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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | A Budget few can quarrel over -TT Ram Mohan

A Budget few can quarrel over -TT Ram Mohan

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published Published on Feb 2, 2017   modified Modified on Feb 2, 2017
-The Hindu

Arun Jaitley has steered clear of populist giveaways in the run-up to Assembly elections

Some said it was a ‘make or break’ Budget, one that would use the potential gains from demonetisation to give a decisive push to economic growth. Others said it would be a populist budget aimed at the upcoming elections in Uttar Pradesh and elsewhere.

It has turned out to be neither. Finance Minister Arun Jaitley has presented a ‘don’t rock the boat’ Budget that is intended to reassure international investors that India will continue to be a bright spot in the world economy. In the climate of uncertainty that shrouds the world economy and the Indian economy alike, that seems sensible.

Foreign investors will be impressed with the stability of the Centre’s finances. Mr. Jaitley has met the fiscal deficit target of 3.5% for 2016-17 in spite of exceeding the expenditure targets on both the revenue and capital accounts. This is in refreshing contrast to the past when the fiscal deficit target was met through cuts in capital expenditure.

Mr. Jaitley has managed his feat thanks to buoyant tax revenues for the second year in succession. Tax revenues have been boosted by buoyancy in both direct and indirect tax revenues. These have offset the shortfalls on account of spectrum sale and disinvestment. Customs duty has disappointed but excise duty and personal and corporate tax have contributed significantly. The government has taken advantage of low international oil prices to raise the excise duty on petroleum products.

The tax-to-GDP ratio has risen to 11.3% of GDP, compared to the Budget estimate of 10.8%. This is the first time since 2007-08 that the tax-to-GDP ratio has crossed the 11% mark; it had stagnated at around 10% since 2008-09. At the same time, the expenditure-to-GDP ratio has declined over the years. These are structural changes that will boost confidence in the Indian economy.

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The Hindu, 2 February, 2017, http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/A-Budget-few-can-quarrel-over/article17128752.ece?homepage=true


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