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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | El Nino seen arriving too late to hurt India's monsoon rains -Pratik Parija

El Nino seen arriving too late to hurt India's monsoon rains -Pratik Parija

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published Published on Mar 9, 2017   modified Modified on Mar 9, 2017
-Livemint.com/ Bloomberg

A late El Nino may miss India’s monsoon season that runs from June through September, accounting for more than 70% of rain and watering more than half of all farmland

New Delhi:
India’s monsoon may escape the effects of a possible El Nino as the event that can bring dry weather to the world’s top cotton grower and second-biggest wheat and sugar producer.

“Mostly it may not have any impact on rains” because the El Nino probably won’t develop until later this year, said D.S. Pai, head of the long-range forecasting division of India Meteorological Department. “As of now it’s not indicating. There will be clarity when more information is available in April and May.”

Forecasters globally have been increasing odds that El Nino will develop this year as temperatures in the Pacific Ocean rise. Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology issued an El Nino “watch” on 28 February, indicating the likelihood of the pattern forming this year is about 50%. Six climate models suggest thresholds may be reached by July. The US Climate Prediction Center raised its odds to 50% by the end of the year, while Malaysia puts a 50% chance of development between September and November. The 2015-16 El Nino was the strongest since the record event of 1997-98.

A late El Nino may miss India’s monsoon season that runs from June through September, accounting for more than 70% of rain and watering more than half of all farmland. Rainfall was normal in 2016 following two years of deficit that curbed output of sugar cane, wheat and pulses. The good monsoon rains encouraged farmers to expand crop planting and the government predicts India’s grain harvest will reach an all-time high on record rice, wheat and pulses production.

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Livemint.com/ Bloomberg, 8 March, 2017, http://www.livemint.com/Politics/1R52zojK32FOmS5ujwRIbN/El-Nino-seen-arriving-too-late-to-hurt-Indias-monsoon-rains.html


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