Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 150
You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
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Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 150
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98
Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 151
You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 151
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 97
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98
Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]
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चर्चा में.... | रबी का रकबा बढ़ा नहीं घटा है वित्तमंत्री जी ! </title>
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नोटबंदी के असर को नकारने के लिए सरकार भले कहे कि रबी की बुवाई का रकबा 2016-17 में बढ़ा है लेकिन सच्चाई इसके उलट है.रबी का बुवाई का रकबा बढ़ा नहीं घटा है, बशर्ते तुलना के लिए आप ऐसे साल..." />
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<a target="_blank" href="https://im4change.in/hindi/law-and-justice/आपदा-और-राहत-49.html"
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<a target="_blank" href="https://im4change.in/hindi/law-and-justice/असुरक्षित-परिवेश-46.html"
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<h1 class="cat-box-title">रबी का रकबा बढ़ा नहीं घटा है वित्तमंत्री जी !</h1>
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नोटबंदी के असर को नकारने के लिए सरकार भले कहे कि रबी की बुवाई का रकबा 2016-17 में बढ़ा है लेकिन सच्चाई इसके उलट है.रबी का बुवाई का रकबा बढ़ा नहीं घटा है, बशर्ते तुलना के लिए आप ऐसे साल को चुने जो मॉनसून के लिहाज से सामान्य साल साबित हुआ हो.
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नोटबंदी के तकरीबन दो महीने बाद नये साल की पूर्व संध्या पर प्रधानमंत्री ने अपने <a href="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/hi/news_updates/%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%B5-%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%B0%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B7-2017-%E0%A4%95%E0%A5%87-%E0%A4%85%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%B8%E0%A4%B0-%E0%A4%AA%E0%A4%B0-%E0%A4%AA%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B0%E0%A4%A7%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%AE/?comment=disable" title="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/hi/news_updates/%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%B5-%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%B0%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B7-2017-%E0%A4%95%E0%A5%87-%E0%A4%85%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%B8%E0%A4%B0-%E0%A4%AA%E0%A4%B0-%E0%A4%AA%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B0%E0%A4%A7%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%AE/?comment=disable">भाषण</a> में कहा : "...दोस्तों, बीते दिनों चारों तरफ ऐसा वातावरण बना दिया गया था कि देश की कृषि बर्बाद हो गई है। ऐसा वातावरण बनाने वालों को जवाब मेरे देश के किसानों ने ही दे दिया है। पिछले साल की तुलना में इस वर्ष रबी की बुवाई 6 प्रतिशत ज्यादा हुई है। फर्टिलाइजर भी 9 प्रतिशत ज्यादा उठाया गया है। सरकार ने इस बात का लगातार ध्यान रखा कि किसानों को बीज की दिक्कत ना हो, खाद की दिक्कत ना हो, कर्ज लेने में परेशानी ना आए। अब किसान भाइयों के हित में कुछ और अहम निर्णय भी लिए गए हैं...".
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थोड़े में कहें तो प्रधानमंत्री ने अपने भाषण में लोगों को यह समझाया कि खेतिहर उत्पादन पर नोटबंदी का बुरा असर नहीं हुआ है और पिछले कृषि-वर्ष के मुकाबले रबी-फसल की बुवाई का रकबा बढ़ा है क्योंकि सरकार ने नोटबंदी के वक्त किसानों को राहत पहुंचाने के काम किए.
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प्रधानमंत्री की यही बात वित्तमंत्री अरुण जेटली ने भी अपने <a href="http://indiabudget.gov.in/bspeecha.asp" title="http://indiabudget.gov.in/bspeecha.asp">बजट-भाषण </a>में भी कही. उन्होंने कहा- " देश के किसानों ने एक बार फिर मौजूदा साल में अपनी निष्ठा और लगन का परिचय दिया है. खरीफ और रबी सीजन में बुवाई का रकबा पिछले साल की तुलना में ज्यादा है."
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बेशक प्रधानमंत्री और वित्तमंत्री की बात कृषि मंत्रालय को राज्यों से हासिल शुरुआती रिपोर्टों के तथ्यों से मेल खाते हैं. 20 जनवरी 2017 दिन तक प्राप्त रिपोर्टों के आधार पर कृषि मंत्रालय के हवाले से कहा जा सकता है कि 2015-16 में रबी सीजन में बुवाई का रकबा 59.2 मिलियन हैक्टेयर का था जो 2016-17 में बढ़कर 62.8 मिलियन हैक्टेयर हो गया और इस तरह एक साल में 6.1 फीसद की वृद्धि हुई. प्रधानमंत्री और वित्तमंत्री ने भी इसी तथ्य की तरफ इशारा किया है.
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लेकिन विशेषज्ञों की राय पर ध्यान दें बात कुछ अलग ही जान पड़ती है. 2014-15 और 2015-16 सूखे के साल रहे इसलिए इन दोनों सालों की बुवाई के रकबे से 2016-17 में हुई रबी सीजन की बुवाई के रकबे की तुलना नहीं की जा सकती. सूखे के इन दोनों सालों में देश के ज्यादातर राज्यों में मॉनसून की बारिश सामान्य से बहुत कम रही.
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चूंकि 2016-17 का साल मॉनसून की बारिश के मामले में सामान्य रहा सो इस साल की रबी की बुवाई के रकबे की तुलना 2013-14 के आंकड़ों से करना ठीक होगा. 2013-14 का साल मॉनसूनी बारिश के मामले में एक सामान्य साल साबित हुआ था.
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2013-14 में रबी की बुवाई का रकबा 64.4 मिलियम हैक्टेयर था जो 2016-17 में घटकर 62.8 मिलियन हैक्टेयर हो गया है यानि तुलना करने पर इस साल का रबी बुवाई का रकबा 2.5 प्रतिशत कम ठहरता है. बेशक गेहूं और दलहन का रकबा 2016-17 में 2013-14 से ज्यादा है लेकिन धान, मोटहन और तेलहन के रकबे में कमी नजर आती है. (आंकड़ों की सारणी के लिए देखें हमारा वेबसाइट का <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html">अंग्रेजी खंड</a>)
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गौरतलब है कि इंडिया मेट्रोलॉजिकल डिपार्टमेंट के मुताबिक दक्षिण-पश्चिम मॉनसून(जून-सितंबर) का दीर्धावधि औसत 2012 में 92 फीसद, 2013 में 106 फीसद, 2014 में 88 फीसद, 2015 में 86 प्रतिशत और 2016 में 97 प्रतिशत रहा है.
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22 सितंबर 2016 के दिन कृषि-मंत्रालय से जारी 2016-17 के प्रथम अग्रिम आकलन के तथ्य बताते हैं कि 2016-17 के खरीफ सीजन में खाद्यान्न उत्पादन पिछले चार सालों की तुलना में ज्यादा(135.03 मिलियन टन) हुआ है.( इसकी सारणी देखने के लिए यहां<a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html"> क्लिक</a> करें). बहरहाल, इस साल के रबी सीजन के खाद्यान्न उत्पादन का आकलन 2 फरवरी 2016 के दिन तक जारी नहीं हुआ है. ऐसे में यकीनी तौर पर नहीं कहा जा सकता कि रबी सीजन की बुवाई पर नोटबंदी का कोई असर नहीं हुआ है.
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इस कथा के विस्तार के लिए कृपया निम्नलिखित लिंक देखें--
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<span>Press release: <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">Rabi</span></em> Crops Sowing Crosses 628 Lakh Hectare, Press
Information Bureau, Ministry of Agriculture, 20 January, 2017, please <a href="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=157556" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=157556" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=157556" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=157556">click here</a> to
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<span>Press release: <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">Rabi</span></em> Crops Sowing Crosses 582
Lakh Hectare, Press Information Bureau, Ministry of Agriculture, 30 December,
2016, please <a href="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=156004" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=156004" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=156004" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=156004">click here</a> to
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<span>PM’s address to the nation on the eve of New Year 2017, 31 December, 2016,
please <a href="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-to-the-nation-on-the-eve-of-new-year-2017/?comment=disable" title="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-to-the-nation-on-the-eve-of-new-year-2017/?comment=disable" title="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-to-the-nation-on-the-eve-of-new-year-2017/?comment=disable" title="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-to-the-nation-on-the-eve-of-new-year-2017/?comment=disable">click here</a> to
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<span>Economic Survey 2015-16 Statistical Appendix, please <a href="http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2015-16/estat1.pdf" title="http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2015-16/estat1.pdf" title="http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2015-16/estat1.pdf" title="http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2015-16/estat1.pdf">click here</a> to
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<span>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2016-17 (as on 22
September, 2016), Agricultural Statistics Division, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/1st%20Advance%20Estimate%202016%2017.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2016-17" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/1st%20Advance%20Estimate%202016%2017.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2016-17">click here</a> to
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<span>2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report">click here</a> to access<br />
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<span>2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report">click here</a> to access<br />
<br />
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<span>2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh,
India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf" title="2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf" title="2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh">click here</a> to
access<br />
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</span>
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<span>2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report">click here</a> to access<br />
<br />
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<span>2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report">click here</a> to access<br />
<br />
</span>
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<span>Cropping seasons of India- <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">Kharif</span></em> & <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">Rabi</span></em>, Arthapedia, please <a href="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi">click here</a> to
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<span>Right To Food
Activists Demand For Safeguards To Reduce Hardships Of Demonetisation,
Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 30 December, 2016, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/right-to-food-activists-demand-for-safeguards-to-reduce-hardships-of-demonetisation-4680916.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/right-to-food-activists-demand-for-safeguards-to-reduce-hardships-of-demonetisation-4680916.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/right-to-food-activists-demand-for-safeguards-to-reduce-hardships-of-demonetisation-4680916.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/right-to-food-activists-demand-for-safeguards-to-reduce-hardships-of-demonetisation-4680916.html">click here</a> to
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<span>Motive behind demonetisation is justifiable but there may be collateral damage,
Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 14 November, 2016, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/motive-behind-demonetisation-is-justifiable-but-there-may-be-collateral-damage-4680546.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/motive-behind-demonetisation-is-justifiable-but-there-may-be-collateral-damage-4680546.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/motive-behind-demonetisation-is-justifiable-but-there-may-be-collateral-damage-4680546.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/motive-behind-demonetisation-is-justifiable-but-there-may-be-collateral-damage-4680546.html">click here</a> to
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<span>Record increase in
sown area under pulses during <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">kharif</span></em> 2016-17,
shows latest data, Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 13 September,
2016, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/record-increase-in-sown-area-under-pulses-during-kharif-2016-17-shows-latest-data-4680132.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/record-increase-in-sown-area-under-pulses-during-kharif-2016-17-shows-latest-data-4680132.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/record-increase-in-sown-area-under-pulses-during-kharif-2016-17-shows-latest-data-4680132.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/record-increase-in-sown-area-under-pulses-during-kharif-2016-17-shows-latest-data-4680132.html">click here</a> to
access <br />
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<span>The mystery of agricultural growth -Himanshu, Livemint.com, 8 December, 2016,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/the-mystery-of-agricultural-growth-himanshu-4680741.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/latest-news-updates/the-mystery-of-agricultural-growth-himanshu-4680741.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/the-mystery-of-agricultural-growth-himanshu-4680741.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/latest-news-updates/the-mystery-of-agricultural-growth-himanshu-4680741.html">click here</a> to
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चर्चा में.... | रबी का रकबा बढ़ा नहीं घटा है वित्तमंत्री जी ! </title>
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<h1 class="cat-box-title">रबी का रकबा बढ़ा नहीं घटा है वित्तमंत्री जी !</h1>
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Published on</span><span class="text-date"> Feb 2, 2017</span>
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नोटबंदी के असर को नकारने के लिए सरकार भले कहे कि रबी की बुवाई का रकबा 2016-17 में बढ़ा है लेकिन सच्चाई इसके उलट है.रबी का बुवाई का रकबा बढ़ा नहीं घटा है, बशर्ते तुलना के लिए आप ऐसे साल को चुने जो मॉनसून के लिहाज से सामान्य साल साबित हुआ हो.
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नोटबंदी के तकरीबन दो महीने बाद नये साल की पूर्व संध्या पर प्रधानमंत्री ने अपने <a href="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/hi/news_updates/%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%B5-%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%B0%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B7-2017-%E0%A4%95%E0%A5%87-%E0%A4%85%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%B8%E0%A4%B0-%E0%A4%AA%E0%A4%B0-%E0%A4%AA%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B0%E0%A4%A7%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%AE/?comment=disable" title="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/hi/news_updates/%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%B5-%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%B0%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B7-2017-%E0%A4%95%E0%A5%87-%E0%A4%85%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%B8%E0%A4%B0-%E0%A4%AA%E0%A4%B0-%E0%A4%AA%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B0%E0%A4%A7%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%AE/?comment=disable">भाषण</a> में कहा : "...दोस्तों, बीते दिनों चारों तरफ ऐसा वातावरण बना दिया गया था कि देश की कृषि बर्बाद हो गई है। ऐसा वातावरण बनाने वालों को जवाब मेरे देश के किसानों ने ही दे दिया है। पिछले साल की तुलना में इस वर्ष रबी की बुवाई 6 प्रतिशत ज्यादा हुई है। फर्टिलाइजर भी 9 प्रतिशत ज्यादा उठाया गया है। सरकार ने इस बात का लगातार ध्यान रखा कि किसानों को बीज की दिक्कत ना हो, खाद की दिक्कत ना हो, कर्ज लेने में परेशानी ना आए। अब किसान भाइयों के हित में कुछ और अहम निर्णय भी लिए गए हैं...".
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थोड़े में कहें तो प्रधानमंत्री ने अपने भाषण में लोगों को यह समझाया कि खेतिहर उत्पादन पर नोटबंदी का बुरा असर नहीं हुआ है और पिछले कृषि-वर्ष के मुकाबले रबी-फसल की बुवाई का रकबा बढ़ा है क्योंकि सरकार ने नोटबंदी के वक्त किसानों को राहत पहुंचाने के काम किए.
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प्रधानमंत्री की यही बात वित्तमंत्री अरुण जेटली ने भी अपने <a href="http://indiabudget.gov.in/bspeecha.asp" title="http://indiabudget.gov.in/bspeecha.asp">बजट-भाषण </a>में भी कही. उन्होंने कहा- " देश के किसानों ने एक बार फिर मौजूदा साल में अपनी निष्ठा और लगन का परिचय दिया है. खरीफ और रबी सीजन में बुवाई का रकबा पिछले साल की तुलना में ज्यादा है."
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बेशक प्रधानमंत्री और वित्तमंत्री की बात कृषि मंत्रालय को राज्यों से हासिल शुरुआती रिपोर्टों के तथ्यों से मेल खाते हैं. 20 जनवरी 2017 दिन तक प्राप्त रिपोर्टों के आधार पर कृषि मंत्रालय के हवाले से कहा जा सकता है कि 2015-16 में रबी सीजन में बुवाई का रकबा 59.2 मिलियन हैक्टेयर का था जो 2016-17 में बढ़कर 62.8 मिलियन हैक्टेयर हो गया और इस तरह एक साल में 6.1 फीसद की वृद्धि हुई. प्रधानमंत्री और वित्तमंत्री ने भी इसी तथ्य की तरफ इशारा किया है.
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लेकिन विशेषज्ञों की राय पर ध्यान दें बात कुछ अलग ही जान पड़ती है. 2014-15 और 2015-16 सूखे के साल रहे इसलिए इन दोनों सालों की बुवाई के रकबे से 2016-17 में हुई रबी सीजन की बुवाई के रकबे की तुलना नहीं की जा सकती. सूखे के इन दोनों सालों में देश के ज्यादातर राज्यों में मॉनसून की बारिश सामान्य से बहुत कम रही.
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चूंकि 2016-17 का साल मॉनसून की बारिश के मामले में सामान्य रहा सो इस साल की रबी की बुवाई के रकबे की तुलना 2013-14 के आंकड़ों से करना ठीक होगा. 2013-14 का साल मॉनसूनी बारिश के मामले में एक सामान्य साल साबित हुआ था.
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2013-14 में रबी की बुवाई का रकबा 64.4 मिलियम हैक्टेयर था जो 2016-17 में घटकर 62.8 मिलियन हैक्टेयर हो गया है यानि तुलना करने पर इस साल का रबी बुवाई का रकबा 2.5 प्रतिशत कम ठहरता है. बेशक गेहूं और दलहन का रकबा 2016-17 में 2013-14 से ज्यादा है लेकिन धान, मोटहन और तेलहन के रकबे में कमी नजर आती है. (आंकड़ों की सारणी के लिए देखें हमारा वेबसाइट का <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html">अंग्रेजी खंड</a>)
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गौरतलब है कि इंडिया मेट्रोलॉजिकल डिपार्टमेंट के मुताबिक दक्षिण-पश्चिम मॉनसून(जून-सितंबर) का दीर्धावधि औसत 2012 में 92 फीसद, 2013 में 106 फीसद, 2014 में 88 फीसद, 2015 में 86 प्रतिशत और 2016 में 97 प्रतिशत रहा है.
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22 सितंबर 2016 के दिन कृषि-मंत्रालय से जारी 2016-17 के प्रथम अग्रिम आकलन के तथ्य बताते हैं कि 2016-17 के खरीफ सीजन में खाद्यान्न उत्पादन पिछले चार सालों की तुलना में ज्यादा(135.03 मिलियन टन) हुआ है.( इसकी सारणी देखने के लिए यहां<a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html"> क्लिक</a> करें). बहरहाल, इस साल के रबी सीजन के खाद्यान्न उत्पादन का आकलन 2 फरवरी 2016 के दिन तक जारी नहीं हुआ है. ऐसे में यकीनी तौर पर नहीं कहा जा सकता कि रबी सीजन की बुवाई पर नोटबंदी का कोई असर नहीं हुआ है.
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इस कथा के विस्तार के लिए कृपया निम्नलिखित लिंक देखें--
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<span>Press release: <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">Rabi</span></em> Crops Sowing Crosses 628 Lakh Hectare, Press
Information Bureau, Ministry of Agriculture, 20 January, 2017, please <a href="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=157556" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=157556" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=157556" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=157556">click here</a> to
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<span>Press release: <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">Rabi</span></em> Crops Sowing Crosses 582
Lakh Hectare, Press Information Bureau, Ministry of Agriculture, 30 December,
2016, please <a href="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=156004" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=156004" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=156004" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=156004">click here</a> to
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<span>PM’s address to the nation on the eve of New Year 2017, 31 December, 2016,
please <a href="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-to-the-nation-on-the-eve-of-new-year-2017/?comment=disable" title="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-to-the-nation-on-the-eve-of-new-year-2017/?comment=disable" title="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-to-the-nation-on-the-eve-of-new-year-2017/?comment=disable" title="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-to-the-nation-on-the-eve-of-new-year-2017/?comment=disable">click here</a> to
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<span>Economic Survey 2015-16 Statistical Appendix, please <a href="http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2015-16/estat1.pdf" title="http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2015-16/estat1.pdf" title="http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2015-16/estat1.pdf" title="http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2015-16/estat1.pdf">click here</a> to
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<span>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2016-17 (as on 22
September, 2016), Agricultural Statistics Division, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/1st%20Advance%20Estimate%202016%2017.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2016-17" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/1st%20Advance%20Estimate%202016%2017.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2016-17">click here</a> to
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<span>2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report">click here</a> to access<br />
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<span>2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh,
India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf" title="2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf" title="2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh">click here</a> to
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<span>2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report">click here</a> to access<br />
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<span>2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report">click here</a> to access<br />
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<span>Cropping seasons of India- <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">Kharif</span></em> & <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">Rabi</span></em>, Arthapedia, please <a href="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi">click here</a> to
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<span>Right To Food
Activists Demand For Safeguards To Reduce Hardships Of Demonetisation,
Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 30 December, 2016, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/right-to-food-activists-demand-for-safeguards-to-reduce-hardships-of-demonetisation-4680916.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/right-to-food-activists-demand-for-safeguards-to-reduce-hardships-of-demonetisation-4680916.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/right-to-food-activists-demand-for-safeguards-to-reduce-hardships-of-demonetisation-4680916.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/right-to-food-activists-demand-for-safeguards-to-reduce-hardships-of-demonetisation-4680916.html">click here</a> to
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<span>Motive behind demonetisation is justifiable but there may be collateral damage,
Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 14 November, 2016, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/motive-behind-demonetisation-is-justifiable-but-there-may-be-collateral-damage-4680546.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/motive-behind-demonetisation-is-justifiable-but-there-may-be-collateral-damage-4680546.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/motive-behind-demonetisation-is-justifiable-but-there-may-be-collateral-damage-4680546.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/motive-behind-demonetisation-is-justifiable-but-there-may-be-collateral-damage-4680546.html">click here</a> to
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<span>Record increase in
sown area under pulses during <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">kharif</span></em> 2016-17,
shows latest data, Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 13 September,
2016, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/record-increase-in-sown-area-under-pulses-during-kharif-2016-17-shows-latest-data-4680132.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/record-increase-in-sown-area-under-pulses-during-kharif-2016-17-shows-latest-data-4680132.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/record-increase-in-sown-area-under-pulses-during-kharif-2016-17-shows-latest-data-4680132.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/record-increase-in-sown-area-under-pulses-during-kharif-2016-17-shows-latest-data-4680132.html">click here</a> to
access <br />
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<span>The mystery of agricultural growth -Himanshu, Livemint.com, 8 December, 2016,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/the-mystery-of-agricultural-growth-himanshu-4680741.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/latest-news-updates/the-mystery-of-agricultural-growth-himanshu-4680741.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/the-mystery-of-agricultural-growth-himanshu-4680741.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/latest-news-updates/the-mystery-of-agricultural-growth-himanshu-4680741.html">click here</a> to
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नोटबंदी के असर को नकारने के लिए सरकार भले कहे कि रबी की बुवाई का रकबा 2016-17 में बढ़ा है लेकिन सच्चाई इसके उलट है.रबी का बुवाई का रकबा बढ़ा नहीं घटा है, बशर्ते तुलना के लिए आप ऐसे साल..." />
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value="https://im4change.in/hindi/%E0%A4%B8%E0%A4%B6%E0%A4%95%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%A4%E0%A5%80%E0%A4%95%E0%A4%B0%E0%A4%A3/%E0%A4%B8%E0%A5%82%E0%A4%9A%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%BE-%E0%A4%95%E0%A4%BE-%E0%A4%85%E0%A4%A7%E0%A4%BF%E0%A4%95%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%B0-58.html"> सूचना का अधिकार </option><option value="https://im4change.in/hindi/%E0%A4%B8%E0%A4%B6%E0%A4%95%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%A4%E0%A5%80%E0%A4%95%E0%A4%B0%E0%A4%A3/%E0%A4%B6%E0%A4%BF%E0%A4%95%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B7%E0%A4%BE-%E0%A4%95%E0%A4%BE-%E0%A4%85%E0%A4%A7%E0%A4%BF%E0%A4%95%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%B0-60.html"> शिक्षा का अधिकार </option><option value="https://im4change.in/hindi/%E0%A4%B8%E0%A4%B6%E0%A4%95%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%A4%E0%A5%80%E0%A4%95%E0%A4%B0%E0%A4%A3/%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%A7%E0%A4%BF%E0%A4%95%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%B0-61.html"> वनाधिकार </option><option value="https://im4change.in/hindi/%E0%A4%B8%E0%A4%B6%E0%A4%95%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%A4%E0%A5%80%E0%A4%95%E0%A4%B0%E0%A4%A3/%E0%A4%85%E0%A4%A8%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%AF-%E0%A4%A8%E0%A5%80%E0%A4%A4%E0%A4%BF%E0%A4%97%E0%A4%A4-%E0%A4%AA%E0%A4%B9%E0%A4%B2-73.html"> अन्य नीतिगत पहल </option><option value="https://im4change.in/hindi/%E0%A4%AD%E0%A5%82%E0%A4%96/%E0%A4%AD%E0%A5%81%E0%A4%96%E0%A4%AE%E0%A4%B0%E0%A5%80-%E0%A4%8F%E0%A4%95-%E0%A4%86%E0%A4%95%E0%A4%B2%E0%A4%A8-40.html"> भुखमरी-एक आकलन </option><option value="https://im4change.in/hindi/%E0%A4%AD%E0%A5%82%E0%A4%96/%E0%A4%95%E0%A5%81%E0%A4%AA%E0%A5%8B%E0%A4%B7%E0%A4%A3-41.html"> कुपोषण </option><option value="https://im4change.in/hindi/%E0%A4%AD%E0%A5%82%E0%A4%96/%E0%A4%AE%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%B5-%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%BF%E0%A4%95%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%B8-%E0%A4%B8%E0%A5%82%E0%A4%9A%E0%A4%95%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%82%E0%A4%95-45.html"> मानव विकास सूचकांक </option><option 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<h1 class="cat-box-title">रबी का रकबा बढ़ा नहीं घटा है वित्तमंत्री जी !</h1>
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नोटबंदी के असर को नकारने के लिए सरकार भले कहे कि रबी की बुवाई का रकबा 2016-17 में बढ़ा है लेकिन सच्चाई इसके उलट है.रबी का बुवाई का रकबा बढ़ा नहीं घटा है, बशर्ते तुलना के लिए आप ऐसे साल को चुने जो मॉनसून के लिहाज से सामान्य साल साबित हुआ हो.
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नोटबंदी के तकरीबन दो महीने बाद नये साल की पूर्व संध्या पर प्रधानमंत्री ने अपने <a href="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/hi/news_updates/%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%B5-%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%B0%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B7-2017-%E0%A4%95%E0%A5%87-%E0%A4%85%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%B8%E0%A4%B0-%E0%A4%AA%E0%A4%B0-%E0%A4%AA%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B0%E0%A4%A7%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%AE/?comment=disable" title="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/hi/news_updates/%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%B5-%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%B0%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B7-2017-%E0%A4%95%E0%A5%87-%E0%A4%85%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%B8%E0%A4%B0-%E0%A4%AA%E0%A4%B0-%E0%A4%AA%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B0%E0%A4%A7%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%A8%E0%A4%AE/?comment=disable">भाषण</a> में कहा : "...दोस्तों, बीते दिनों चारों तरफ ऐसा वातावरण बना दिया गया था कि देश की कृषि बर्बाद हो गई है। ऐसा वातावरण बनाने वालों को जवाब मेरे देश के किसानों ने ही दे दिया है। पिछले साल की तुलना में इस वर्ष रबी की बुवाई 6 प्रतिशत ज्यादा हुई है। फर्टिलाइजर भी 9 प्रतिशत ज्यादा उठाया गया है। सरकार ने इस बात का लगातार ध्यान रखा कि किसानों को बीज की दिक्कत ना हो, खाद की दिक्कत ना हो, कर्ज लेने में परेशानी ना आए। अब किसान भाइयों के हित में कुछ और अहम निर्णय भी लिए गए हैं...".
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थोड़े में कहें तो प्रधानमंत्री ने अपने भाषण में लोगों को यह समझाया कि खेतिहर उत्पादन पर नोटबंदी का बुरा असर नहीं हुआ है और पिछले कृषि-वर्ष के मुकाबले रबी-फसल की बुवाई का रकबा बढ़ा है क्योंकि सरकार ने नोटबंदी के वक्त किसानों को राहत पहुंचाने के काम किए.
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प्रधानमंत्री की यही बात वित्तमंत्री अरुण जेटली ने भी अपने <a href="http://indiabudget.gov.in/bspeecha.asp" title="http://indiabudget.gov.in/bspeecha.asp">बजट-भाषण </a>में भी कही. उन्होंने कहा- " देश के किसानों ने एक बार फिर मौजूदा साल में अपनी निष्ठा और लगन का परिचय दिया है. खरीफ और रबी सीजन में बुवाई का रकबा पिछले साल की तुलना में ज्यादा है."
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बेशक प्रधानमंत्री और वित्तमंत्री की बात कृषि मंत्रालय को राज्यों से हासिल शुरुआती रिपोर्टों के तथ्यों से मेल खाते हैं. 20 जनवरी 2017 दिन तक प्राप्त रिपोर्टों के आधार पर कृषि मंत्रालय के हवाले से कहा जा सकता है कि 2015-16 में रबी सीजन में बुवाई का रकबा 59.2 मिलियन हैक्टेयर का था जो 2016-17 में बढ़कर 62.8 मिलियन हैक्टेयर हो गया और इस तरह एक साल में 6.1 फीसद की वृद्धि हुई. प्रधानमंत्री और वित्तमंत्री ने भी इसी तथ्य की तरफ इशारा किया है.
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लेकिन विशेषज्ञों की राय पर ध्यान दें बात कुछ अलग ही जान पड़ती है. 2014-15 और 2015-16 सूखे के साल रहे इसलिए इन दोनों सालों की बुवाई के रकबे से 2016-17 में हुई रबी सीजन की बुवाई के रकबे की तुलना नहीं की जा सकती. सूखे के इन दोनों सालों में देश के ज्यादातर राज्यों में मॉनसून की बारिश सामान्य से बहुत कम रही.
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चूंकि 2016-17 का साल मॉनसून की बारिश के मामले में सामान्य रहा सो इस साल की रबी की बुवाई के रकबे की तुलना 2013-14 के आंकड़ों से करना ठीक होगा. 2013-14 का साल मॉनसूनी बारिश के मामले में एक सामान्य साल साबित हुआ था.
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2013-14 में रबी की बुवाई का रकबा 64.4 मिलियम हैक्टेयर था जो 2016-17 में घटकर 62.8 मिलियन हैक्टेयर हो गया है यानि तुलना करने पर इस साल का रबी बुवाई का रकबा 2.5 प्रतिशत कम ठहरता है. बेशक गेहूं और दलहन का रकबा 2016-17 में 2013-14 से ज्यादा है लेकिन धान, मोटहन और तेलहन के रकबे में कमी नजर आती है. (आंकड़ों की सारणी के लिए देखें हमारा वेबसाइट का <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html">अंग्रेजी खंड</a>)
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गौरतलब है कि इंडिया मेट्रोलॉजिकल डिपार्टमेंट के मुताबिक दक्षिण-पश्चिम मॉनसून(जून-सितंबर) का दीर्धावधि औसत 2012 में 92 फीसद, 2013 में 106 फीसद, 2014 में 88 फीसद, 2015 में 86 प्रतिशत और 2016 में 97 प्रतिशत रहा है.
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22 सितंबर 2016 के दिन कृषि-मंत्रालय से जारी 2016-17 के प्रथम अग्रिम आकलन के तथ्य बताते हैं कि 2016-17 के खरीफ सीजन में खाद्यान्न उत्पादन पिछले चार सालों की तुलना में ज्यादा(135.03 मिलियन टन) हुआ है.( इसकी सारणी देखने के लिए यहां<a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/acreage-under-rabi-crops-declined-in-2016-17-as-compared-to-2013-14-4681078.html"> क्लिक</a> करें). बहरहाल, इस साल के रबी सीजन के खाद्यान्न उत्पादन का आकलन 2 फरवरी 2016 के दिन तक जारी नहीं हुआ है. ऐसे में यकीनी तौर पर नहीं कहा जा सकता कि रबी सीजन की बुवाई पर नोटबंदी का कोई असर नहीं हुआ है.
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इस कथा के विस्तार के लिए कृपया निम्नलिखित लिंक देखें--
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<span>Press release: <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">Rabi</span></em> Crops Sowing Crosses 628 Lakh Hectare, Press
Information Bureau, Ministry of Agriculture, 20 January, 2017, please <a href="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=157556" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=157556" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=157556" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=157556">click here</a> to
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<span>Press release: <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">Rabi</span></em> Crops Sowing Crosses 582
Lakh Hectare, Press Information Bureau, Ministry of Agriculture, 30 December,
2016, please <a href="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=156004" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=156004" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=156004" title="http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=156004">click here</a> to
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<span>PM’s address to the nation on the eve of New Year 2017, 31 December, 2016,
please <a href="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-to-the-nation-on-the-eve-of-new-year-2017/?comment=disable" title="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-to-the-nation-on-the-eve-of-new-year-2017/?comment=disable" title="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-to-the-nation-on-the-eve-of-new-year-2017/?comment=disable" title="http://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-to-the-nation-on-the-eve-of-new-year-2017/?comment=disable">click here</a> to
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<span>Economic Survey 2015-16 Statistical Appendix, please <a href="http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2015-16/estat1.pdf" title="http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2015-16/estat1.pdf" title="http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2015-16/estat1.pdf" title="http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2015-16/estat1.pdf">click here</a> to
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<span>First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2016-17 (as on 22
September, 2016), Agricultural Statistics Division, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/1st%20Advance%20Estimate%202016%2017.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2016-17" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/1st%20Advance%20Estimate%202016%2017.pdf" title="First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2016-17">click here</a> to
access <br />
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<span>2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2016%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report">click here</a> to access<br />
<br />
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<span>2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2015%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report">click here</a> to access<br />
<br />
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<span>2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh,
India Meteorological Department, please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf" title="2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2014%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report%20for%20Uttar%20Pradesh.pdf" title="2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh">click here</a> to
access<br />
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<span>2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2013%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report">click here</a> to access<br />
<br />
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<span>2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report" title="https://im4change.in/siteadmin/tinymce/uploaded/2012%20Southwest%20Monsoon%20end%20of%20season%20report.pdf" title="2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report">click here</a> to access<br />
<br />
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<span>Cropping seasons of India- <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">Kharif</span></em> & <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">Rabi</span></em>, Arthapedia, please <a href="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi" title="http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php%3Ftitle%3DCropping_seasons_of_India-_Kharif_%2526_Rabi">click here</a> to
access <br />
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<span>Right To Food
Activists Demand For Safeguards To Reduce Hardships Of Demonetisation,
Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 30 December, 2016, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/right-to-food-activists-demand-for-safeguards-to-reduce-hardships-of-demonetisation-4680916.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/right-to-food-activists-demand-for-safeguards-to-reduce-hardships-of-demonetisation-4680916.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/right-to-food-activists-demand-for-safeguards-to-reduce-hardships-of-demonetisation-4680916.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/right-to-food-activists-demand-for-safeguards-to-reduce-hardships-of-demonetisation-4680916.html">click here</a> to
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</span>
</p>
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<span>Motive behind demonetisation is justifiable but there may be collateral damage,
Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 14 November, 2016, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/motive-behind-demonetisation-is-justifiable-but-there-may-be-collateral-damage-4680546.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/motive-behind-demonetisation-is-justifiable-but-there-may-be-collateral-damage-4680546.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/motive-behind-demonetisation-is-justifiable-but-there-may-be-collateral-damage-4680546.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/motive-behind-demonetisation-is-justifiable-but-there-may-be-collateral-damage-4680546.html">click here</a> to
access <br />
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<span>Record increase in
sown area under pulses during <em><span style="border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in">kharif</span></em> 2016-17,
shows latest data, Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 13 September,
2016, please <a href="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/record-increase-in-sown-area-under-pulses-during-kharif-2016-17-shows-latest-data-4680132.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/record-increase-in-sown-area-under-pulses-during-kharif-2016-17-shows-latest-data-4680132.html" title="https://im4change.in/news-alerts/record-increase-in-sown-area-under-pulses-during-kharif-2016-17-shows-latest-data-4680132.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/news-alerts/record-increase-in-sown-area-under-pulses-during-kharif-2016-17-shows-latest-data-4680132.html">click here</a> to
access <br />
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<span>The mystery of agricultural growth -Himanshu, Livemint.com, 8 December, 2016,
please <a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/the-mystery-of-agricultural-growth-himanshu-4680741.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/latest-news-updates/the-mystery-of-agricultural-growth-himanshu-4680741.html" title="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/the-mystery-of-agricultural-growth-himanshu-4680741.html" title="http://www.im4change.org/latest-news-updates/the-mystery-of-agricultural-growth-himanshu-4680741.html">click here</a> to
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चर्चा में.... | रबी का रकबा बढ़ा नहीं घटा है वित्तमंत्री जी !
नोटबंदी के असर को नकारने के लिए सरकार भले कहे कि रबी की बुवाई का रकबा 2016-17 में बढ़ा है लेकिन सच्चाई इसके उलट है.रबी का बुवाई का रकबा बढ़ा नहीं घटा है, बशर्ते तुलना के लिए आप ऐसे साल को चुने जो मॉनसून के लिहाज से सामान्य साल साबित हुआ हो.
नोटबंदी के तकरीबन दो महीने बाद नये साल की पूर्व संध्या पर प्रधानमंत्री ने अपने भाषण में कहा : "...दोस्तों, बीते दिनों चारों तरफ ऐसा वातावरण बना दिया गया था कि देश की कृषि बर्बाद हो गई है। ऐसा वातावरण बनाने वालों को जवाब मेरे देश के किसानों ने ही दे दिया है। पिछले साल की तुलना में इस वर्ष रबी की बुवाई 6 प्रतिशत ज्यादा हुई है। फर्टिलाइजर भी 9 प्रतिशत ज्यादा उठाया गया है। सरकार ने इस बात का लगातार ध्यान रखा कि किसानों को बीज की दिक्कत ना हो, खाद की दिक्कत ना हो, कर्ज लेने में परेशानी ना आए। अब किसान भाइयों के हित में कुछ और अहम निर्णय भी लिए गए हैं...".
थोड़े में कहें तो प्रधानमंत्री ने अपने भाषण में लोगों को यह समझाया कि खेतिहर उत्पादन पर नोटबंदी का बुरा असर नहीं हुआ है और पिछले कृषि-वर्ष के मुकाबले रबी-फसल की बुवाई का रकबा बढ़ा है क्योंकि सरकार ने नोटबंदी के वक्त किसानों को राहत पहुंचाने के काम किए.
प्रधानमंत्री की यही बात वित्तमंत्री अरुण जेटली ने भी अपने बजट-भाषण में भी कही. उन्होंने कहा- " देश के किसानों ने एक बार फिर मौजूदा साल में अपनी निष्ठा और लगन का परिचय दिया है. खरीफ और रबी सीजन में बुवाई का रकबा पिछले साल की तुलना में ज्यादा है."
बेशक प्रधानमंत्री और वित्तमंत्री की बात कृषि मंत्रालय को राज्यों से हासिल शुरुआती रिपोर्टों के तथ्यों से मेल खाते हैं. 20 जनवरी 2017 दिन तक प्राप्त रिपोर्टों के आधार पर कृषि मंत्रालय के हवाले से कहा जा सकता है कि 2015-16 में रबी सीजन में बुवाई का रकबा 59.2 मिलियन हैक्टेयर का था जो 2016-17 में बढ़कर 62.8 मिलियन हैक्टेयर हो गया और इस तरह एक साल में 6.1 फीसद की वृद्धि हुई. प्रधानमंत्री और वित्तमंत्री ने भी इसी तथ्य की तरफ इशारा किया है.
लेकिन विशेषज्ञों की राय पर ध्यान दें बात कुछ अलग ही जान पड़ती है. 2014-15 और 2015-16 सूखे के साल रहे इसलिए इन दोनों सालों की बुवाई के रकबे से 2016-17 में हुई रबी सीजन की बुवाई के रकबे की तुलना नहीं की जा सकती. सूखे के इन दोनों सालों में देश के ज्यादातर राज्यों में मॉनसून की बारिश सामान्य से बहुत कम रही.
चूंकि 2016-17 का साल मॉनसून की बारिश के मामले में सामान्य रहा सो इस साल की रबी की बुवाई के रकबे की तुलना 2013-14 के आंकड़ों से करना ठीक होगा. 2013-14 का साल मॉनसूनी बारिश के मामले में एक सामान्य साल साबित हुआ था.
2013-14 में रबी की बुवाई का रकबा 64.4 मिलियम हैक्टेयर था जो 2016-17 में घटकर 62.8 मिलियन हैक्टेयर हो गया है यानि तुलना करने पर इस साल का रबी बुवाई का रकबा 2.5 प्रतिशत कम ठहरता है. बेशक गेहूं और दलहन का रकबा 2016-17 में 2013-14 से ज्यादा है लेकिन धान, मोटहन और तेलहन के रकबे में कमी नजर आती है. (आंकड़ों की सारणी के लिए देखें हमारा वेबसाइट का अंग्रेजी खंड)
गौरतलब है कि इंडिया मेट्रोलॉजिकल डिपार्टमेंट के मुताबिक दक्षिण-पश्चिम मॉनसून(जून-सितंबर) का दीर्धावधि औसत 2012 में 92 फीसद, 2013 में 106 फीसद, 2014 में 88 फीसद, 2015 में 86 प्रतिशत और 2016 में 97 प्रतिशत रहा है.
22 सितंबर 2016 के दिन कृषि-मंत्रालय से जारी 2016-17 के प्रथम अग्रिम आकलन के तथ्य बताते हैं कि 2016-17 के खरीफ सीजन में खाद्यान्न उत्पादन पिछले चार सालों की तुलना में ज्यादा(135.03 मिलियन टन) हुआ है.( इसकी सारणी देखने के लिए यहां क्लिक करें). बहरहाल, इस साल के रबी सीजन के खाद्यान्न उत्पादन का आकलन 2 फरवरी 2016 के दिन तक जारी नहीं हुआ है. ऐसे में यकीनी तौर पर नहीं कहा जा सकता कि रबी सीजन की बुवाई पर नोटबंदी का कोई असर नहीं हुआ है.
इस कथा के विस्तार के लिए कृपया निम्नलिखित लिंक देखें--
Press release: Rabi Crops Sowing Crosses 628 Lakh Hectare, Press
Information Bureau, Ministry of Agriculture, 20 January, 2017, please click here to
access
Press release: Rabi Crops Sowing Crosses 582
Lakh Hectare, Press Information Bureau, Ministry of Agriculture, 30 December,
2016, please click here to
access,
PM’s address to the nation on the eve of New Year 2017, 31 December, 2016,
please click here to
access
Economic Survey 2015-16 Statistical Appendix, please click here to
access
First Advance Estimates of Production of Foodgrains for 2016-17 (as on 22
September, 2016), Agricultural Statistics Division, please click here to
access
2016 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please click here to access
2015 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please click here to access
2014 Southwest Monsoon end of season report for the state of Uttar Pradesh,
India Meteorological Department, please click here to
access
2013 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please click here to access
2012 Southwest Monsoon end of season report, India Meteorological Department,
please click here to access
Cropping seasons of India- Kharif & Rabi, Arthapedia, please click here to
access
Right To Food
Activists Demand For Safeguards To Reduce Hardships Of Demonetisation,
Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 30 December, 2016, please click here to
access
Motive behind demonetisation is justifiable but there may be collateral damage,
Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 14 November, 2016, please click here to
access
Record increase in
sown area under pulses during kharif 2016-17,
shows latest data, Newsalert from Inclusive Media for Change, 13 September,
2016, please click here to
access
The mystery of agricultural growth -Himanshu, Livemint.com, 8 December, 2016,
please click here to
access
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