Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 150
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 151
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 151
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
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Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]
Code Context
            if (Configure::read('debug')) {

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                            <p style="text-align:justify">-Livemint.com</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>There is good reason to doubt the reported decline in the informal sector&rsquo;s share of Indian GDP</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">A State Bank of India (SBI) <a href="https://im4change.org/upload/files/SBI%20Ecowrap%20Informal%20Sector%201%20November%202021%281%29.pdf" title="https://im4change.org/upload/files/SBI%20Ecowrap%20Informal%20Sector%201%20November%202021%281%29.pdf">report</a> that grabbed headlines recently suggests that India&rsquo;s informal sector has shrunk dramatically in recent years. Given that the claim comes from the economic research team of a major state-owned financial institution, it deserves scrutiny.</p><p style="text-align:justify">The <a href="https://im4change.org/upload/files/SBI%20Ecowrap%20Informal%20Sector%201%20November%202021%281%29.pdf" title="https://im4change.org/upload/files/SBI%20Ecowrap%20Informal%20Sector%201%20November%202021%281%29.pdf">SBI report</a> examines the likely loss of output or gross domestic product (GDP) across sectors in the pandemic year (fiscal 2020-21), assumes this GDP loss to be concentrated in the informal sector, and on the basis of that assumption, arrives at a striking claim that the informal sector&rsquo;s share in India&rsquo;s GDP has shrunk from about 52% three years ago to a &ldquo;max 15-20%&quot; of GDP.</p><p style="text-align:justify">There are four key problems with this analysis. Firstly, the assumption that the entire GDP loss in 2020-21 represents the loss of just the informal sector is too simplistic. The informal sector was undoubtedly hard hit. But given the widespread evidence of revenue losses suffered by the formal sector, it is hard to justify the assumption of zero loss in the formal sector. The report acknowledges the possibility that the formal sector was hit, but justifies its extreme assumption on the ground that it prevents a &ldquo;downward bias&quot; in its conclusions. This justification doesn&rsquo;t hold water. A simple example can show how this assumption actually leads to the extraordinarily low share of the informal sector that the report arrives at.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://www.livemint.com/opinion/columns/big-claims-of-rapid-economic-formalization-are-suspect-11636390573314.html" title="https://www.livemint.com/opinion/columns/big-claims-of-rapid-economic-formalization-are-suspect-11636390573314.html">click here</a> to read more.&nbsp;</p>                                                           
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    <br><a href="https://www.livemint.com/opinion/columns/big-claims-of-rapid-economic-formalization-are-suspect-11636390573314.html" class="re" target="_blank">Livemint.com, 9 November, 2021, https://www.livemint.com/opinion/columns/big-claims-of-rapid-economic-formalization-are-suspect-11636390573314.html</a><div class="clear"></div>
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                            <p style="text-align:justify">-Livemint.com</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>There is good reason to doubt the reported decline in the informal sector&rsquo;s share of Indian GDP</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">A State Bank of India (SBI) <a href="https://im4change.org/upload/files/SBI%20Ecowrap%20Informal%20Sector%201%20November%202021%281%29.pdf" title="https://im4change.org/upload/files/SBI%20Ecowrap%20Informal%20Sector%201%20November%202021%281%29.pdf">report</a> that grabbed headlines recently suggests that India&rsquo;s informal sector has shrunk dramatically in recent years. Given that the claim comes from the economic research team of a major state-owned financial institution, it deserves scrutiny.</p><p style="text-align:justify">The <a href="https://im4change.org/upload/files/SBI%20Ecowrap%20Informal%20Sector%201%20November%202021%281%29.pdf" title="https://im4change.org/upload/files/SBI%20Ecowrap%20Informal%20Sector%201%20November%202021%281%29.pdf">SBI report</a> examines the likely loss of output or gross domestic product (GDP) across sectors in the pandemic year (fiscal 2020-21), assumes this GDP loss to be concentrated in the informal sector, and on the basis of that assumption, arrives at a striking claim that the informal sector&rsquo;s share in India&rsquo;s GDP has shrunk from about 52% three years ago to a &ldquo;max 15-20%&quot; of GDP.</p><p style="text-align:justify">There are four key problems with this analysis. Firstly, the assumption that the entire GDP loss in 2020-21 represents the loss of just the informal sector is too simplistic. The informal sector was undoubtedly hard hit. But given the widespread evidence of revenue losses suffered by the formal sector, it is hard to justify the assumption of zero loss in the formal sector. The report acknowledges the possibility that the formal sector was hit, but justifies its extreme assumption on the ground that it prevents a &ldquo;downward bias&quot; in its conclusions. This justification doesn&rsquo;t hold water. A simple example can show how this assumption actually leads to the extraordinarily low share of the informal sector that the report arrives at.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://www.livemint.com/opinion/columns/big-claims-of-rapid-economic-formalization-are-suspect-11636390573314.html" title="https://www.livemint.com/opinion/columns/big-claims-of-rapid-economic-formalization-are-suspect-11636390573314.html">click here</a> to read more.&nbsp;</p>                                                           
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    <h1 class="cat-box-title">Don't believe everything they tell you about breakneck formalization -Pramit Bhattacharya</h1>
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                            <p style="text-align:justify">-Livemint.com</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>There is good reason to doubt the reported decline in the informal sector&rsquo;s share of Indian GDP</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">A State Bank of India (SBI) <a href="https://im4change.org/upload/files/SBI%20Ecowrap%20Informal%20Sector%201%20November%202021%281%29.pdf" title="https://im4change.org/upload/files/SBI%20Ecowrap%20Informal%20Sector%201%20November%202021%281%29.pdf">report</a> that grabbed headlines recently suggests that India&rsquo;s informal sector has shrunk dramatically in recent years. Given that the claim comes from the economic research team of a major state-owned financial institution, it deserves scrutiny.</p><p style="text-align:justify">The <a href="https://im4change.org/upload/files/SBI%20Ecowrap%20Informal%20Sector%201%20November%202021%281%29.pdf" title="https://im4change.org/upload/files/SBI%20Ecowrap%20Informal%20Sector%201%20November%202021%281%29.pdf">SBI report</a> examines the likely loss of output or gross domestic product (GDP) across sectors in the pandemic year (fiscal 2020-21), assumes this GDP loss to be concentrated in the informal sector, and on the basis of that assumption, arrives at a striking claim that the informal sector&rsquo;s share in India&rsquo;s GDP has shrunk from about 52% three years ago to a &ldquo;max 15-20%&quot; of GDP.</p><p style="text-align:justify">There are four key problems with this analysis. Firstly, the assumption that the entire GDP loss in 2020-21 represents the loss of just the informal sector is too simplistic. The informal sector was undoubtedly hard hit. But given the widespread evidence of revenue losses suffered by the formal sector, it is hard to justify the assumption of zero loss in the formal sector. The report acknowledges the possibility that the formal sector was hit, but justifies its extreme assumption on the ground that it prevents a &ldquo;downward bias&quot; in its conclusions. This justification doesn&rsquo;t hold water. A simple example can show how this assumption actually leads to the extraordinarily low share of the informal sector that the report arrives at.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://www.livemint.com/opinion/columns/big-claims-of-rapid-economic-formalization-are-suspect-11636390573314.html" title="https://www.livemint.com/opinion/columns/big-claims-of-rapid-economic-formalization-are-suspect-11636390573314.html">click here</a> to read more.&nbsp;</p>                                                           
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    <br><a href="https://www.livemint.com/opinion/columns/big-claims-of-rapid-economic-formalization-are-suspect-11636390573314.html" class="re" target="_blank">Livemint.com, 9 November, 2021, https://www.livemint.com/opinion/columns/big-claims-of-rapid-economic-formalization-are-suspect-11636390573314.html</a><div class="clear"></div>
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Don't believe everything they tell you about breakneck formalization -Pramit Bhattacharya

Published on Nov 9, 2021   Modified on Nov 9, 2021

-Livemint.com There is good reason to doubt the reported decline in the informal sector’s share of Indian GDP A State Bank of India (SBI) report that grabbed headlines recently suggests that India’s informal sector has shrunk dramatically in recent years. Given that the claim comes from the economic research team of a major state-owned financial institution, it deserves scrutiny. The SBI report examines the likely loss of output or gross domestic product (GDP) across sectors in the pandemic year (fiscal 2020-21), assumes this GDP loss to be concentrated in the informal sector, and on the basis of that assumption, arrives at a striking claim that the informal sector’s share in India’s GDP has shrunk from about 52% three years ago to a “max 15-20%" of GDP. There are four key problems with this analysis. Firstly, the assumption that the entire GDP loss in 2020-21 represents the loss of just the informal sector is too simplistic. The informal sector was undoubtedly hard hit. But given the widespread evidence of revenue losses suffered by the formal sector, it is hard to justify the assumption of zero loss in the formal sector. The report acknowledges the possibility that the formal sector was hit, but justifies its extreme assumption on the ground that it prevents a “downward bias" in its conclusions. This justification doesn’t hold water. A simple example can show how this assumption actually leads to the extraordinarily low share of the informal sector that the report arrives at. Please click here to read more.

Livemint.com, 9 November, 2021, https://www.livemint.com/opinion/columns/big-claims-of-rapid-economic-formalization-are-suspect-11636390573314.html

Tagged with: Informal Sector Informal Economy Informal Employment GDP Formalisation COVID-19 Pandemic

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