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The bad news from state budgets -Ishan Bakshi

-The Indian Express

States have spent less in this year, may focus on fiscal consolidation in the year to come. This belies hopes of a public-spending-led recovery.

Over the past few weeks, several state governments have presented their budgets for the financial year 2021-22. These budgets shed light not only on how state finances have fared during the current year (2020-21) but equally critically, detail the expenditure stance of these governments during these tumultuous years (2020-22). Considering that the states, put together, account for a larger share of general government spending than the Centre, their spending stance is pivotal to the hopes of a government spending-led economic recovery.

The broad state-level budget trends highlighted in this article are based on 11 states that account for a little over 60 per cent of India’s GDP. While more concrete trends will emerge once all states present their budgets, this does provide a sense of what transpired in the year almost gone by, and what to expect in the coming financial year.

Five broad trends emerge.

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