Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 150
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 151
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]
Warning (2): Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php:853) [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 148]
Warning (2): Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php:853) [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 181]
LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Economic growth likely to be consumption-led

Economic growth likely to be consumption-led

Share this article Share this article
published Published on Aug 31, 2017   modified Modified on Aug 31, 2017
-The Hindu Business Line

Strengthening of global demand will support domestic economy: RBI

Kolkata:
The Reserve Bank of India, in its Annual Report 2016-17, has said strengthening external demand will help support the economy, even while favourable domestic conditions are expected to quicken the pace of overall economic activity during the year.

Global growth is gaining traction in 2017-18, with the recovery driven primarily by a cyclical upturn in investment, manufacturing and trade, the report said.

While growth in the domestic economy is expected to be consumption-led, remonetisation is expected to enable a pick-up in discretionary consumer spending.

On the whole, real gross value added (GVA) growth is expected to rise to 7.3 per cent in 2017-18, from 6.6 per cent in 2016-17, the report said.

“Government spending continues to be robust, cushioning the impact of a slowdown in other constituents. Furthermore, reductions in bank lending rates post demonetisation should support investment demand,” the RBI said.

However, global political risks and rising input costs may have an impact on profitability of firms, pulling down the overall GVA growth. The twin balance sheet problem — over-leveraged corporate sector and stressed banking sector — could delay the revival in private investment demand, the report added.

Inflation

The headline inflation is forecast to be in the range of 2-3.5 per cent in the first half of 2017-18 and 3.5-4.5 per cent in the second half.

The implementation of GST is not likely to have a material impact on headline inflation in the near term, the report observed. Headline inflation remained around 2.2 per cent in the first quarter of 2017-18 and declined to a historic low of 1.5 per cent in June 2017, primarily on the back of disinflation in food.

However, moving forward, some uptick in overall food inflation could be expected as “unfavourable base effects set in from August 2017”, the report pointed out.

While in the medium term, GST implementation is expected to bring about tax buoyancy and growth, near-term uncertainties with regard to revenue mobilisation impacting fiscal consolidation at both the Central and State levels could not be ruled out.

Please click here to read more.

The Economic Times, 30 August, 2017, http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/economic-growth-likely-to-be-consumptionled/article9837125.ece?homepage=true


Related Articles

 

Write Comments

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

*

Video Archives

Archives

share on Facebook
Twitter
RSS
Feedback
Read Later

Contact Form

Please enter security code
      Close