 1.7. Rural TFR is now closest to urban TFR since 2006, the earliest year for which this number is reported in the statistical SRS reports published online. In the 2006 SRS report, rural and urban TFR was 3.1 and 2. In the 2018 SRS, these numbers were 2.4 and 1.7.

The convergence in rural and urban fertility rates has an important bearing on the size of rural and urban households. According to the latest Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) report, the average size of rural and urban households was 4.2 and 3.8 respectively n 2019-20.

The SRS report also supports some of the findings of the National Family and Health Survey which were released in November last year. To be sure, the similarity is directional rather than absolute.

SRS, which is conducted by the Office of Registrar General which comes under the Ministry of Home Affairs is the only official source of demographic data except decadal censuses in India. The census is also conducted by it. The latest SRS round has a sample size of 8.2 million and was conducted across all states of India.

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