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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | At PM-CMs meet: Covid surge peak likely mid-May, challenge until July, infra gaps in key states -Harikishan Sharma

At PM-CMs meet: Covid surge peak likely mid-May, challenge until July, infra gaps in key states -Harikishan Sharma

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published Published on Apr 25, 2021   modified Modified on Apr 25, 2021

-The Indian Express

Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra and Delhi are expected to see the biggest jump in cases by the end of this month. UP tops the list with 1,19,604 projected cases by the month-end, almost five times the 20,439 registered on April 15.

The ongoing Covid surge is expected to peak in mid-May, with the daily count likely to reach 5 lakh, and may subside by June-July; heavily populated states are at “particular risk”; and, health infrastructure in states is not adequate enough to cope with the “very serious scenario”.

These are the key points flagged during a presentation made by NITI Aayog member Dr V K Paul, who heads a key Central panel, during the Prime Minister’s review meeting with Chief Ministers on Friday, The Sunday Express has learnt.

The presentation also notes the various measures taken by the Government to “break the chains of transmission”: “revised, liberal” vaccination policy; improving “production and availability” of oxygen; “augmentation of availability” of remdesivir; and, various outreach initiatives.

“Team India will fight this second onslaught of Corona and win the war,” it concludes. Yet, a major portion of the presentation details the extent of the crisis, including the projected number of cases by April 30 and shortfall in critical equipment in surge states (see chart). According to sources, Paul flagged glaring gaps in the health infrastructure of 10 states that have a high burden of cases: Maharashtra, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Karnataka, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Gujarat.

Of these, Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra and Delhi are expected to see the biggest jump in cases by the end of this month. UP tops the list with 1,19,604 projected cases by the month-end, almost five times the 20,439 registered on April 15. Delhi could see the daily count go up to 67,134 by the end of this month, almost four times of 17,282 registered on April 15.

“No state has adequate infrastructure to deal with the surge in cases. (The) number of deaths may increase due to lack of treatment facilities,” the presentation says.

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The Indian Express, 25 April, 2021, https://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-covid-second-wave-peak-mid-may-7287803/


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