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With rain deficit looming, IMD to 'review' forecast -Jacob Koshy

-The Hindu

Shortfall unlikely to impede agriculture, officials say.

Amidst concerns that monsoon rains could fall short of “normal,” the India Meteorological Department (IMD) is reviewing its projections.

Officials, however, told The Hindu that while July rains were less than expected, the shortfall was confined to the northeastern States of India and below-normal rains were unlikely to impede agriculture production. It’s expected to take a call before the weekend on whether to stick to — or downgrade — its May 30 forecast.

On Wednesday, private forecaster Skymet Weather said monsoon rains — June to September—would be at 92% of the historical Long Period Average (LPA) of 89 cm. It had earlier forecast rains to be “normal” or 100% of the LPA. The larger-than-anticipated shortfall in July and anticipated weak rains during the whole of August were key dampeners. The IMD hasn’t indicated any change in its numbers. On May 30, in an official update, it said that monsoon rains, overall, would be 97% of the LPA. July would see excess rains (101% of that month’s LPA) and August would see a shortfall (94% LPA), it had said.

“We are reviewing the situation, and will soon issue a statement. The monsoon has spread well to all the agriculturally-important regions,” said K.J. Ramesh, Director-General, IMD.

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