Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 73
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::printArticle() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 73
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 74
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::printArticle() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 74
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 88
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]
Code Context
            if (Configure::read('debug')) {

                trigger_error($message, E_USER_WARNING);

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		&#039;title&#039; =&gt; &#039;Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output&#039;,
		&#039;subheading&#039; =&gt; &#039;&#039;,
		&#039;description&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The &lt;em&gt;kharif &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; season.&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years&quot; width=&quot;335&quot; height=&quot;246&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
As per the &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot;&gt;Central Water Commission&lt;/a&gt;, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;Production of various crops&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The first advance estimates pertaining to &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;
Table 1: Production of various &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; crops (in million tonnes)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season&quot; width=&quot;334&quot; height=&quot;186&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;
Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
South west monsoon rainfall&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp;amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18&quot; width=&quot;274&quot; height=&quot;285&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
The document by the IMD entitled &lt;em&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report &lt;/em&gt;says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp;amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&amp;agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
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&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017&quot; width=&quot;362&quot; height=&quot;135&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;
Source: &lt;/strong&gt;IMD website, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot;&gt;http://www.imd.gov.in&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;
References:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, 
released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers 
Welfare, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Cropping seasons of India- &lt;em&gt;Kharif&lt;/em&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt;, Arthapedia, please &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Between 2013-14 &amp;amp; 2016-17, &lt;em&gt;rabi &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt; May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Acreage under &lt;em&gt;rabi&lt;/em&gt; crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
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The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the kharif foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by...&#039;,
	&#039;disp&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The &lt;em&gt;kharif &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; season.&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years&quot; width=&quot;335&quot; height=&quot;246&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;As per the &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot;&gt;Central Water Commission&lt;/a&gt;, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;Production of various crops&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The first advance estimates pertaining to &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Table 1: Production of various &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; crops (in million tonnes)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season&quot; width=&quot;334&quot; height=&quot;186&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;South west monsoon rainfall&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp;amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18&quot; width=&quot;274&quot; height=&quot;285&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access  &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The document by the IMD entitled &lt;em&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report &lt;/em&gt;says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp;amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&amp;agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017&quot; width=&quot;362&quot; height=&quot;135&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;IMD website, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot; title=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot;&gt;http://www.imd.gov.in&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;References:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Cropping seasons of India- &lt;em&gt;Kharif&lt;/em&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt;, Arthapedia, please &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot; title=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Between 2013-14 &amp;amp; 2016-17, &lt;em&gt;rabi &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt; May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Acreage under &lt;em&gt;rabi&lt;/em&gt; crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&#039;,
	&#039;lang&#039; =&gt; &#039;English&#039;,
	&#039;SITE_URL&#039; =&gt; &#039;https://im4change.in/&#039;,
	&#039;site_title&#039; =&gt; &#039;im4change&#039;,
	&#039;adminprix&#039; =&gt; &#039;admin&#039;
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$article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) {

	&#039;id&#039; =&gt; (int) 35050,
	&#039;title&#039; =&gt; &#039;Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output&#039;,
	&#039;subheading&#039; =&gt; &#039;&#039;,
	&#039;description&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The &lt;em&gt;kharif &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; season.&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
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&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years&quot; width=&quot;335&quot; height=&quot;246&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
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&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
As per the &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot;&gt;Central Water Commission&lt;/a&gt;, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;Production of various crops&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The first advance estimates pertaining to &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;
Table 1: Production of various &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; crops (in million tonnes)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
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&amp;nbsp;
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&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season&quot; width=&quot;334&quot; height=&quot;186&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
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&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;
Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
South west monsoon rainfall&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp;amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18&quot; width=&quot;274&quot; height=&quot;285&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
The document by the IMD entitled &lt;em&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report &lt;/em&gt;says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp;amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&amp;agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017&quot; width=&quot;362&quot; height=&quot;135&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;
Source: &lt;/strong&gt;IMD website, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot;&gt;http://www.imd.gov.in&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;
References:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, 
released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers 
Welfare, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Cropping seasons of India- &lt;em&gt;Kharif&lt;/em&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt;, Arthapedia, please &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Between 2013-14 &amp;amp; 2016-17, &lt;em&gt;rabi &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt; May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Acreage under &lt;em&gt;rabi&lt;/em&gt; crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
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$articleid = (int) 35050
$metaTitle = &#039;NEWS ALERTS | Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output&#039;
$metaKeywords = &#039;Kharif harvesting,Kharif crops,foodgrain production,rice production,Coarse cereals,Pulses Production,Oilseeds production,Oilseeds,Food Security&#039;
$metaDesc = &#039;

The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the kharif foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by...&#039;
$disp = &#039;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The &lt;em&gt;kharif &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; season.&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years&quot; width=&quot;335&quot; height=&quot;246&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;As per the &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot;&gt;Central Water Commission&lt;/a&gt;, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;Production of various crops&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The first advance estimates pertaining to &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Table 1: Production of various &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; crops (in million tonnes)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season&quot; width=&quot;334&quot; height=&quot;186&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;South west monsoon rainfall&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp;amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18&quot; width=&quot;274&quot; height=&quot;285&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access  &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The document by the IMD entitled &lt;em&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report &lt;/em&gt;says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp;amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&amp;agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017&quot; width=&quot;362&quot; height=&quot;135&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;IMD website, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot; title=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot;&gt;http://www.imd.gov.in&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;References:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Cropping seasons of India- &lt;em&gt;Kharif&lt;/em&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt;, Arthapedia, please &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot; title=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Between 2013-14 &amp;amp; 2016-17, &lt;em&gt;rabi &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt; May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Acreage under &lt;em&gt;rabi&lt;/em&gt; crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&#039;
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                <strong>Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output</strong></h1>
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                <br /><div align="justify">The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. <br /><br />The <em>kharif </em>foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &nbsp;<br /><br />The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the <em>kharif</em> season.&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<br /><br /><em></em></div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg" alt="Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years" width="335" height="246" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access</em> <br /><br />Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)</em><br /><br /><em><strong>Note: </strong>Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively</em><br /><br />As per the <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf">Central Water Commission</a>, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.<br /><br /><strong><em>Production of various crops</em></strong><br /><br />The first advance estimates pertaining to <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.<br /><br />Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. <br /><br />Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.<br /><br /><strong>Table 1: Production of various <em>kharif</em> crops (in million tonnes)<br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg" alt="Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season" width="334" height="186" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access </em><br /><em><br /><strong>Note: </strong>Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only</em><br /><strong><em><br />South west monsoon rainfall</em></strong><br /><br />A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.<br /><br /><strong>Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 <br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg" alt="Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18" width="274" height="285" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, </em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access  <br /></em><br />The document by the IMD entitled <em>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report </em>says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).<br /><br />The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.<br /><strong><br />Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017</strong><br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg" alt="Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017" width="362" height="135" /> <br /></div><div align="justify"><br /><em><strong>Source: </strong>IMD website, <a href="http://www.imd.gov.in" title="http://www.imd.gov.in">http://www.imd.gov.in</a> <br /></em><br /><br /><strong><em>References:</em></strong><br /><br />First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access<br /><br />2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access <br /><br />Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017">click here</a> to access<br /><br />Cropping seasons of India- <em>Kharif</em> &amp; <em>Rabi</em>, Arthapedia, please <a href="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Between 2013-14 &amp; 2016-17, <em>rabi </em>foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During <em>Rabi</em> May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Acreage under <em>rabi</em> crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />&nbsp;<br />&nbsp;<strong><br />Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak</strong><br />&nbsp; &nbsp;<br /><br /></div>               </font>
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		&#039;title&#039; =&gt; &#039;Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output&#039;,
		&#039;subheading&#039; =&gt; &#039;&#039;,
		&#039;description&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The &lt;em&gt;kharif &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; season.&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years&quot; width=&quot;335&quot; height=&quot;246&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
As per the &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot;&gt;Central Water Commission&lt;/a&gt;, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;Production of various crops&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The first advance estimates pertaining to &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;
Table 1: Production of various &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; crops (in million tonnes)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season&quot; width=&quot;334&quot; height=&quot;186&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;
Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
South west monsoon rainfall&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp;amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18&quot; width=&quot;274&quot; height=&quot;285&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
The document by the IMD entitled &lt;em&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report &lt;/em&gt;says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp;amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&amp;agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017&quot; width=&quot;362&quot; height=&quot;135&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;
Source: &lt;/strong&gt;IMD website, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot;&gt;http://www.imd.gov.in&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;
References:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, 
released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers 
Welfare, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Cropping seasons of India- &lt;em&gt;Kharif&lt;/em&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt;, Arthapedia, please &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Between 2013-14 &amp;amp; 2016-17, &lt;em&gt;rabi &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt; May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Acreage under &lt;em&gt;rabi&lt;/em&gt; crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
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2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
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&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
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2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
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2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
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Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
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	&#039;metaTitle&#039; =&gt; &#039;NEWS ALERTS | Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output&#039;,
	&#039;metaKeywords&#039; =&gt; &#039;Kharif harvesting,Kharif crops,foodgrain production,rice production,Coarse cereals,Pulses Production,Oilseeds production,Oilseeds,Food Security&#039;,
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The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the kharif foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by...&#039;,
	&#039;disp&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The &lt;em&gt;kharif &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; season.&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years&quot; width=&quot;335&quot; height=&quot;246&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;As per the &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot;&gt;Central Water Commission&lt;/a&gt;, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;Production of various crops&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The first advance estimates pertaining to &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Table 1: Production of various &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; crops (in million tonnes)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season&quot; width=&quot;334&quot; height=&quot;186&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;South west monsoon rainfall&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp;amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18&quot; width=&quot;274&quot; height=&quot;285&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access  &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The document by the IMD entitled &lt;em&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report &lt;/em&gt;says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp;amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&amp;agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017&quot; width=&quot;362&quot; height=&quot;135&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;IMD website, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot; title=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot;&gt;http://www.imd.gov.in&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;References:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Cropping seasons of India- &lt;em&gt;Kharif&lt;/em&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt;, Arthapedia, please &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot; title=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Between 2013-14 &amp;amp; 2016-17, &lt;em&gt;rabi &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt; May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Acreage under &lt;em&gt;rabi&lt;/em&gt; crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&#039;,
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	&#039;id&#039; =&gt; (int) 35050,
	&#039;title&#039; =&gt; &#039;Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output&#039;,
	&#039;subheading&#039; =&gt; &#039;&#039;,
	&#039;description&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The &lt;em&gt;kharif &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; season.&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years&quot; width=&quot;335&quot; height=&quot;246&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
As per the &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot;&gt;Central Water Commission&lt;/a&gt;, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;Production of various crops&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The first advance estimates pertaining to &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;
Table 1: Production of various &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; crops (in million tonnes)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season&quot; width=&quot;334&quot; height=&quot;186&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;
Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
South west monsoon rainfall&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp;amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18&quot; width=&quot;274&quot; height=&quot;285&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
The document by the IMD entitled &lt;em&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report &lt;/em&gt;says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp;amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&amp;agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017&quot; width=&quot;362&quot; height=&quot;135&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;
Source: &lt;/strong&gt;IMD website, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot;&gt;http://www.imd.gov.in&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;
References:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, 
released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers 
Welfare, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Cropping seasons of India- &lt;em&gt;Kharif&lt;/em&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt;, Arthapedia, please &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Between 2013-14 &amp;amp; 2016-17, &lt;em&gt;rabi &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt; May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Acreage under &lt;em&gt;rabi&lt;/em&gt; crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
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$articleid = (int) 35050
$metaTitle = &#039;NEWS ALERTS | Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output&#039;
$metaKeywords = &#039;Kharif harvesting,Kharif crops,foodgrain production,rice production,Coarse cereals,Pulses Production,Oilseeds production,Oilseeds,Food Security&#039;
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The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the kharif foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by...&#039;
$disp = &#039;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The &lt;em&gt;kharif &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; season.&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years&quot; width=&quot;335&quot; height=&quot;246&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;As per the &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot;&gt;Central Water Commission&lt;/a&gt;, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;Production of various crops&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The first advance estimates pertaining to &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Table 1: Production of various &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; crops (in million tonnes)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season&quot; width=&quot;334&quot; height=&quot;186&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;South west monsoon rainfall&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp;amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18&quot; width=&quot;274&quot; height=&quot;285&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access  &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The document by the IMD entitled &lt;em&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report &lt;/em&gt;says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp;amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&amp;agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017&quot; width=&quot;362&quot; height=&quot;135&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;IMD website, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot; title=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot;&gt;http://www.imd.gov.in&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;References:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Cropping seasons of India- &lt;em&gt;Kharif&lt;/em&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt;, Arthapedia, please &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot; title=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Between 2013-14 &amp;amp; 2016-17, &lt;em&gt;rabi &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt; May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Acreage under &lt;em&gt;rabi&lt;/em&gt; crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&#039;
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                <strong>Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output</strong></h1>
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                <br /><div align="justify">The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. <br /><br />The <em>kharif </em>foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &nbsp;<br /><br />The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the <em>kharif</em> season.&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<br /><br /><em></em></div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg" alt="Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years" width="335" height="246" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access</em> <br /><br />Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)</em><br /><br /><em><strong>Note: </strong>Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively</em><br /><br />As per the <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf">Central Water Commission</a>, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.<br /><br /><strong><em>Production of various crops</em></strong><br /><br />The first advance estimates pertaining to <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.<br /><br />Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. <br /><br />Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.<br /><br /><strong>Table 1: Production of various <em>kharif</em> crops (in million tonnes)<br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg" alt="Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season" width="334" height="186" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access </em><br /><em><br /><strong>Note: </strong>Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only</em><br /><strong><em><br />South west monsoon rainfall</em></strong><br /><br />A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.<br /><br /><strong>Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 <br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg" alt="Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18" width="274" height="285" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, </em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access  <br /></em><br />The document by the IMD entitled <em>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report </em>says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).<br /><br />The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.<br /><strong><br />Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017</strong><br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg" alt="Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017" width="362" height="135" /> <br /></div><div align="justify"><br /><em><strong>Source: </strong>IMD website, <a href="http://www.imd.gov.in" title="http://www.imd.gov.in">http://www.imd.gov.in</a> <br /></em><br /><br /><strong><em>References:</em></strong><br /><br />First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access<br /><br />2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access <br /><br />Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017">click here</a> to access<br /><br />Cropping seasons of India- <em>Kharif</em> &amp; <em>Rabi</em>, Arthapedia, please <a href="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Between 2013-14 &amp; 2016-17, <em>rabi </em>foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During <em>Rabi</em> May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Acreage under <em>rabi</em> crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />&nbsp;<br />&nbsp;<strong><br />Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak</strong><br />&nbsp; &nbsp;<br /><br /></div>               </font>
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    <link rel="canonical" href="https://im4change.in/<pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr67fe96382798e-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr67fe96382798e-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Notice</b> (8)</a>: Undefined variable: urlPrefix [<b>APP/Template/Layout/printlayout.ctp</b>, line <b>8</b>]<div id="cakeErr67fe96382798e-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr67fe96382798e-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr67fe96382798e-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr67fe96382798e-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr67fe96382798e-context').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr67fe96382798e-code" class="cake-code-dump" style="display: none;"><code><span style="color: #000000"><span style="color: #0000BB"></span><span style="color: #007700">&lt;</span><span style="color: #0000BB">head</span><span style="color: #007700">&gt;
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		&#039;title&#039; =&gt; &#039;Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output&#039;,
		&#039;subheading&#039; =&gt; &#039;&#039;,
		&#039;description&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The &lt;em&gt;kharif &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; season.&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;
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&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years&quot; width=&quot;335&quot; height=&quot;246&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
As per the &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot;&gt;Central Water Commission&lt;/a&gt;, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;Production of various crops&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The first advance estimates pertaining to &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;
Table 1: Production of various &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; crops (in million tonnes)&lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season&quot; width=&quot;334&quot; height=&quot;186&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;
Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
South west monsoon rainfall&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp;amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18&quot; width=&quot;274&quot; height=&quot;285&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
The document by the IMD entitled &lt;em&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report &lt;/em&gt;says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp;amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&amp;agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017&quot; width=&quot;362&quot; height=&quot;135&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;
Source: &lt;/strong&gt;IMD website, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot;&gt;http://www.imd.gov.in&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;
References:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, 
released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers 
Welfare, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Cropping seasons of India- &lt;em&gt;Kharif&lt;/em&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt;, Arthapedia, please &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Between 2013-14 &amp;amp; 2016-17, &lt;em&gt;rabi &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt; May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Acreage under &lt;em&gt;rabi&lt;/em&gt; crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
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	&#039;metaTitle&#039; =&gt; &#039;NEWS ALERTS | Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output&#039;,
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The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the kharif foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by...&#039;,
	&#039;disp&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The &lt;em&gt;kharif &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; season.&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years&quot; width=&quot;335&quot; height=&quot;246&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;As per the &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot;&gt;Central Water Commission&lt;/a&gt;, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;Production of various crops&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The first advance estimates pertaining to &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Table 1: Production of various &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; crops (in million tonnes)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season&quot; width=&quot;334&quot; height=&quot;186&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;South west monsoon rainfall&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp;amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18&quot; width=&quot;274&quot; height=&quot;285&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access  &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The document by the IMD entitled &lt;em&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report &lt;/em&gt;says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp;amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&amp;agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017&quot; width=&quot;362&quot; height=&quot;135&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;IMD website, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot; title=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot;&gt;http://www.imd.gov.in&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;References:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Cropping seasons of India- &lt;em&gt;Kharif&lt;/em&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt;, Arthapedia, please &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot; title=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Between 2013-14 &amp;amp; 2016-17, &lt;em&gt;rabi &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt; May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Acreage under &lt;em&gt;rabi&lt;/em&gt; crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&#039;,
	&#039;lang&#039; =&gt; &#039;English&#039;,
	&#039;SITE_URL&#039; =&gt; &#039;https://im4change.in/&#039;,
	&#039;site_title&#039; =&gt; &#039;im4change&#039;,
	&#039;adminprix&#039; =&gt; &#039;admin&#039;
]
$article_current = object(App\Model\Entity\Article) {

	&#039;id&#039; =&gt; (int) 35050,
	&#039;title&#039; =&gt; &#039;Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output&#039;,
	&#039;subheading&#039; =&gt; &#039;&#039;,
	&#039;description&#039; =&gt; &#039;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The &lt;em&gt;kharif &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; season.&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;
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&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years&quot; width=&quot;335&quot; height=&quot;246&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
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&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
As per the &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot;&gt;Central Water Commission&lt;/a&gt;, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;Production of various crops&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The first advance estimates pertaining to &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;
Table 1: Production of various &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; crops (in million tonnes)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
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&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
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&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season&quot; width=&quot;334&quot; height=&quot;186&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
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&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;
Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
South west monsoon rainfall&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp;amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
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&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18&quot; width=&quot;274&quot; height=&quot;285&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
The document by the IMD entitled &lt;em&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report &lt;/em&gt;says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp;amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&amp;agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017&quot; width=&quot;362&quot; height=&quot;135&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;
Source: &lt;/strong&gt;IMD website, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot;&gt;http://www.imd.gov.in&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;
References:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, 
released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers 
Welfare, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Cropping seasons of India- &lt;em&gt;Kharif&lt;/em&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt;, Arthapedia, please &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Between 2013-14 &amp;amp; 2016-17, &lt;em&gt;rabi &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt; May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Acreage under &lt;em&gt;rabi&lt;/em&gt; crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;../latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
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Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
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$metaTitle = &#039;NEWS ALERTS | Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output&#039;
$metaKeywords = &#039;Kharif harvesting,Kharif crops,foodgrain production,rice production,Coarse cereals,Pulses Production,Oilseeds production,Oilseeds,Food Security&#039;
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The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the kharif foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by...&#039;
$disp = &#039;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The &lt;em&gt;kharif &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; season.&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years&quot; width=&quot;335&quot; height=&quot;246&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;As per the &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot;&gt;Central Water Commission&lt;/a&gt;, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;Production of various crops&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The first advance estimates pertaining to &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Table 1: Production of various &lt;em&gt;kharif&lt;/em&gt; crops (in million tonnes)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season&quot; width=&quot;334&quot; height=&quot;186&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Note: &lt;/strong&gt;Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;South west monsoon rainfall&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp;amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18&quot; width=&quot;274&quot; height=&quot;285&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access  &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The document by the IMD entitled &lt;em&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report &lt;/em&gt;says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp;amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&amp;agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017&quot; width=&quot;362&quot; height=&quot;135&quot; /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Source: &lt;/strong&gt;IMD website, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot; title=&quot;http://www.imd.gov.in&quot;&gt;http://www.imd.gov.in&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;References:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp;amp; Farmers Welfare, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf&quot; title=&quot;First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf&quot; title=&quot;Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Cropping seasons of India- &lt;em&gt;Kharif&lt;/em&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt;, Arthapedia, please &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot; title=&quot;http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Between 2013-14 &amp;amp; 2016-17, &lt;em&gt;rabi &lt;/em&gt;foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During &lt;em&gt;Rabi&lt;/em&gt; May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Acreage under &lt;em&gt;rabi&lt;/em&gt; crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align=&quot;justify&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please &lt;a href=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot; title=&quot;https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html&quot;&gt;click here&lt;/a&gt; to access&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&#039;
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The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the kharif foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by..."/>
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                <strong>Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output</strong></h1>
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                <br /><div align="justify">The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. <br /><br />The <em>kharif </em>foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &nbsp;<br /><br />The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the <em>kharif</em> season.&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<br /><br /><em></em></div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg" alt="Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years" width="335" height="246" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access</em> <br /><br />Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)</em><br /><br /><em><strong>Note: </strong>Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively</em><br /><br />As per the <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf">Central Water Commission</a>, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.<br /><br /><strong><em>Production of various crops</em></strong><br /><br />The first advance estimates pertaining to <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.<br /><br />Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. <br /><br />Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.<br /><br /><strong>Table 1: Production of various <em>kharif</em> crops (in million tonnes)<br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg" alt="Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season" width="334" height="186" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access </em><br /><em><br /><strong>Note: </strong>Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only</em><br /><strong><em><br />South west monsoon rainfall</em></strong><br /><br />A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.<br /><br /><strong>Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 <br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg" alt="Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18" width="274" height="285" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, </em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access  <br /></em><br />The document by the IMD entitled <em>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report </em>says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).<br /><br />The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.<br /><strong><br />Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017</strong><br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg" alt="Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017" width="362" height="135" /> <br /></div><div align="justify"><br /><em><strong>Source: </strong>IMD website, <a href="http://www.imd.gov.in" title="http://www.imd.gov.in">http://www.imd.gov.in</a> <br /></em><br /><br /><strong><em>References:</em></strong><br /><br />First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access<br /><br />2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access <br /><br />Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017">click here</a> to access<br /><br />Cropping seasons of India- <em>Kharif</em> &amp; <em>Rabi</em>, Arthapedia, please <a href="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Between 2013-14 &amp; 2016-17, <em>rabi </em>foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During <em>Rabi</em> May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Acreage under <em>rabi</em> crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />&nbsp;<br />&nbsp;<strong><br />Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak</strong><br />&nbsp; &nbsp;<br /><br /></div>               </font>
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		'title' => 'Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output',
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<div align="justify">
The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. <br />
<br />
The <em>kharif </em>foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &nbsp;<br />
<br />
The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the <em>kharif</em> season.&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<br />
<br />
<em>
</em>
</div>
<div align="justify">
<img src="tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg" alt="Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years" width="335" height="246" /> <br />
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em><em>please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access</em> <br />
<br />
Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)</em><br />
<br />
<em><strong>Note: </strong>Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively</em><br />
<br />
As per the <a href="tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf">Central Water Commission</a>, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.<br />
<br />
<strong><em>Production of various crops</em></strong><br />
<br />
The first advance estimates pertaining to <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.<br />
<br />
Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. <br />
<br />
Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.<br />
<br />
<strong>
Table 1: Production of various <em>kharif</em> crops (in million tonnes)<br />
</strong>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<img src="tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg" alt="Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season" width="334" height="186" /> <br />
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em>please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access </em><br />
<em><br />
<strong>
Note: </strong>Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only</em><br />
<strong><em><br />
South west monsoon rainfall</em></strong><br />
<br />
A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.<br />
<br />
<strong>Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 <br />
</strong>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<img src="tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg" alt="Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18" width="274" height="285" /> <br />
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<em><strong>Source: </strong>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, </em><em>please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access  <br />
</em><br />
The document by the IMD entitled <em>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report </em>says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).<br />
<br />
The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.<br />
<strong><br />
Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017</strong><br />
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<img src="tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg" alt="Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017" width="362" height="135" /> <br />
</div>
<div align="justify">
<br />
<em><strong>
Source: </strong>IMD website, <a href="http://www.imd.gov.in">http://www.imd.gov.in</a> <br />
</em><br />
<br />
<strong><em>
References:</em></strong><br />
<br />
First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, 
released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers 
Welfare, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access<br />
<br />
2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access <br />
<br />
Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017">click here</a> to access<br />
<br />
Cropping seasons of India- <em>Kharif</em> &amp; <em>Rabi</em>, Arthapedia, please <a href="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />
<br />
Between 2013-14 &amp; 2016-17, <em>rabi </em>foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please <a href="../news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />
<br />
Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During <em>Rabi</em> May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please <a href="../news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />
<br />
Acreage under <em>rabi</em> crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please <a href="../news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />
<br />
2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access
</div>
<div align="justify">
<br />
2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access
</div>
<div align="justify">
<br />
2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf">click here</a> to access
</div>
<div align="justify">
<br />
2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access
</div>
<div align="justify">
<br />
2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access
</div>
<div align="justify">
<br />
Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please <a href="../latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />
<br />
South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please <a href="../latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />
&nbsp;<br />
&nbsp;<strong><br />
Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak</strong><br />
&nbsp; &nbsp;<br />
<br />
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	'metaTitle' => 'NEWS ALERTS | Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output',
	'metaKeywords' => 'Kharif harvesting,Kharif crops,foodgrain production,rice production,Coarse cereals,Pulses Production,Oilseeds production,Oilseeds,Food Security',
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The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the kharif foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by...',
	'disp' => '<br /><div align="justify">The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. <br /><br />The <em>kharif </em>foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &nbsp;<br /><br />The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the <em>kharif</em> season.&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<br /><br /><em></em></div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg" alt="Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years" width="335" height="246" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access</em> <br /><br />Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)</em><br /><br /><em><strong>Note: </strong>Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively</em><br /><br />As per the <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf">Central Water Commission</a>, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.<br /><br /><strong><em>Production of various crops</em></strong><br /><br />The first advance estimates pertaining to <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.<br /><br />Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. <br /><br />Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.<br /><br /><strong>Table 1: Production of various <em>kharif</em> crops (in million tonnes)<br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg" alt="Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season" width="334" height="186" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access </em><br /><em><br /><strong>Note: </strong>Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only</em><br /><strong><em><br />South west monsoon rainfall</em></strong><br /><br />A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.<br /><br /><strong>Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 <br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg" alt="Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18" width="274" height="285" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, </em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access  <br /></em><br />The document by the IMD entitled <em>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report </em>says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).<br /><br />The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.<br /><strong><br />Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017</strong><br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg" alt="Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017" width="362" height="135" /> <br /></div><div align="justify"><br /><em><strong>Source: </strong>IMD website, <a href="http://www.imd.gov.in" title="http://www.imd.gov.in">http://www.imd.gov.in</a> <br /></em><br /><br /><strong><em>References:</em></strong><br /><br />First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access<br /><br />2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access <br /><br />Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017">click here</a> to access<br /><br />Cropping seasons of India- <em>Kharif</em> &amp; <em>Rabi</em>, Arthapedia, please <a href="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Between 2013-14 &amp; 2016-17, <em>rabi </em>foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During <em>Rabi</em> May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Acreage under <em>rabi</em> crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />&nbsp;<br />&nbsp;<strong><br />Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak</strong><br />&nbsp; &nbsp;<br /><br /></div>',
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	'title' => 'Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output',
	'subheading' => '',
	'description' => '<br />
<div align="justify">
The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. <br />
<br />
The <em>kharif </em>foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &nbsp;<br />
<br />
The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the <em>kharif</em> season.&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<br />
<br />
<em>
</em>
</div>
<div align="justify">
<img src="tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg" alt="Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years" width="335" height="246" /> <br />
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em><em>please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access</em> <br />
<br />
Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)</em><br />
<br />
<em><strong>Note: </strong>Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively</em><br />
<br />
As per the <a href="tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf">Central Water Commission</a>, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.<br />
<br />
<strong><em>Production of various crops</em></strong><br />
<br />
The first advance estimates pertaining to <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.<br />
<br />
Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. <br />
<br />
Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.<br />
<br />
<strong>
Table 1: Production of various <em>kharif</em> crops (in million tonnes)<br />
</strong>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<img src="tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg" alt="Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season" width="334" height="186" /> <br />
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em>please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access </em><br />
<em><br />
<strong>
Note: </strong>Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only</em><br />
<strong><em><br />
South west monsoon rainfall</em></strong><br />
<br />
A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.<br />
<br />
<strong>Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 <br />
</strong>
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<img src="tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg" alt="Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18" width="274" height="285" /> <br />
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<em><strong>Source: </strong>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, </em><em>please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access  <br />
</em><br />
The document by the IMD entitled <em>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report </em>says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).<br />
<br />
The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.<br />
<strong><br />
Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017</strong><br />
</div>
<div align="justify">
&nbsp;
</div>
<div align="justify">
<img src="tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg" alt="Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017" width="362" height="135" /> <br />
</div>
<div align="justify">
<br />
<em><strong>
Source: </strong>IMD website, <a href="http://www.imd.gov.in">http://www.imd.gov.in</a> <br />
</em><br />
<br />
<strong><em>
References:</em></strong><br />
<br />
First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, 
released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers 
Welfare, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access<br />
<br />
2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access <br />
<br />
Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017">click here</a> to access<br />
<br />
Cropping seasons of India- <em>Kharif</em> &amp; <em>Rabi</em>, Arthapedia, please <a href="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />
<br />
Between 2013-14 &amp; 2016-17, <em>rabi </em>foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please <a href="../news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />
<br />
Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During <em>Rabi</em> May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please <a href="../news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />
<br />
Acreage under <em>rabi</em> crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please <a href="../news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />
<br />
2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access
</div>
<div align="justify">
<br />
2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access
</div>
<div align="justify">
<br />
2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf">click here</a> to access
</div>
<div align="justify">
<br />
2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access
</div>
<div align="justify">
<br />
2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access
</div>
<div align="justify">
<br />
Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please <a href="../latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />
<br />
South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please <a href="../latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />
&nbsp;<br />
&nbsp;<strong><br />
Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak</strong><br />
&nbsp; &nbsp;<br />
<br />
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$metaTitle = 'NEWS ALERTS | Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output'
$metaKeywords = 'Kharif harvesting,Kharif crops,foodgrain production,rice production,Coarse cereals,Pulses Production,Oilseeds production,Oilseeds,Food Security'
$metaDesc = '

The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the kharif foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by...'
$disp = '<br /><div align="justify">The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. <br /><br />The <em>kharif </em>foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16. &nbsp;<br /><br />The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the <em>kharif</em> season.&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<br /><br /><em></em></div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Kharif%20foodgrain%20production%20(in%20million%20tonnes)%20and%20south%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20as%20a%20percentage%20of%20LPA%20in%20various%20years.jpg" alt="Chart 1 Kharif foodgrain production (in million tonnes) and south west monsoon rainfall as a percentage of LPA in various years" width="335" height="246" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access</em> <br /><br />Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)</em><br /><br /><em><strong>Note: </strong>Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively</em><br /><br />As per the <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf">Central Water Commission</a>, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year.<br /><br /><strong><em>Production of various crops</em></strong><br /><br />The first advance estimates pertaining to <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1.<br /><br />Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. <br /><br />Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.<br /><br /><strong>Table 1: Production of various <em>kharif</em> crops (in million tonnes)<br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops%20in%20kharif%20season.jpg" alt="Table 1 Production of various crops in kharif season" width="334" height="186" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, </em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access </em><br /><em><br /><strong>Note: </strong>Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only</em><br /><strong><em><br />South west monsoon rainfall</em></strong><br /><br />A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East &amp; Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2.<br /><br /><strong>Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18 <br /></strong></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%202%20South%20west%20monsoon%20rainfall%20in%20various%20parts%20of%20India%20in%202017-18.jpg" alt="Chart 2 South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18" width="274" height="285" /> <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, </em><em>please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access  <br /></em><br />The document by the IMD entitled <em>2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report </em>says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &amp; Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha).<br /><br />The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-&agrave;-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3.<br /><strong><br />Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017</strong><br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%203%20Distribution%20of%20Cumulative%20Rainfall%201%20June%202017%20to%2030%20Sep%202017.jpg" alt="Chart 3 Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall 1 June 2017 to 30 Sep 2017" width="362" height="135" /> <br /></div><div align="justify"><br /><em><strong>Source: </strong>IMD website, <a href="http://www.imd.gov.in" title="http://www.imd.gov.in">http://www.imd.gov.in</a> <br /></em><br /><br /><strong><em>References:</em></strong><br /><br />First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture &amp; Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/First%20Advance%20Estimates%20of%20Production%20of%20Foodgrains%20for%202017-18.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18">click here</a> to access<br /><br />2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2017%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20End%20of%20Season%20Report.pdf" title="2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report">click here</a> to access <br /><br />Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Live%20storage%20capacity%20of%2091%20reservoirs%20as%20on%2028%20September,%202017.pdf" title="Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September 2017">click here</a> to access<br /><br />Cropping seasons of India- <em>Kharif</em> &amp; <em>Rabi</em>, Arthapedia, please <a href="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Between 2013-14 &amp; 2016-17, <em>rabi </em>foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/between-2013-14-2016-17-rabi-foodgrain-output-likely-to-drop-by-1-million-tonne-4681900.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During <em>Rabi</em> May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/bumper-foodgrain-output-expected-in-2016-17-but-production-during-rabi-may-be-lower-vis-a-vis-2013-14-4681252.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Acreage under <em>rabi</em> crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify"><br />Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/monsoon-in-india-country-feels-the-pinch-as-rainfall-5-pct-less-than-normal-4682938.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/south-west-monsoon-deficit-could-worsen-farm-distress-sayantan-bera-4682549.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br />&nbsp;<br />&nbsp;<strong><br />Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak</strong><br />&nbsp; &nbsp;<br /><br /></div>'
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Poor south west monsoon rainfall sours hope for good foodgrain output

The phenomenal growth in foodgrain production witnessed in the 2016-17 crop year will not repeat this year. Early prediction by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare shows that the kharif foodgrain production in 2017-18 may likely to fall by 2.8 percent as compared that in the previous year. The kharif foodgrain production is expected to decline from 138.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 to 134.7 million tonnes in 2017-18. Readers may note that the kharif foodgrain production in 2016-17 increased by 10.7 percent as compared to that in 2015-16.   The chart-1 clearly shows that the total rainfall received by the country as a whole during the south west monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) declined by almost 2 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, which is likely to have caused a decline in foodgrain output in the kharif season.       Source: First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare, please click here to access Various reports of the India Meteorological Department (IMD) Note: Kharif foodgrain productions in 2016-17 and 2017-18 are based on Fourth Advance Estimates for 2016-17 and First Advance Estimates for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, respectively As per the Central Water Commission, as on 28 September, 2017, live storage available in the 91 reservoirs of the country was 103.429 billion cubic meters (BCM), whereas during last year the live storage available in these reservoirs for the corresponding period was 116.590 BCM. This corroborates the fact that the country has received lesser south west monsoon rainfall in 2017-18 as compared to the previous year. Production of various crops The first advance estimates pertaining to kharif foodgrain production for 2017-18 by the Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare indicates that rice production is likely to decline by 2.0 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 94.5 million tonnes. Please see table-1. Similarly, pulses production is anticipated to fall by 7.5 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18 to reach 8.7 million tonnes. Coarse cereals output and oilseeds production are likely to reduce by 3.7 percent and 7.7 percent between 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively. Table 1: Production of various kharif crops (in million tonnes)     Source: First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare, please click here to access Note: Foodgrain production has been calculated by summing up production of rice, wheat, pulses and coarse cereals only South west monsoon rainfall A recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that the highest south west rainfall (100 percent of LPA) was received by South Peninsula and the lowest rainfall (90 percent of LPA) was received by Northwest India. Central India and East & Northeast India have received south west monsoon rainfalls of 94 percent of LPA and 96 percent of LPA, respectively. Please consult chart-2. Chart 2: South west monsoon rainfall in various parts of India in 2017-18     Source: 2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please click here to access The document by the IMD entitled 2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report says that out of the total 36 meteorological subdivisions, the south west rainfall was normal in 25 subdivisions (constituting 65 percent of the total area of the country) and excess in 5 subdivisions (18 percent of the total area of the country). However, the south west monsoon rainfall was deficient in 6 subdivisions constituting 17 percent of the total area of the country. Out of the 6 deficient subdivisions, 4 subdivisions were from Northwest India (West and East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi) and 2 subdivisions were from the Central India (East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha). The IMD website shows that the monthly rainfall during the south west monsoon across the country as a whole was 104 percent of LPA in June, 102 percent of LPA in July, 87 percent of LPA in August, and 88 percent of LPA in September. It means that in the later months, south west monsoon rainfall remained inadequate vis-à-vis normal rainfall. In order to get an idea about the trend in south west monsoon rainfall over the months this year, please check chart-3. Chart 3: Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall from 1 June, 2017 to 30 September, 2017   Source: IMD website, http://www.imd.gov.in References: First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2017-18, released on 22 September, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare, please click here to access 2017 Southwest Monsoon End of Season Report, IMD, please click here to access Live storage capacity of 91 reservoirs as on 28 September, 2017, Central Water Commission, please click here to access Cropping seasons of India- Kharif & Rabi, Arthapedia, please click here to access  Between 2013-14 & 2016-17, rabi foodgrain output likely to drop by 1 million tonne, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change dated 24 May, 2017, please click here to access  Bumper Foodgrain Output Expected In 2016-17 But Production During Rabi May Be Lower Vis-a-vis 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 17 February, 2017, please click here to access  Acreage under rabi crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, News alert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please click here to access  2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please click here to access 2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please click here to access 2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh, India Meteorological Department, please click here to access 2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please click here to access 2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department, please click here to access Monsoon in India: Country feels the pinch as rainfall 5 pct less than normal, The Financial Express, 7 October, 2017, please click here to access  South-west monsoon deficit could worsen farm distress -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 17 August, 2017, please click here to access      Image Courtesy: Inclusive Media for Change/ Shambhu Ghatak