Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 150
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 150
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 97
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 151
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 151
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 97
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]
Code Context
            if (Configure::read('debug')) {

                trigger_error($message, E_USER_WARNING);

            } else {
$response = object(Cake\Http\Response) {

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        NEWS ALERTS | Bumper foodgrain output expected in 2016-17 but production during rabi may be lower vis-a-vis 2013-14    </title>
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After facing intense criticisms from various sections of the society following its policy of demonetisation during November-December, 2016, the NDA government has finally something solid to cheer about. 

Riding on the back of a normal monsoon, gross foodgrain production is..."/>
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After facing intense criticisms from various sections of the society following its policy of demonetisation during November-December, 2016, the NDA government has finally something solid to cheer about. 

Riding on the back of a normal monsoon, gross foodgrain production is..." />
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    <h1 class="cat-box-title">Bumper foodgrain output expected in 2016-17 but production during rabi may be lower vis-a-vis 2013-14</h1>
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                            <br /><div align="justify">After facing intense criticisms from various sections of the society following its policy of demonetisation during November-December, 2016, the NDA government has finally something solid to cheer about. <br /><br />Riding on the back of a normal monsoon, gross foodgrain production is likely to reach a record level of about 272.0 million tonnes in the crop year 2016-17. <br /><br />As per the second advance estimates of foodgrain production, which has been released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare on 15 February, 2017, the total foodgrain production in the crop year 2016-17 is not only expected to be higher than that in 2014-15 and 2015-16, it is also anticipated to surpass the previous record level of nearly 265.0 million tonnes of foodgrain output that was achieved in 2013-14.<br /><br /><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Total%20Foodgrain%20Production_1.jpg" alt="Chart 1 Total Foodgrain Production" width="345" height="249" /><br /><em><strong>Source: </strong>Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17, released on 15 February, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17">click here</a> to access<br /><br /><strong>Note: </strong>The figures for 2016-17 is based on second advance estimates, which has been released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare on 15 February, 2017. <br /><br />The total foodgrain production in each year has been calculated by adding together the total output of rice, wheat, coarse cerealsand pulses. <br />&nbsp;</em><br />If one were to believe the experts, then the expected total foodgrain production in 2016-17 cannot be compared with that of the previous two years i.e. 2014-15 and 2015-16 during which drought like condition was faced by most Indian states as a result of deficit monsoon rainfall.<br /><br />Since 2016-17 has been a normal year in terms of monsoon rainfall, so the expected total foodgrain production in this year should ideally be compared with that of a previous normal year -- in this case 2013-14.<br /><br />By comparing so, one finds that the gross foodgrain output actually increased by almost 2.6 percent between 2013-14 and 2016-17 i.e. from roughly 265.0 million tonnes to 272.0 million tonnes. Most media outlets have so far reported about this increase in foodgrain production in a positive manner. <br /><br />Between 2013-14 and 2016-17, the total foodgrain production during <em>kharif</em> is likely to increase from 128.7 million tonnes to 137.5 million tonnes i.e. by almost 6.8 percent. On account of a normal monsoon, the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2016-17 has been higher than that in 2013-14 <em>(which was also a normal year in terms of monsoon rainfall)</em>. &nbsp;<br /><br />However, it could be observed from Chart-1 that foodgrain production during <em>rabi</em> is likely to fall from 136.3 million tonnes in 2013-14 to 134.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 i.e. by nearly 1.3 percent. The expected decline in <em>rabi</em> foodgrain production between 2013-14 and 2016-17, despite a good southwest monsoon season, may be attributed to the demonetisation policy, which was implemented between 8 November, 2016 and 30 December, 2016. <br /><br />It needs to be mentioned that due to the banning of high value currency notes of Rs. 500/- and Rs. 1,000/- denomination, farmers and cultivators faced difficulty in selling their produce following the <em>kharif</em> harvest. They also struggled to purchase inputs required for the <em>rabi</em> sowing during November-December, 2016. In other words, the shortage of currency notes adversely affected the sowing of <em>rabi</em> crops and, hence, <em>rabi</em> foodgrain production. <br /><br />The reader should note that for the country as a whole, rainfall during the southwest monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) was 92 percent in 2012, 106 percent in 2013, 88 percent in 2014, 86 percent in 2015 and 97 percent in 2016, as per various reports from the India Meteorological Department (IMD).<br /><br /><em>Estimated production of various crops in 2016-17 &nbsp;<br /></em><br />From the Table-1 it could be noticed that in case of rice, coarse cereals and oilseeds, <em>rabi </em>production in 2016-17 has been lesser than that in 2013-14.&nbsp; <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><strong>Table 1: Production of various crops (in million tonnes)<br /></strong></div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops_1.jpg" alt="Table 1 Production of various crops" width="293" height="177" />&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17, released on 15 February 2017, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17">click here</a> to access<br /><br /><strong>Note: </strong>The figures for 2016-17 is based on second advance estimates, which has been released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare on 15 February, 2017. <br /><br />The total foodgrain production in each year has been calculated by adding together the total output of rice, wheat, coarse cereals and pulses. <br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Total rice production is expected to be not only higher in 2016-17 vis-&agrave;-vis 2015-16, it is also likely to be higher than that in 2013-14. </div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Wheat production in the crop year 2016-17 is estimated to be marginally higher than that in 2013-14 (i.e. an increase by only 0.7 percent). &nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><br />Total pulses production is likely to reach 22.1 million tonnes in 2016-17 from 19.2 million tonnes in 2013-14 i.e. a rise by 15.1 percent. However, pulses production during <em>rabi </em>in 2016-17 is almost the same as that in 2013-14&nbsp; </div><div align="justify"><div align="justify"><br />Total oilseeds production in 2016-17 is likely to rise by 2.8 percent vis-&agrave;-vis 2013-14 but as compared to 2015-16 it is expected to increase by 32.8 percent. &nbsp;<br /></div><br />Total coarse cereals production is likely to reach 44.3 million tonnes in 2016-17 from 43.3 million tonnes in 2013-14 i.e. by 2.3 percent.<br /><br /><br /><strong><em>References<br /></em></strong><br />Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17, released on 15 February 2017, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Acreage under <em>rabi</em> crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Cropping seasons of India- <em>Kharif</em> &amp; <em>Rabi</em>, Arthapedia, please <a href="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Good news! Your food bill in 2016-17 set to fall; here's why, The Financial Express, 16 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/good-news-your-food-bill-in-2016-17-set-to-fall-here039s-why-4681241.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/good-news-your-food-bill-in-2016-17-set-to-fall-here039s-why-4681241.html">click here </a>to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Powered by good monsoon, India set for best-ever foodgrain output -Vishwa Mohan &amp; Dipak K Dash, The Times of India, 16 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/powered-by-good-monsoon-india-set-for-best-ever-foodgrain-output-vishwa-mohan-dipak-k-dash-4681240.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/powered-by-good-monsoon-india-set-for-best-ever-foodgrain-output-vishwa-mohan-dipak-k-dash-4681240.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Record foodgrain, oilseed output likely this year, The Indian Express, 16 February, 2017, please <a href="http://indianexpress.com/article/business/commodities/record-foodgrain-oilseed-output-likely-this-year/" title="http://indianexpress.com/article/business/commodities/record-foodgrain-oilseed-output-likely-this-year/">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify">&nbsp;<br />At 272 MT, record grain output likely, The Tribune, 15 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/at-272-mt-record-grain-output-likely-4681244.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/at-272-mt-record-grain-output-likely-4681244.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Record wheat, foodgrain output likely in 2016-17 -Sanjeeb Mukherjee, Business Standard, 15 February, 2017, please <a href="http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/record-wheat-foodgrain-output-likely-in-2016-17-117021501141_1.html" title="http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/record-wheat-foodgrain-output-likely-in-2016-17-117021501141_1.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Foodgrain production estimated at a record 272 million tonnes in 2016-17: govt -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 15 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/foodgrain-production-estimated-at-a-record-272-million-tonnes-in-2016-17-govt-sayantan-bera-4681237.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/foodgrain-production-estimated-at-a-record-272-million-tonnes-in-2016-17-govt-sayantan-bera-4681237.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Horticulture output to exceed foodgrain yield -Sanjeeb Mukherjee, Business Standard, 10 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/horticulture-output-to-exceed-foodgrain-yield-sanjeeb-mukherjee-4681242.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/horticulture-output-to-exceed-foodgrain-yield-sanjeeb-mukherjee-4681242.html">click here</a> to access <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><strong>Image: Himanshu Joshi</strong>&nbsp; <br /></div>                                                           
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        NEWS ALERTS | Bumper foodgrain output expected in 2016-17 but production during rabi may be lower vis-a-vis 2013-14    </title>
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After facing intense criticisms from various sections of the society following its policy of demonetisation during November-December, 2016, the NDA government has finally something solid to cheer about. 

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    <h1 class="cat-box-title">Bumper foodgrain output expected in 2016-17 but production during rabi may be lower vis-a-vis 2013-14</h1>
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                            <br /><div align="justify">After facing intense criticisms from various sections of the society following its policy of demonetisation during November-December, 2016, the NDA government has finally something solid to cheer about. <br /><br />Riding on the back of a normal monsoon, gross foodgrain production is likely to reach a record level of about 272.0 million tonnes in the crop year 2016-17. <br /><br />As per the second advance estimates of foodgrain production, which has been released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare on 15 February, 2017, the total foodgrain production in the crop year 2016-17 is not only expected to be higher than that in 2014-15 and 2015-16, it is also anticipated to surpass the previous record level of nearly 265.0 million tonnes of foodgrain output that was achieved in 2013-14.<br /><br /><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Total%20Foodgrain%20Production_1.jpg" alt="Chart 1 Total Foodgrain Production" width="345" height="249" /><br /><em><strong>Source: </strong>Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17, released on 15 February, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17">click here</a> to access<br /><br /><strong>Note: </strong>The figures for 2016-17 is based on second advance estimates, which has been released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare on 15 February, 2017. <br /><br />The total foodgrain production in each year has been calculated by adding together the total output of rice, wheat, coarse cerealsand pulses. <br />&nbsp;</em><br />If one were to believe the experts, then the expected total foodgrain production in 2016-17 cannot be compared with that of the previous two years i.e. 2014-15 and 2015-16 during which drought like condition was faced by most Indian states as a result of deficit monsoon rainfall.<br /><br />Since 2016-17 has been a normal year in terms of monsoon rainfall, so the expected total foodgrain production in this year should ideally be compared with that of a previous normal year -- in this case 2013-14.<br /><br />By comparing so, one finds that the gross foodgrain output actually increased by almost 2.6 percent between 2013-14 and 2016-17 i.e. from roughly 265.0 million tonnes to 272.0 million tonnes. Most media outlets have so far reported about this increase in foodgrain production in a positive manner. <br /><br />Between 2013-14 and 2016-17, the total foodgrain production during <em>kharif</em> is likely to increase from 128.7 million tonnes to 137.5 million tonnes i.e. by almost 6.8 percent. On account of a normal monsoon, the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2016-17 has been higher than that in 2013-14 <em>(which was also a normal year in terms of monsoon rainfall)</em>. &nbsp;<br /><br />However, it could be observed from Chart-1 that foodgrain production during <em>rabi</em> is likely to fall from 136.3 million tonnes in 2013-14 to 134.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 i.e. by nearly 1.3 percent. The expected decline in <em>rabi</em> foodgrain production between 2013-14 and 2016-17, despite a good southwest monsoon season, may be attributed to the demonetisation policy, which was implemented between 8 November, 2016 and 30 December, 2016. <br /><br />It needs to be mentioned that due to the banning of high value currency notes of Rs. 500/- and Rs. 1,000/- denomination, farmers and cultivators faced difficulty in selling their produce following the <em>kharif</em> harvest. They also struggled to purchase inputs required for the <em>rabi</em> sowing during November-December, 2016. In other words, the shortage of currency notes adversely affected the sowing of <em>rabi</em> crops and, hence, <em>rabi</em> foodgrain production. <br /><br />The reader should note that for the country as a whole, rainfall during the southwest monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) was 92 percent in 2012, 106 percent in 2013, 88 percent in 2014, 86 percent in 2015 and 97 percent in 2016, as per various reports from the India Meteorological Department (IMD).<br /><br /><em>Estimated production of various crops in 2016-17 &nbsp;<br /></em><br />From the Table-1 it could be noticed that in case of rice, coarse cereals and oilseeds, <em>rabi </em>production in 2016-17 has been lesser than that in 2013-14.&nbsp; <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><strong>Table 1: Production of various crops (in million tonnes)<br /></strong></div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops_1.jpg" alt="Table 1 Production of various crops" width="293" height="177" />&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17, released on 15 February 2017, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17">click here</a> to access<br /><br /><strong>Note: </strong>The figures for 2016-17 is based on second advance estimates, which has been released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare on 15 February, 2017. <br /><br />The total foodgrain production in each year has been calculated by adding together the total output of rice, wheat, coarse cereals and pulses. <br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Total rice production is expected to be not only higher in 2016-17 vis-&agrave;-vis 2015-16, it is also likely to be higher than that in 2013-14. </div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Wheat production in the crop year 2016-17 is estimated to be marginally higher than that in 2013-14 (i.e. an increase by only 0.7 percent). &nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><br />Total pulses production is likely to reach 22.1 million tonnes in 2016-17 from 19.2 million tonnes in 2013-14 i.e. a rise by 15.1 percent. However, pulses production during <em>rabi </em>in 2016-17 is almost the same as that in 2013-14&nbsp; </div><div align="justify"><div align="justify"><br />Total oilseeds production in 2016-17 is likely to rise by 2.8 percent vis-&agrave;-vis 2013-14 but as compared to 2015-16 it is expected to increase by 32.8 percent. &nbsp;<br /></div><br />Total coarse cereals production is likely to reach 44.3 million tonnes in 2016-17 from 43.3 million tonnes in 2013-14 i.e. by 2.3 percent.<br /><br /><br /><strong><em>References<br /></em></strong><br />Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17, released on 15 February 2017, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Acreage under <em>rabi</em> crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Cropping seasons of India- <em>Kharif</em> &amp; <em>Rabi</em>, Arthapedia, please <a href="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Good news! Your food bill in 2016-17 set to fall; here's why, The Financial Express, 16 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/good-news-your-food-bill-in-2016-17-set-to-fall-here039s-why-4681241.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/good-news-your-food-bill-in-2016-17-set-to-fall-here039s-why-4681241.html">click here </a>to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Powered by good monsoon, India set for best-ever foodgrain output -Vishwa Mohan &amp; Dipak K Dash, The Times of India, 16 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/powered-by-good-monsoon-india-set-for-best-ever-foodgrain-output-vishwa-mohan-dipak-k-dash-4681240.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/powered-by-good-monsoon-india-set-for-best-ever-foodgrain-output-vishwa-mohan-dipak-k-dash-4681240.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Record foodgrain, oilseed output likely this year, The Indian Express, 16 February, 2017, please <a href="http://indianexpress.com/article/business/commodities/record-foodgrain-oilseed-output-likely-this-year/" title="http://indianexpress.com/article/business/commodities/record-foodgrain-oilseed-output-likely-this-year/">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify">&nbsp;<br />At 272 MT, record grain output likely, The Tribune, 15 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/at-272-mt-record-grain-output-likely-4681244.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/at-272-mt-record-grain-output-likely-4681244.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Record wheat, foodgrain output likely in 2016-17 -Sanjeeb Mukherjee, Business Standard, 15 February, 2017, please <a href="http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/record-wheat-foodgrain-output-likely-in-2016-17-117021501141_1.html" title="http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/record-wheat-foodgrain-output-likely-in-2016-17-117021501141_1.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Foodgrain production estimated at a record 272 million tonnes in 2016-17: govt -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 15 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/foodgrain-production-estimated-at-a-record-272-million-tonnes-in-2016-17-govt-sayantan-bera-4681237.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/foodgrain-production-estimated-at-a-record-272-million-tonnes-in-2016-17-govt-sayantan-bera-4681237.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Horticulture output to exceed foodgrain yield -Sanjeeb Mukherjee, Business Standard, 10 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/horticulture-output-to-exceed-foodgrain-yield-sanjeeb-mukherjee-4681242.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/horticulture-output-to-exceed-foodgrain-yield-sanjeeb-mukherjee-4681242.html">click here</a> to access <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><strong>Image: Himanshu Joshi</strong>&nbsp; <br /></div>                                                           
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        NEWS ALERTS | Bumper foodgrain output expected in 2016-17 but production during rabi may be lower vis-a-vis 2013-14    </title>
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After facing intense criticisms from various sections of the society following its policy of demonetisation during November-December, 2016, the NDA government has finally something solid to cheer about. 

Riding on the back of a normal monsoon, gross foodgrain production is..."/>
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After facing intense criticisms from various sections of the society following its policy of demonetisation during November-December, 2016, the NDA government has finally something solid to cheer about. 

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    <h1 class="cat-box-title">Bumper foodgrain output expected in 2016-17 but production during rabi may be lower vis-a-vis 2013-14</h1>
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		 Published on</span><span class="text-date"> Feb 17, 2017</span>
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                            <br /><div align="justify">After facing intense criticisms from various sections of the society following its policy of demonetisation during November-December, 2016, the NDA government has finally something solid to cheer about. <br /><br />Riding on the back of a normal monsoon, gross foodgrain production is likely to reach a record level of about 272.0 million tonnes in the crop year 2016-17. <br /><br />As per the second advance estimates of foodgrain production, which has been released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare on 15 February, 2017, the total foodgrain production in the crop year 2016-17 is not only expected to be higher than that in 2014-15 and 2015-16, it is also anticipated to surpass the previous record level of nearly 265.0 million tonnes of foodgrain output that was achieved in 2013-14.<br /><br /><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Chart%201%20Total%20Foodgrain%20Production_1.jpg" alt="Chart 1 Total Foodgrain Production" width="345" height="249" /><br /><em><strong>Source: </strong>Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17, released on 15 February, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17">click here</a> to access<br /><br /><strong>Note: </strong>The figures for 2016-17 is based on second advance estimates, which has been released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare on 15 February, 2017. <br /><br />The total foodgrain production in each year has been calculated by adding together the total output of rice, wheat, coarse cerealsand pulses. <br />&nbsp;</em><br />If one were to believe the experts, then the expected total foodgrain production in 2016-17 cannot be compared with that of the previous two years i.e. 2014-15 and 2015-16 during which drought like condition was faced by most Indian states as a result of deficit monsoon rainfall.<br /><br />Since 2016-17 has been a normal year in terms of monsoon rainfall, so the expected total foodgrain production in this year should ideally be compared with that of a previous normal year -- in this case 2013-14.<br /><br />By comparing so, one finds that the gross foodgrain output actually increased by almost 2.6 percent between 2013-14 and 2016-17 i.e. from roughly 265.0 million tonnes to 272.0 million tonnes. Most media outlets have so far reported about this increase in foodgrain production in a positive manner. <br /><br />Between 2013-14 and 2016-17, the total foodgrain production during <em>kharif</em> is likely to increase from 128.7 million tonnes to 137.5 million tonnes i.e. by almost 6.8 percent. On account of a normal monsoon, the <em>kharif</em> foodgrain production in 2016-17 has been higher than that in 2013-14 <em>(which was also a normal year in terms of monsoon rainfall)</em>. &nbsp;<br /><br />However, it could be observed from Chart-1 that foodgrain production during <em>rabi</em> is likely to fall from 136.3 million tonnes in 2013-14 to 134.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 i.e. by nearly 1.3 percent. The expected decline in <em>rabi</em> foodgrain production between 2013-14 and 2016-17, despite a good southwest monsoon season, may be attributed to the demonetisation policy, which was implemented between 8 November, 2016 and 30 December, 2016. <br /><br />It needs to be mentioned that due to the banning of high value currency notes of Rs. 500/- and Rs. 1,000/- denomination, farmers and cultivators faced difficulty in selling their produce following the <em>kharif</em> harvest. They also struggled to purchase inputs required for the <em>rabi</em> sowing during November-December, 2016. In other words, the shortage of currency notes adversely affected the sowing of <em>rabi</em> crops and, hence, <em>rabi</em> foodgrain production. <br /><br />The reader should note that for the country as a whole, rainfall during the southwest monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) was 92 percent in 2012, 106 percent in 2013, 88 percent in 2014, 86 percent in 2015 and 97 percent in 2016, as per various reports from the India Meteorological Department (IMD).<br /><br /><em>Estimated production of various crops in 2016-17 &nbsp;<br /></em><br />From the Table-1 it could be noticed that in case of rice, coarse cereals and oilseeds, <em>rabi </em>production in 2016-17 has been lesser than that in 2013-14.&nbsp; <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><strong>Table 1: Production of various crops (in million tonnes)<br /></strong></div><div align="justify"><img src="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Table%201%20Production%20of%20various%20crops_1.jpg" alt="Table 1 Production of various crops" width="293" height="177" />&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><em><strong>Source: </strong>Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17, released on 15 February 2017, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17">click here</a> to access<br /><br /><strong>Note: </strong>The figures for 2016-17 is based on second advance estimates, which has been released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare on 15 February, 2017. <br /><br />The total foodgrain production in each year has been calculated by adding together the total output of rice, wheat, coarse cereals and pulses. <br /></em></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Total rice production is expected to be not only higher in 2016-17 vis-&agrave;-vis 2015-16, it is also likely to be higher than that in 2013-14. </div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">Wheat production in the crop year 2016-17 is estimated to be marginally higher than that in 2013-14 (i.e. an increase by only 0.7 percent). &nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><br />Total pulses production is likely to reach 22.1 million tonnes in 2016-17 from 19.2 million tonnes in 2013-14 i.e. a rise by 15.1 percent. However, pulses production during <em>rabi </em>in 2016-17 is almost the same as that in 2013-14&nbsp; </div><div align="justify"><div align="justify"><br />Total oilseeds production in 2016-17 is likely to rise by 2.8 percent vis-&agrave;-vis 2013-14 but as compared to 2015-16 it is expected to increase by 32.8 percent. &nbsp;<br /></div><br />Total coarse cereals production is likely to reach 44.3 million tonnes in 2016-17 from 43.3 million tonnes in 2013-14 i.e. by 2.3 percent.<br /><br /><br /><strong><em>References<br /></em></strong><br />Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17, released on 15 February 2017, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/Second%20advance%20estimates%20of%20foodgrain%20production%20in%202016-17.pdf" title=" Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Acreage under <em>rabi</em> crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Cropping seasons of India- <em>Kharif</em> &amp; <em>Rabi</em>, Arthapedia, please <a href="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Good news! Your food bill in 2016-17 set to fall; here's why, The Financial Express, 16 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/good-news-your-food-bill-in-2016-17-set-to-fall-here039s-why-4681241.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/good-news-your-food-bill-in-2016-17-set-to-fall-here039s-why-4681241.html">click here </a>to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Powered by good monsoon, India set for best-ever foodgrain output -Vishwa Mohan &amp; Dipak K Dash, The Times of India, 16 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/powered-by-good-monsoon-india-set-for-best-ever-foodgrain-output-vishwa-mohan-dipak-k-dash-4681240.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/powered-by-good-monsoon-india-set-for-best-ever-foodgrain-output-vishwa-mohan-dipak-k-dash-4681240.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Record foodgrain, oilseed output likely this year, The Indian Express, 16 February, 2017, please <a href="http://indianexpress.com/article/business/commodities/record-foodgrain-oilseed-output-likely-this-year/" title="http://indianexpress.com/article/business/commodities/record-foodgrain-oilseed-output-likely-this-year/">click here</a> to access</div><div align="justify">&nbsp;<br />At 272 MT, record grain output likely, The Tribune, 15 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/at-272-mt-record-grain-output-likely-4681244.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/at-272-mt-record-grain-output-likely-4681244.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Record wheat, foodgrain output likely in 2016-17 -Sanjeeb Mukherjee, Business Standard, 15 February, 2017, please <a href="http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/record-wheat-foodgrain-output-likely-in-2016-17-117021501141_1.html" title="http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/record-wheat-foodgrain-output-likely-in-2016-17-117021501141_1.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Foodgrain production estimated at a record 272 million tonnes in 2016-17: govt -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 15 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/foodgrain-production-estimated-at-a-record-272-million-tonnes-in-2016-17-govt-sayantan-bera-4681237.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/foodgrain-production-estimated-at-a-record-272-million-tonnes-in-2016-17-govt-sayantan-bera-4681237.html">click here</a> to access&nbsp; <br /><br />Horticulture output to exceed foodgrain yield -Sanjeeb Mukherjee, Business Standard, 10 February, 2017, please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/horticulture-output-to-exceed-foodgrain-yield-sanjeeb-mukherjee-4681242.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/horticulture-output-to-exceed-foodgrain-yield-sanjeeb-mukherjee-4681242.html">click here</a> to access <br /></div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify">&nbsp;</div><div align="justify"><strong>Image: Himanshu Joshi</strong>&nbsp; <br /></div>                                                           
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Bumper foodgrain output expected in 2016-17 but production during rabi may be lower vis-a-vis 2013-14

Published on Feb 17, 2017   Modified on May 24, 2017

After facing intense criticisms from various sections of the society following its policy of demonetisation during November-December, 2016, the NDA government has finally something solid to cheer about. Riding on the back of a normal monsoon, gross foodgrain production is likely to reach a record level of about 272.0 million tonnes in the crop year 2016-17. As per the second advance estimates of foodgrain production, which has been released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare on 15 February, 2017, the total foodgrain production in the crop year 2016-17 is not only expected to be higher than that in 2014-15 and 2015-16, it is also anticipated to surpass the previous record level of nearly 265.0 million tonnes of foodgrain output that was achieved in 2013-14. Source: Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17, released on 15 February, 2017, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, please click here to access Note: The figures for 2016-17 is based on second advance estimates, which has been released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare on 15 February, 2017. The total foodgrain production in each year has been calculated by adding together the total output of rice, wheat, coarse cerealsand pulses.   If one were to believe the experts, then the expected total foodgrain production in 2016-17 cannot be compared with that of the previous two years i.e. 2014-15 and 2015-16 during which drought like condition was faced by most Indian states as a result of deficit monsoon rainfall. Since 2016-17 has been a normal year in terms of monsoon rainfall, so the expected total foodgrain production in this year should ideally be compared with that of a previous normal year -- in this case 2013-14. By comparing so, one finds that the gross foodgrain output actually increased by almost 2.6 percent between 2013-14 and 2016-17 i.e. from roughly 265.0 million tonnes to 272.0 million tonnes. Most media outlets have so far reported about this increase in foodgrain production in a positive manner. Between 2013-14 and 2016-17, the total foodgrain production during kharif is likely to increase from 128.7 million tonnes to 137.5 million tonnes i.e. by almost 6.8 percent. On account of a normal monsoon, the kharif foodgrain production in 2016-17 has been higher than that in 2013-14 (which was also a normal year in terms of monsoon rainfall).   However, it could be observed from Chart-1 that foodgrain production during rabi is likely to fall from 136.3 million tonnes in 2013-14 to 134.5 million tonnes in 2016-17 i.e. by nearly 1.3 percent. The expected decline in rabi foodgrain production between 2013-14 and 2016-17, despite a good southwest monsoon season, may be attributed to the demonetisation policy, which was implemented between 8 November, 2016 and 30 December, 2016. It needs to be mentioned that due to the banning of high value currency notes of Rs. 500/- and Rs. 1,000/- denomination, farmers and cultivators faced difficulty in selling their produce following the kharif harvest. They also struggled to purchase inputs required for the rabi sowing during November-December, 2016. In other words, the shortage of currency notes adversely affected the sowing of rabi crops and, hence, rabi foodgrain production. The reader should note that for the country as a whole, rainfall during the southwest monsoon season (June-September) as a percentage of long period average (LPA) was 92 percent in 2012, 106 percent in 2013, 88 percent in 2014, 86 percent in 2015 and 97 percent in 2016, as per various reports from the India Meteorological Department (IMD). Estimated production of various crops in 2016-17   From the Table-1 it could be noticed that in case of rice, coarse cereals and oilseeds, rabi production in 2016-17 has been lesser than that in 2013-14.    Table 1: Production of various crops (in million tonnes)     Source: Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17, released on 15 February 2017, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, please click here to access Note: The figures for 2016-17 is based on second advance estimates, which has been released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare on 15 February, 2017. The total foodgrain production in each year has been calculated by adding together the total output of rice, wheat, coarse cereals and pulses.   Total rice production is expected to be not only higher in 2016-17 vis-à-vis 2015-16, it is also likely to be higher than that in 2013-14.   Wheat production in the crop year 2016-17 is estimated to be marginally higher than that in 2013-14 (i.e. an increase by only 0.7 percent).   Total pulses production is likely to reach 22.1 million tonnes in 2016-17 from 19.2 million tonnes in 2013-14 i.e. a rise by 15.1 percent. However, pulses production during rabi in 2016-17 is almost the same as that in 2013-14  Total oilseeds production in 2016-17 is likely to rise by 2.8 percent vis-à-vis 2013-14 but as compared to 2015-16 it is expected to increase by 32.8 percent.   Total coarse cereals production is likely to reach 44.3 million tonnes in 2016-17 from 43.3 million tonnes in 2013-14 i.e. by 2.3 percent. References Second advance estimates of foodgrain production in 2016-17, released on 15 February 2017, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, please click here to access  Acreage under rabi crops declined in 2016-17 as compared to 2013-14, Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 25 January, 2017, please click here to access  Cropping seasons of India- Kharif & Rabi, Arthapedia, please click here to access  Good news! Your food bill in 2016-17 set to fall; here's why, The Financial Express, 16 February, 2017, please click here to access  Powered by good monsoon, India set for best-ever foodgrain output -Vishwa Mohan & Dipak K Dash, The Times of India, 16 February, 2017, please click here to access  Record foodgrain, oilseed output likely this year, The Indian Express, 16 February, 2017, please click here to access   At 272 MT, record grain output likely, The Tribune, 15 February, 2017, please click here to access  Record wheat, foodgrain output likely in 2016-17 -Sanjeeb Mukherjee, Business Standard, 15 February, 2017, please click here to access  Foodgrain production estimated at a record 272 million tonnes in 2016-17: govt -Sayantan Bera, Livemint.com, 15 February, 2017, please click here to access  Horticulture output to exceed foodgrain yield -Sanjeeb Mukherjee, Business Standard, 10 February, 2017, please click here to access     Image: Himanshu Joshi

Tagged with: Demonetisation kharif Kharif crops Kharif harvesting Rabi Rabi crops Rabi farming Rabi Sowing foodgrain production Food Security

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