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UP Polls: Increased Atrocities, Economic Crisis Recast Usual Dalit Equations -Subodh Varma

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Both BJP and BSP may see dwindling dalit support with SP-RLD-SBSP alliance gaining.

The political churning going on in Uttar Pradesh is arguably the most intense among the dalit communities which make up a sizeable 21% of the population of the state. In the last election, the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) had managed to get significant support from various dalit communities winning 74 of 84 seats reserved for Scheduled Castes. The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) led by Mayawati managed to retain 22% of the vote share primarily on the basis of retaining a chunk of dalit – mainly jatav – votes, although it won only two of the reserved seats.

This time round, a combination of factors appears to have upended this equation. Dalits are disillusioned with BJP for not only its neglect of key issues like employment and farmers’ distress but also the uptick in violent crimes against dalits during Yogi Adityanath’s regime. The BSP has also lost some of its base because of its inability to defend the dalit cause and its virtual absence from the ground for most of this period.

INCREASED CRIMES AGAINST DALITS

Atrocities on dalits have increased during Yogi’s rule in the first four years for which data is available from the National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB).

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