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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | ‘Bracket’ test for climate conference

‘Bracket’ test for climate conference

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published Published on Dec 5, 2011   modified Modified on Dec 5, 2011
-The Telegraph 
 
The text prepared for negotiations at the Durban global climate-change conference, where high-level discussions begin on Monday, is riddled with disagreements.

The 131-page text, prepared by officials from the various governments, was released late on Saturday. It is full of brackets, The Telegraph has found, which means that some country or the other has not agreed to what has been written within the bracketed area.

It’s clear that the 190-odd participating countries face gruelling negotiations if they want to come up with a credible Durban Declaration that can be considered the next step to the Cancun Conclusion, arrived at last year in Mexico.

The brackets relate especially to key areas such as sharing the responsibility for emission cuts, fixing the peaking year for emissions, and technology transfer.

For example, in the chapter “global goal for substantially reducing global gas emissions by 2050”, the 2020 target for developed countries as a group varies from 30 to 50 per cent of the 1990 level. The target for 2050 ranges between “at least 80” per cent and “more than 95” per cent of the 1990 level.

The target set for the developing countries says they “should achieve… below the currently predicted emissions growth rate in the order of 15 to 30 per cent by 2050”.

This has no brackets, meaning that the developing nations have in a way accepted the responsibility to cut emissions despite their hard posturing. India has already declared that it will voluntarily cut its emission intensity by 20 to 25 per cent by 2020.

The negotiators have failed to agree on something as fundamental as the required level of stabilisation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, which is directly linked to global warming. In the text, the value ranges from 300 to 450 parts per million.

Similarly, the deadline for the global peaking of greenhouse gases leaves a lot of leeway: between 2013 and 2017. Any date that is too near is difficult for countries like India that are still to develop significantly.

In contrast, the peaking limit for developed countries — where emissions were supposed to have peaked by 2000 — has been fixed at “without any delay” to “no later than 2012”.

Various “options” and “brackets” have also been included within sections such as finance and technology transfer — key sectors for the developing and the least developed countries.

“It (the negotiation text) is full of contradictions and it seems the countries have hardly moved since Cancun,” said an analyst from Climate Action Network International.

However, the fate of the Kyoto Protocol, the deepest thorn in the debate, is beyond the purview of this text.

The Telegraph, 5 December, 2011, http://telegraphindia.com/1111205/jsp/nation/story_14840562.jsp


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