Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 150
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 150
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 151
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 151
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 97
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]
Code Context
            if (Configure::read('debug')) {

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        न्यूज क्लिपिंग्स् | Abatement costs by Bibek Debroy    </title>
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Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) has brought out an excellent compilation titled Climate Change, Politics and Facts. The government is planning legislation with targets for greenhouse gas emissions. Perhaps to bolster this, the Ministry of Environment and Forests has..." />
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    <h1 class="cat-box-title">Abatement costs by Bibek Debroy</h1>
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<font >Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) has brought out an excellent compilation titled Climate Change, Politics and Facts. The government is planning legislation with targets for greenhouse gas emissions. Perhaps to bolster this, the Ministry of Environment and Forests has published results of five studies - NCAER/Jadavpur, TERI/MoEF, IRADE, TERI/Poznan and McKinsey - and findings have been contrasted and collated by CSE. As per all these models except for TERI/Poznan, India's per capita GHC emissions will be between 2.77 and 5 tonnes of carbon dioxide in 2031-32, well below global averages. Independent of global negotiations, the assumption is that India will improve energy efficiency to reduce energy intensity and carbon dioxide intensity of GDP. India has to be seen to be doing something. Fair enough. This is where another McKinsey study reviewed by CSE is relevant. In the business-as-usual or reference scenario, per capita emissions in 2030 will be between 5.0 and 6.5. But in the abatement scenario, per capita emissions can be reduced to between 2.8 and 3.6. (This is contingent on assumptions about GDP growth and its composition, but that can be ignored for present purposes.) If India follows the abatement route, it will reduce power demand by 25%, crude oil demand by 20-25% and coal demand by 50-60%. </font>
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<font >Good for us. There is a huge potential for reducing emissions in power, energy-intensive industry, transport, habitats (including buildings/appliances) and forestry and agriculture. However, the point of the CSE argument, using the McKinsey study, is that only 10% of the mitigation is low cost. Contrary to impressions, the issue isn't about technology or its availability, but the costs. To get to that abatement goal, between 600 billion and 750 billion Euros will be needed between 2010 and 2030. To quote from CSE, &quot;It is critical, therefore, that the low carbon future for the world is carefully considered and adopted. As yet, no industrialized country has reworked its growth strategy to the decarbonised pathway. The reason is clear: all the real change options are expensive at home--from shift to renewables to carbon capture and storage.&quot; </font>
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<font >An impression is floating around that MoEF is succumbing to international (read US) pressure to introduce mitigation targets, ahead of the Copenhagen summit in December. Cross-country equity apart, while we may introduce mandatory fuel efficiency targets in 2011 and energy-efficient building codes in 2012, the abatement - beyond that low cost 10% (equipment/appliances, mileage standards) - is going to be tough, with huge costs.</font>
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<font >Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) has brought out an excellent compilation titled Climate Change, Politics and Facts. The government is planning legislation with targets for greenhouse gas emissions. Perhaps to bolster this, the Ministry of Environment and Forests has published results of five studies - NCAER/Jadavpur, TERI/MoEF, IRADE, TERI/Poznan and McKinsey - and findings have been contrasted and collated by CSE. As per all these models except for TERI/Poznan, India's per capita GHC emissions will be between 2.77 and 5 tonnes of carbon dioxide in 2031-32, well below global averages. Independent of global negotiations, the assumption is that India will improve energy efficiency to reduce energy intensity and carbon dioxide intensity of GDP. India has to be seen to be doing something. Fair enough. This is where another McKinsey study reviewed by CSE is relevant. In the business-as-usual or reference scenario, per capita emissions in 2030 will be between 5.0 and 6.5. But in the abatement scenario, per capita emissions can be reduced to between 2.8 and 3.6. (This is contingent on assumptions about GDP growth and its composition, but that can be ignored for present purposes.) If India follows the abatement route, it will reduce power demand by 25%, crude oil demand by 20-25% and coal demand by 50-60%. </font>
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<font >Good for us. There is a huge potential for reducing emissions in power, energy-intensive industry, transport, habitats (including buildings/appliances) and forestry and agriculture. However, the point of the CSE argument, using the McKinsey study, is that only 10% of the mitigation is low cost. Contrary to impressions, the issue isn't about technology or its availability, but the costs. To get to that abatement goal, between 600 billion and 750 billion Euros will be needed between 2010 and 2030. To quote from CSE, &quot;It is critical, therefore, that the low carbon future for the world is carefully considered and adopted. As yet, no industrialized country has reworked its growth strategy to the decarbonised pathway. The reason is clear: all the real change options are expensive at home--from shift to renewables to carbon capture and storage.&quot; </font>
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<font >An impression is floating around that MoEF is succumbing to international (read US) pressure to introduce mitigation targets, ahead of the Copenhagen summit in December. Cross-country equity apart, while we may introduce mandatory fuel efficiency targets in 2011 and energy-efficient building codes in 2012, the abatement - beyond that low cost 10% (equipment/appliances, mileage standards) - is going to be tough, with huge costs.</font>
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    <h1 class="cat-box-title">Abatement costs by Bibek Debroy</h1>
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<font >Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) has brought out an excellent compilation titled Climate Change, Politics and Facts. The government is planning legislation with targets for greenhouse gas emissions. Perhaps to bolster this, the Ministry of Environment and Forests has published results of five studies - NCAER/Jadavpur, TERI/MoEF, IRADE, TERI/Poznan and McKinsey - and findings have been contrasted and collated by CSE. As per all these models except for TERI/Poznan, India's per capita GHC emissions will be between 2.77 and 5 tonnes of carbon dioxide in 2031-32, well below global averages. Independent of global negotiations, the assumption is that India will improve energy efficiency to reduce energy intensity and carbon dioxide intensity of GDP. India has to be seen to be doing something. Fair enough. This is where another McKinsey study reviewed by CSE is relevant. In the business-as-usual or reference scenario, per capita emissions in 2030 will be between 5.0 and 6.5. But in the abatement scenario, per capita emissions can be reduced to between 2.8 and 3.6. (This is contingent on assumptions about GDP growth and its composition, but that can be ignored for present purposes.) If India follows the abatement route, it will reduce power demand by 25%, crude oil demand by 20-25% and coal demand by 50-60%. </font>
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<font >Good for us. There is a huge potential for reducing emissions in power, energy-intensive industry, transport, habitats (including buildings/appliances) and forestry and agriculture. However, the point of the CSE argument, using the McKinsey study, is that only 10% of the mitigation is low cost. Contrary to impressions, the issue isn't about technology or its availability, but the costs. To get to that abatement goal, between 600 billion and 750 billion Euros will be needed between 2010 and 2030. To quote from CSE, &quot;It is critical, therefore, that the low carbon future for the world is carefully considered and adopted. As yet, no industrialized country has reworked its growth strategy to the decarbonised pathway. The reason is clear: all the real change options are expensive at home--from shift to renewables to carbon capture and storage.&quot; </font>
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<font >An impression is floating around that MoEF is succumbing to international (read US) pressure to introduce mitigation targets, ahead of the Copenhagen summit in December. Cross-country equity apart, while we may introduce mandatory fuel efficiency targets in 2011 and energy-efficient building codes in 2012, the abatement - beyond that low cost 10% (equipment/appliances, mileage standards) - is going to be tough, with huge costs.</font>
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Home English

Abatement costs by Bibek Debroy

Published on Oct 7, 2009   Modified on Oct 7, 2009

Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) has brought out an excellent compilation titled Climate Change, Politics and Facts. The government is planning legislation with targets for greenhouse gas emissions. Perhaps to bolster this, the Ministry of Environment and Forests has published results of five studies - NCAER/Jadavpur, TERI/MoEF, IRADE, TERI/Poznan and McKinsey - and findings have been contrasted and collated by CSE. As per all these models except for TERI/Poznan, India's per capita GHC emissions will be between 2.77 and 5 tonnes of carbon dioxide in 2031-32, well below global averages. Independent of global negotiations, the assumption is that India will improve energy efficiency to reduce energy intensity and carbon dioxide intensity of GDP. India has to be seen to be doing something. Fair enough. This is where another McKinsey study reviewed by CSE is relevant. In the business-as-usual or reference scenario, per capita emissions in 2030 will be between 5.0 and 6.5. But in the abatement scenario, per capita emissions can be reduced to between 2.8 and 3.6. (This is contingent on assumptions about GDP growth and its composition, but that can be ignored for present purposes.) If India follows the abatement route, it will reduce power demand by 25%, crude oil demand by 20-25% and coal demand by 50-60%. Good for us. There is a huge potential for reducing emissions in power, energy-intensive industry, transport, habitats (including buildings/appliances) and forestry and agriculture. However, the point of the CSE argument, using the McKinsey study, is that only 10% of the mitigation is low cost. Contrary to impressions, the issue isn't about technology or its availability, but the costs. To get to that abatement goal, between 600 billion and 750 billion Euros will be needed between 2010 and 2030. To quote from CSE, "It is critical, therefore, that the low carbon future for the world is carefully considered and adopted. As yet, no industrialized country has reworked its growth strategy to the decarbonised pathway. The reason is clear: all the real change options are expensive at home--from shift to renewables to carbon capture and storage." An impression is floating around that MoEF is succumbing to international (read US) pressure to introduce mitigation targets, ahead of the Copenhagen summit in December. Cross-country equity apart, while we may introduce mandatory fuel efficiency targets in 2011 and energy-efficient building codes in 2012, the abatement - beyond that low cost 10% (equipment/appliances, mileage standards) - is going to be tough, with huge costs.

 

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