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<p style="text-align:justify">THROUGHOUT the first and second waves of the coronavirus pandemic, the extent of the tragedy in India was mostly unknown. How many people had really died? Were they men or women? Information was anecdotal and speculative. This April, there were queues at crematoriums and burial grounds, but even as bodies piled up there were no reliable figures to go by.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify">We now have some figures based on data-hunting by Prof. Chinmay Tumbe and his colleagues. Tumbe teaches economics at IIM Ahmedabad and his co-workers in this effort are well-versed in accessing databases and arriving at plausible assumptions.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify">Tumbe is the author of The Age of Pandemics (1817-1920) which chronicles the cholera, plague and influenza pandemics in those years which devastated India. He is also an expert on migration.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify">In an interview, Tumbe spoke to Civil Society on the importance of data and the story that is emerging of the current pandemic from the numbers that have been garnered.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><em>* You have been collating and analyzing data at the Centre and in the states on the coronavirus pandemic. What does this data reveal to you?</em></p>
<p style="text-align:justify">Last year, during the first wave, there were concerns that we weren’t possibly capturing the full extent of deaths for the simple reason that, to be classified as a COVID-19 death, you needed to be first classified as positive. And that depends on testing. Obviously, testing capacity is a huge function of reported deaths. I was sceptical whether there really were many, many deaths. We didn’t see the actual evidence in terms of the visuals, the (crowded) crematoriums, etc that we saw in the second wave. But now we know that even last year there was substantial under reporting because that data has kind of come out.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify">It is the second wave which is India’s biggest demographic shock since the last quarter of 1918. I think Divya Bhaskar was the first to really break the stories on deaths in Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and so on. So, using the Gujarat data, I pointed out that a lot of excess deaths had happened and since they could not be accounted for they must be from COVID-19. That was in May.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify">In the last three months, we have five or six studies using different databases, all coming to the same conclusion. I would say the midpoint estimate now among all these different studies is that India has lost about three million people in the pandemic, starting from the beginning to about June 30 this year.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify">My co-worker, Prabhat Jha, has worked on Indian mortality for almost two decades. He worked with the census office on something called the Million Death Study about 10 years ago. He’s a thorough expert on that. Some of my other co-authors are economists and health economists. We are a team of 11.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://www.civilsocietyonline.com/interviews/in-a-pandemic-official-data-is-crucial-and-we-need-it-daily/">click here</a> to read more. </p>
<p style="text-align:justify"> </p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><strong>Image Courtesy: Civil Society News</strong></p>
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Interviews | Prof. Chinmay Tumbe of IIM Ahmedabad interviewed by Civil Society News </title>
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THROUGHOUT the first and second waves of the coronavirus pandemic, the extent of the tragedy in India was mostly unknown. How many people had really died? Were they men or women? Information was anecdotal and speculative. This..."/>
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THROUGHOUT the first and second waves of the coronavirus pandemic, the extent of the tragedy in India was mostly unknown. How many people had really died? Were they men or women? Information was anecdotal and speculative. This..." />
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Interviews </h2>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/prof-chinmay-tumbe-of-iim-ahmedabad-interviewed-by-civil-society-news.html" target="_blank" title="Prof. Chinmay Tumbe of IIM Ahmedabad interviewed by Civil Society News" style="float: left; margin-right: 10px;">
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<h1 style="font-weight: 700;font-size: 14px;">
<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/prof-chinmay-tumbe-of-iim-ahmedabad-interviewed-by-civil-society-news.html" target="_blank">Prof. Chinmay Tumbe of IIM Ahmedabad interviewed by Civil Society News</a>
</h1>
<br><small>September 10, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Civil Society News, Gurugram
THROUGHOUT the first and second waves of the coronavirus pandemic, the extent of the tragedy in India was mostly unknown. How many people had really died? Were they men or women? Information was anecdotal and speculative. This April, there were queues at...</p>
<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/prof-chinmay-tumbe-of-iim-ahmedabad-interviewed-by-civil-society-news.html"
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/nandini-oza-an-activist-of-the-narmada-bachao-andolan-nba-interviewed-by-swapna-majumdar-the-hindu.html" target="_blank" title="Nandini Oza, an activist of the Narmada Bachao Andolan (NBA), interviewed by Swapna Majumdar (The Hindu) " style="float: left; margin-right: 10px;">
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/nandini-oza-an-activist-of-the-narmada-bachao-andolan-nba-interviewed-by-swapna-majumdar-the-hindu.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Nandini Oza, an activist of the Narmada Bachao Andolan (NBA), interviewed by Swapna Majumdar (The Hindu) </strong></a>
<br><small>August 13, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-The Hindu
The archivist and activist on curating the oral history of the Narmada Bachao Andolan and its importance as a movement of the marginalised
As an activist of the Narmada Bachao Andolan (NBA), Nandini Oza lived and worked among the people affected by the Sardar Sarovar...</p>
<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/nandini-oza-an-activist-of-the-narmada-bachao-andolan-nba-interviewed-by-swapna-majumdar-the-hindu.html"
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style="float: right;" target="_blank">+ More...</a>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/daniel-swain-a-climate-scientist-from-the-university-of-california-los-angeles-interviewed-by-avantika-goswami-down-to-earth.html" target="_blank" title="Daniel Swain, a climate scientist from the University of California, Los Angeles, interviewed by Avantika Goswami (Down to Earth)" style="float: left; margin-right: 10px;">
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/daniel-swain-a-climate-scientist-from-the-university-of-california-los-angeles-interviewed-by-avantika-goswami-down-to-earth.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Daniel Swain, a climate scientist from the University of California, Los Angeles, interviewed by Avantika Goswami (Down to Earth)</strong></a>
<br><small>August 8, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Down to Earth
Daniel Swain, a climate scientist from the University of California, Los Angeles, talks about the new science of extreme events attribution
The planet is warming as predicted and its impacts are unfolding as laid out. Climate change is real; there is no dispute over...</p>
<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/daniel-swain-a-climate-scientist-from-the-university-of-california-los-angeles-interviewed-by-avantika-goswami-down-to-earth.html"
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/jean-dreze-economist-and-honorary-professor-at-the-delhi-school-of-economics-interviewed-by-down-to-earth.html" target="_blank" title="Jean Drèze, economist and honorary professor at the Delhi School of Economics, interviewed by Down to Earth" style="float: left; margin-right: 10px;">
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/jean-dreze-economist-and-honorary-professor-at-the-delhi-school-of-economics-interviewed-by-down-to-earth.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Jean Drèze, economist and honorary professor at the Delhi School of Economics, interviewed by Down to Earth</strong></a>
<br><small>July 12, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Down to Earth
The Government of India amended the payment procedure for the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA) some time ago. Due to this, MGNREGA workers in the states and Union territories faced a delay in their wage payment. This delay came at...</p>
<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/jean-dreze-economist-and-honorary-professor-at-the-delhi-school-of-economics-interviewed-by-down-to-earth.html"
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style="float: right;" target="_blank">+ More...</a>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/jean-dreze-development-economist-and-right-to-food-activist-interviewed-by-shriya-mohan-the-hindu-business-line.html" target="_blank" title="Jean Drèze, development economist and right to food activist, interviewed by Shriya Mohan (The Hindu Business Line)" style="float: left; margin-right: 10px;">
<img src="https://im4change.in/images/media/Jean Dreze JPG.jpg" style="max-width:381px" alt="" border="0" class="box_shadow ml5"/>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/jean-dreze-development-economist-and-right-to-food-activist-interviewed-by-shriya-mohan-the-hindu-business-line.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Jean Drèze, development economist and right to food activist, interviewed by Shriya Mohan (The Hindu Business Line)</strong></a>
<br><small>July 1, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-The Hindu Business Line
The development economist, now part of Tamil Nadu’s Economic Advisory Council, says that public expenditure on health is just 0.6 per cent of the state domestic product, one of the lowest ratios among Indian states
* Universal quality education, health care and social...</p>
<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/jean-dreze-development-economist-and-right-to-food-activist-interviewed-by-shriya-mohan-the-hindu-business-line.html"
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<meta property="og:title" content="Interviews | Prof. Chinmay Tumbe of IIM Ahmedabad interviewed by Civil Society News" />
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THROUGHOUT the first and second waves of the coronavirus pandemic, the extent of the tragedy in India was mostly unknown. How many people had really died? Were they men or women? Information was anecdotal and speculative. This..." />
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Interviews </h2>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/prof-chinmay-tumbe-of-iim-ahmedabad-interviewed-by-civil-society-news.html" target="_blank" title="Prof. Chinmay Tumbe of IIM Ahmedabad interviewed by Civil Society News" style="float: left; margin-right: 10px;">
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<h1 style="font-weight: 700;font-size: 14px;">
<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/prof-chinmay-tumbe-of-iim-ahmedabad-interviewed-by-civil-society-news.html" target="_blank">Prof. Chinmay Tumbe of IIM Ahmedabad interviewed by Civil Society News</a>
</h1>
<br><small>September 10, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Civil Society News, Gurugram
THROUGHOUT the first and second waves of the coronavirus pandemic, the extent of the tragedy in India was mostly unknown. How many people had really died? Were they men or women? Information was anecdotal and speculative. This April, there were queues at...</p>
<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/prof-chinmay-tumbe-of-iim-ahmedabad-interviewed-by-civil-society-news.html"
class="more-link"
style="float: right;" target="_blank">+ More...</a>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/nandini-oza-an-activist-of-the-narmada-bachao-andolan-nba-interviewed-by-swapna-majumdar-the-hindu.html" target="_blank" title="Nandini Oza, an activist of the Narmada Bachao Andolan (NBA), interviewed by Swapna Majumdar (The Hindu) " style="float: left; margin-right: 10px;">
<img src="https://im4change.in/images/media/Nandini.jpg" style="max-width:381px" alt="" border="0" class="box_shadow ml5"/>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/nandini-oza-an-activist-of-the-narmada-bachao-andolan-nba-interviewed-by-swapna-majumdar-the-hindu.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Nandini Oza, an activist of the Narmada Bachao Andolan (NBA), interviewed by Swapna Majumdar (The Hindu) </strong></a>
<br><small>August 13, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-The Hindu
The archivist and activist on curating the oral history of the Narmada Bachao Andolan and its importance as a movement of the marginalised
As an activist of the Narmada Bachao Andolan (NBA), Nandini Oza lived and worked among the people affected by the Sardar Sarovar...</p>
<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/nandini-oza-an-activist-of-the-narmada-bachao-andolan-nba-interviewed-by-swapna-majumdar-the-hindu.html"
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style="float: right;" target="_blank">+ More...</a>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/daniel-swain-a-climate-scientist-from-the-university-of-california-los-angeles-interviewed-by-avantika-goswami-down-to-earth.html" target="_blank" title="Daniel Swain, a climate scientist from the University of California, Los Angeles, interviewed by Avantika Goswami (Down to Earth)" style="float: left; margin-right: 10px;">
<img src="https://im4change.in/images/media/Daniel Swain.jpg" style="max-width:381px" alt="" border="0" class="box_shadow ml5"/>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/daniel-swain-a-climate-scientist-from-the-university-of-california-los-angeles-interviewed-by-avantika-goswami-down-to-earth.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Daniel Swain, a climate scientist from the University of California, Los Angeles, interviewed by Avantika Goswami (Down to Earth)</strong></a>
<br><small>August 8, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Down to Earth
Daniel Swain, a climate scientist from the University of California, Los Angeles, talks about the new science of extreme events attribution
The planet is warming as predicted and its impacts are unfolding as laid out. Climate change is real; there is no dispute over...</p>
<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/daniel-swain-a-climate-scientist-from-the-university-of-california-los-angeles-interviewed-by-avantika-goswami-down-to-earth.html"
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/jean-dreze-economist-and-honorary-professor-at-the-delhi-school-of-economics-interviewed-by-down-to-earth.html" target="_blank" title="Jean Drèze, economist and honorary professor at the Delhi School of Economics, interviewed by Down to Earth" style="float: left; margin-right: 10px;">
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/jean-dreze-economist-and-honorary-professor-at-the-delhi-school-of-economics-interviewed-by-down-to-earth.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Jean Drèze, economist and honorary professor at the Delhi School of Economics, interviewed by Down to Earth</strong></a>
<br><small>July 12, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Down to Earth
The Government of India amended the payment procedure for the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA) some time ago. Due to this, MGNREGA workers in the states and Union territories faced a delay in their wage payment. This delay came at...</p>
<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/jean-dreze-economist-and-honorary-professor-at-the-delhi-school-of-economics-interviewed-by-down-to-earth.html"
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style="float: right;" target="_blank">+ More...</a>
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<br><small>July 1, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-The Hindu Business Line
The development economist, now part of Tamil Nadu’s Economic Advisory Council, says that public expenditure on health is just 0.6 per cent of the state domestic product, one of the lowest ratios among Indian states
* Universal quality education, health care and social...</p>
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Interviews | Prof. Chinmay Tumbe of IIM Ahmedabad interviewed by Civil Society News </title>
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THROUGHOUT the first and second waves of the coronavirus pandemic, the extent of the tragedy in India was mostly unknown. How many people had really died? Were they men or women? Information was anecdotal and speculative. This..."/>
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Interviews </h2>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/prof-chinmay-tumbe-of-iim-ahmedabad-interviewed-by-civil-society-news.html" target="_blank" title="Prof. Chinmay Tumbe of IIM Ahmedabad interviewed by Civil Society News" style="float: left; margin-right: 10px;">
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<h1 style="font-weight: 700;font-size: 14px;">
<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/prof-chinmay-tumbe-of-iim-ahmedabad-interviewed-by-civil-society-news.html" target="_blank">Prof. Chinmay Tumbe of IIM Ahmedabad interviewed by Civil Society News</a>
</h1>
<br><small>September 10, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Civil Society News, Gurugram
THROUGHOUT the first and second waves of the coronavirus pandemic, the extent of the tragedy in India was mostly unknown. How many people had really died? Were they men or women? Information was anecdotal and speculative. This April, there were queues at...</p>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/nandini-oza-an-activist-of-the-narmada-bachao-andolan-nba-interviewed-by-swapna-majumdar-the-hindu.html" target="_blank" title="Nandini Oza, an activist of the Narmada Bachao Andolan (NBA), interviewed by Swapna Majumdar (The Hindu) " style="float: left; margin-right: 10px;">
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/nandini-oza-an-activist-of-the-narmada-bachao-andolan-nba-interviewed-by-swapna-majumdar-the-hindu.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Nandini Oza, an activist of the Narmada Bachao Andolan (NBA), interviewed by Swapna Majumdar (The Hindu) </strong></a>
<br><small>August 13, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-The Hindu
The archivist and activist on curating the oral history of the Narmada Bachao Andolan and its importance as a movement of the marginalised
As an activist of the Narmada Bachao Andolan (NBA), Nandini Oza lived and worked among the people affected by the Sardar Sarovar...</p>
<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/nandini-oza-an-activist-of-the-narmada-bachao-andolan-nba-interviewed-by-swapna-majumdar-the-hindu.html"
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/daniel-swain-a-climate-scientist-from-the-university-of-california-los-angeles-interviewed-by-avantika-goswami-down-to-earth.html" target="_blank" title="Daniel Swain, a climate scientist from the University of California, Los Angeles, interviewed by Avantika Goswami (Down to Earth)" style="float: left; margin-right: 10px;">
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<a href="https://im4change.in/interviews/daniel-swain-a-climate-scientist-from-the-university-of-california-los-angeles-interviewed-by-avantika-goswami-down-to-earth.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Daniel Swain, a climate scientist from the University of California, Los Angeles, interviewed by Avantika Goswami (Down to Earth)</strong></a>
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<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-The Hindu Business Line
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Interviews | Prof. Chinmay Tumbe of IIM Ahmedabad interviewed by Civil Society News
-Civil Society News, Gurugram
THROUGHOUT the first and second waves of the coronavirus pandemic, the extent of the tragedy in India was mostly unknown. How many people had really died? Were they men or women? Information was anecdotal and speculative. This April, there were queues at...
-The Hindu
The archivist and activist on curating the oral history of the Narmada Bachao Andolan and its importance as a movement of the marginalised
As an activist of the Narmada Bachao Andolan (NBA), Nandini Oza lived and worked among the people affected by the Sardar Sarovar...
-Down to Earth
Daniel Swain, a climate scientist from the University of California, Los Angeles, talks about the new science of extreme events attribution
The planet is warming as predicted and its impacts are unfolding as laid out. Climate change is real; there is no dispute over...
-Down to Earth
The Government of India amended the payment procedure for the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA) some time ago. Due to this, MGNREGA workers in the states and Union territories faced a delay in their wage payment. This delay came at...
-The Hindu Business Line
The development economist, now part of Tamil Nadu’s Economic Advisory Council, says that public expenditure on health is just 0.6 per cent of the state domestic product, one of the lowest ratios among Indian states
* Universal quality education, health care and social...
Nandini Oza, an activist of the Narmada Bachao Andolan (NBA), interviewed by Swapna Majumdar (The Hindu)
Daniel Swain, a climate scientist from the University of California, Los Angeles, interviewed by Avantika Goswami (Down to Earth)
Jean Drèze, economist and honorary professor at the Delhi School of Economics, interviewed by Down to Earth
Jean Drèze, development economist and right to food activist, interviewed by Shriya Mohan (The Hindu Business Line)
