Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 150
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 150
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Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 151
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 151
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 97
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]
Code Context
            if (Configure::read('debug')) {

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        LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Elusive monsoon-Devinder Sharma    </title>
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While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation. considerably.





Once again the rain gods are playing truant. With 31 per cent shortfall in June, and with an..."/>
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While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation. considerably.





Once again the rain gods are playing truant. With 31 per cent shortfall in June, and with an..." />
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                            <div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify"><em>While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation. considerably.</em></div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">Once again the rain gods are playing truant. With 31 per cent shortfall in June, and with an expectation of only 70 per cent of the predicted 96 per cent rainfall for the July-August months, crucial for farming operations, kharif sowings have already been hit. &nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">In June alone, ministry of agriculture has calculated the shortfall in paddy transplanting to be around 26 per cent in the frontline agricultural states of Punjab and Haryana. Sowing of maize, bajra, jowar have been much lower in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Karnataka. &nbsp;Although the ministry claims that the sowing of pulses, oilseeds and sugarcane has been near normal, any further delay will have a serious repercussion on kharif production. Even in Uttar Pradesh, Chhatisgarh, Odisha and Andhra Pradesh, the standing crop is coming under pressure with every passing day.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify">&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify">If the rains get delayed by another week or so, all estimates will go topsy-turvy. It will then be time to press the panic button.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">Agriculture minister Sharad Pawar is trying his best to play down fears of an impending drought. Coming at a time when the annual growth has slipped to 6.5 per cent, any indication of an expected shortfall in agriculture production will send the markets prices soaring. While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation thereby inviting a lot of drubbing for the government. &ldquo;We are fully prepared to meet any rainfall deficiency situation, and all states have been directed to be ready with the farm ministry&rsquo;s contingency plans,&rdquo; he said.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">What makes the monsoon forecast a matter of concern is the prediction that El Nino &ndash; warm ocean currents in the Pacific region that causes severe droughts in Australia, Southeast Asia and India &ndash; might appear in September. The US-based International Research Institute for Climate and Society as well as the Australian Bureau of Meteorology have predicted the possibility of El Nino striking in the latter half of the year. Our own meteorological department thinks the chances of El Nino appearing in September is around 36 per cent. If that happens, it will mean a drier September which would certainly result in production loss at the time of grain formation in standing crops. &nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify">&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify">How serious is the impact of El Nino factor can be gauged from the fact that the previous five droughts in India were all because El Nino had appeared in a significant form. Globally, if you examine the meteorological data of past 110 years, of the 21 major droughts 15 were caused by El Nino. The fury and intensity of El Nino cannot be simply glossed over.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify"><em>Longterm predictions</em></div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">It isn&rsquo;t easy to make correct long-term predictions about the behaviour of monsoon. Not only the Indian Met department, even internationally the predictions have not been sharp and correct. This year the predictions by some of the best known institutes abroad for monsoon range from complete failure to normal. Over the years, the IMD has moved away from the statistical method to a more improved dynamic model but to expect that the predictions will hit the bull eye is still far away. In fact, the Met Dept has not been able to predict drought in the past 130 years.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">In 2009, the country faced one of the worst droughts in recent times. The Met Department had predicted 96 per cent rainfall in the long-term average. The actual rainfall was short by a whopping 23 per cent resulting in a loss in paddy production to the tune of 12 per cent. This year too, the Met Department has predicted monsoon to be in the range of 96 per cent, and there has already been a delay of about a fortnight in over 70 per cent of the geographical area.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">Even if the deficient monsoon turns into a drought, the redeeming factor is that the country is saddled with a record 82.4 million tonnes of wheat and rice. There is no danger of an impending famine in case production slumps from an impending drought. With such comfortable food stocks, the government should be able to judiciously distribute it among needy states and at the same time make open-market releases so as to bring price rise in staple food under control. Also, there will be no need to look for food imports considering the sufficient stocks lying within the country. In any case, international wheat supply too is expected to slump following a severe drought in the midlands region of US, comprising the wheat production belt. &nbsp;&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">This is why India must spurn the G-20 directive which makes it obligatory for member countries to export any surplus food. Although the G-20 objective is to ensure that the global food prices don&rsquo;t harden in the wake of short supplies, India cannot afford the luxury considering its huge population and the need to maintain enough foodstocks at all times for precariously balancing its food security needs.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">Domestic policies therefore have to take precedence over international obligations. Allowing the export of skimmed milk powder just a month before the monsoon begins too is not a worthwhile decision knowing well that milk production drops in summers. A prolonged dry spell is first going to hit dairy production.</div>                                                           
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    <br><a href="http://www.deccanherald.com/content/262099/elusive-monsoon.html" class="re" target="_blank">Deccan Herald, 5 July, 2012, http://www.deccanherald.com/content/262099/elusive-monsoon.html</a><div class="clear"></div>
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While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation. considerably.





Once again the rain gods are playing truant. With 31 per cent shortfall in June, and with an..."/>
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While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation. considerably.





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    <h1 class="cat-box-title">Elusive monsoon-Devinder Sharma</h1>
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		 Published on</span><span class="text-date"> Jul 6, 2012</span>
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                            <div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify"><em>While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation. considerably.</em></div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">Once again the rain gods are playing truant. With 31 per cent shortfall in June, and with an expectation of only 70 per cent of the predicted 96 per cent rainfall for the July-August months, crucial for farming operations, kharif sowings have already been hit. &nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">In June alone, ministry of agriculture has calculated the shortfall in paddy transplanting to be around 26 per cent in the frontline agricultural states of Punjab and Haryana. Sowing of maize, bajra, jowar have been much lower in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Karnataka. &nbsp;Although the ministry claims that the sowing of pulses, oilseeds and sugarcane has been near normal, any further delay will have a serious repercussion on kharif production. Even in Uttar Pradesh, Chhatisgarh, Odisha and Andhra Pradesh, the standing crop is coming under pressure with every passing day.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify">&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify">If the rains get delayed by another week or so, all estimates will go topsy-turvy. It will then be time to press the panic button.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">Agriculture minister Sharad Pawar is trying his best to play down fears of an impending drought. Coming at a time when the annual growth has slipped to 6.5 per cent, any indication of an expected shortfall in agriculture production will send the markets prices soaring. While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation thereby inviting a lot of drubbing for the government. &ldquo;We are fully prepared to meet any rainfall deficiency situation, and all states have been directed to be ready with the farm ministry&rsquo;s contingency plans,&rdquo; he said.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">What makes the monsoon forecast a matter of concern is the prediction that El Nino &ndash; warm ocean currents in the Pacific region that causes severe droughts in Australia, Southeast Asia and India &ndash; might appear in September. The US-based International Research Institute for Climate and Society as well as the Australian Bureau of Meteorology have predicted the possibility of El Nino striking in the latter half of the year. Our own meteorological department thinks the chances of El Nino appearing in September is around 36 per cent. If that happens, it will mean a drier September which would certainly result in production loss at the time of grain formation in standing crops. &nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify">&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify">How serious is the impact of El Nino factor can be gauged from the fact that the previous five droughts in India were all because El Nino had appeared in a significant form. Globally, if you examine the meteorological data of past 110 years, of the 21 major droughts 15 were caused by El Nino. The fury and intensity of El Nino cannot be simply glossed over.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify"><em>Longterm predictions</em></div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">It isn&rsquo;t easy to make correct long-term predictions about the behaviour of monsoon. Not only the Indian Met department, even internationally the predictions have not been sharp and correct. This year the predictions by some of the best known institutes abroad for monsoon range from complete failure to normal. Over the years, the IMD has moved away from the statistical method to a more improved dynamic model but to expect that the predictions will hit the bull eye is still far away. In fact, the Met Dept has not been able to predict drought in the past 130 years.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">In 2009, the country faced one of the worst droughts in recent times. The Met Department had predicted 96 per cent rainfall in the long-term average. The actual rainfall was short by a whopping 23 per cent resulting in a loss in paddy production to the tune of 12 per cent. This year too, the Met Department has predicted monsoon to be in the range of 96 per cent, and there has already been a delay of about a fortnight in over 70 per cent of the geographical area.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">Even if the deficient monsoon turns into a drought, the redeeming factor is that the country is saddled with a record 82.4 million tonnes of wheat and rice. There is no danger of an impending famine in case production slumps from an impending drought. With such comfortable food stocks, the government should be able to judiciously distribute it among needy states and at the same time make open-market releases so as to bring price rise in staple food under control. Also, there will be no need to look for food imports considering the sufficient stocks lying within the country. In any case, international wheat supply too is expected to slump following a severe drought in the midlands region of US, comprising the wheat production belt. &nbsp;&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">This is why India must spurn the G-20 directive which makes it obligatory for member countries to export any surplus food. Although the G-20 objective is to ensure that the global food prices don&rsquo;t harden in the wake of short supplies, India cannot afford the luxury considering its huge population and the need to maintain enough foodstocks at all times for precariously balancing its food security needs.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">Domestic policies therefore have to take precedence over international obligations. Allowing the export of skimmed milk powder just a month before the monsoon begins too is not a worthwhile decision knowing well that milk production drops in summers. A prolonged dry spell is first going to hit dairy production.</div>                                                           
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    <br><a href="http://www.deccanherald.com/content/262099/elusive-monsoon.html" class="re" target="_blank">Deccan Herald, 5 July, 2012, http://www.deccanherald.com/content/262099/elusive-monsoon.html</a><div class="clear"></div>
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        LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Elusive monsoon-Devinder Sharma    </title>
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While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation. considerably.





Once again the rain gods are playing truant. With 31 per cent shortfall in June, and with an..."/>
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While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation. considerably.





Once again the rain gods are playing truant. With 31 per cent shortfall in June, and with an..." />
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    <h1 class="cat-box-title">Elusive monsoon-Devinder Sharma</h1>
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                            <div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify"><em>While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation. considerably.</em></div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">Once again the rain gods are playing truant. With 31 per cent shortfall in June, and with an expectation of only 70 per cent of the predicted 96 per cent rainfall for the July-August months, crucial for farming operations, kharif sowings have already been hit. &nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">In June alone, ministry of agriculture has calculated the shortfall in paddy transplanting to be around 26 per cent in the frontline agricultural states of Punjab and Haryana. Sowing of maize, bajra, jowar have been much lower in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Karnataka. &nbsp;Although the ministry claims that the sowing of pulses, oilseeds and sugarcane has been near normal, any further delay will have a serious repercussion on kharif production. Even in Uttar Pradesh, Chhatisgarh, Odisha and Andhra Pradesh, the standing crop is coming under pressure with every passing day.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify">&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify">If the rains get delayed by another week or so, all estimates will go topsy-turvy. It will then be time to press the panic button.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">Agriculture minister Sharad Pawar is trying his best to play down fears of an impending drought. Coming at a time when the annual growth has slipped to 6.5 per cent, any indication of an expected shortfall in agriculture production will send the markets prices soaring. While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation thereby inviting a lot of drubbing for the government. &ldquo;We are fully prepared to meet any rainfall deficiency situation, and all states have been directed to be ready with the farm ministry&rsquo;s contingency plans,&rdquo; he said.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">What makes the monsoon forecast a matter of concern is the prediction that El Nino &ndash; warm ocean currents in the Pacific region that causes severe droughts in Australia, Southeast Asia and India &ndash; might appear in September. The US-based International Research Institute for Climate and Society as well as the Australian Bureau of Meteorology have predicted the possibility of El Nino striking in the latter half of the year. Our own meteorological department thinks the chances of El Nino appearing in September is around 36 per cent. If that happens, it will mean a drier September which would certainly result in production loss at the time of grain formation in standing crops. &nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify">&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify">How serious is the impact of El Nino factor can be gauged from the fact that the previous five droughts in India were all because El Nino had appeared in a significant form. Globally, if you examine the meteorological data of past 110 years, of the 21 major droughts 15 were caused by El Nino. The fury and intensity of El Nino cannot be simply glossed over.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify"><em>Longterm predictions</em></div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">It isn&rsquo;t easy to make correct long-term predictions about the behaviour of monsoon. Not only the Indian Met department, even internationally the predictions have not been sharp and correct. This year the predictions by some of the best known institutes abroad for monsoon range from complete failure to normal. Over the years, the IMD has moved away from the statistical method to a more improved dynamic model but to expect that the predictions will hit the bull eye is still far away. In fact, the Met Dept has not been able to predict drought in the past 130 years.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">In 2009, the country faced one of the worst droughts in recent times. The Met Department had predicted 96 per cent rainfall in the long-term average. The actual rainfall was short by a whopping 23 per cent resulting in a loss in paddy production to the tune of 12 per cent. This year too, the Met Department has predicted monsoon to be in the range of 96 per cent, and there has already been a delay of about a fortnight in over 70 per cent of the geographical area.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">Even if the deficient monsoon turns into a drought, the redeeming factor is that the country is saddled with a record 82.4 million tonnes of wheat and rice. There is no danger of an impending famine in case production slumps from an impending drought. With such comfortable food stocks, the government should be able to judiciously distribute it among needy states and at the same time make open-market releases so as to bring price rise in staple food under control. Also, there will be no need to look for food imports considering the sufficient stocks lying within the country. In any case, international wheat supply too is expected to slump following a severe drought in the midlands region of US, comprising the wheat production belt. &nbsp;&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">This is why India must spurn the G-20 directive which makes it obligatory for member countries to export any surplus food. Although the G-20 objective is to ensure that the global food prices don&rsquo;t harden in the wake of short supplies, India cannot afford the luxury considering its huge population and the need to maintain enough foodstocks at all times for precariously balancing its food security needs.&nbsp;</div><div style="text-align: justify"><br /></div><div style="text-align: justify">Domestic policies therefore have to take precedence over international obligations. Allowing the export of skimmed milk powder just a month before the monsoon begins too is not a worthwhile decision knowing well that milk production drops in summers. A prolonged dry spell is first going to hit dairy production.</div>                                                           
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    <br><a href="http://www.deccanherald.com/content/262099/elusive-monsoon.html" class="re" target="_blank">Deccan Herald, 5 July, 2012, http://www.deccanherald.com/content/262099/elusive-monsoon.html</a><div class="clear"></div>
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Home हिन्दी

Elusive monsoon-Devinder Sharma

Published on Jul 6, 2012   Modified on Jul 6, 2012

While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation. considerably. Once again the rain gods are playing truant. With 31 per cent shortfall in June, and with an expectation of only 70 per cent of the predicted 96 per cent rainfall for the July-August months, crucial for farming operations, kharif sowings have already been hit.   In June alone, ministry of agriculture has calculated the shortfall in paddy transplanting to be around 26 per cent in the frontline agricultural states of Punjab and Haryana. Sowing of maize, bajra, jowar have been much lower in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Karnataka.  Although the ministry claims that the sowing of pulses, oilseeds and sugarcane has been near normal, any further delay will have a serious repercussion on kharif production. Even in Uttar Pradesh, Chhatisgarh, Odisha and Andhra Pradesh, the standing crop is coming under pressure with every passing day.    If the rains get delayed by another week or so, all estimates will go topsy-turvy. It will then be time to press the panic button.  Agriculture minister Sharad Pawar is trying his best to play down fears of an impending drought. Coming at a time when the annual growth has slipped to 6.5 per cent, any indication of an expected shortfall in agriculture production will send the markets prices soaring. While any loss in production following the dry spell will further hit the growth story, it will also push up food inflation thereby inviting a lot of drubbing for the government. “We are fully prepared to meet any rainfall deficiency situation, and all states have been directed to be ready with the farm ministry’s contingency plans,” he said.  What makes the monsoon forecast a matter of concern is the prediction that El Nino – warm ocean currents in the Pacific region that causes severe droughts in Australia, Southeast Asia and India – might appear in September. The US-based International Research Institute for Climate and Society as well as the Australian Bureau of Meteorology have predicted the possibility of El Nino striking in the latter half of the year. Our own meteorological department thinks the chances of El Nino appearing in September is around 36 per cent. If that happens, it will mean a drier September which would certainly result in production loss at the time of grain formation in standing crops.     How serious is the impact of El Nino factor can be gauged from the fact that the previous five droughts in India were all because El Nino had appeared in a significant form. Globally, if you examine the meteorological data of past 110 years, of the 21 major droughts 15 were caused by El Nino. The fury and intensity of El Nino cannot be simply glossed over.  Longterm predictions It isn’t easy to make correct long-term predictions about the behaviour of monsoon. Not only the Indian Met department, even internationally the predictions have not been sharp and correct. This year the predictions by some of the best known institutes abroad for monsoon range from complete failure to normal. Over the years, the IMD has moved away from the statistical method to a more improved dynamic model but to expect that the predictions will hit the bull eye is still far away. In fact, the Met Dept has not been able to predict drought in the past 130 years.  In 2009, the country faced one of the worst droughts in recent times. The Met Department had predicted 96 per cent rainfall in the long-term average. The actual rainfall was short by a whopping 23 per cent resulting in a loss in paddy production to the tune of 12 per cent. This year too, the Met Department has predicted monsoon to be in the range of 96 per cent, and there has already been a delay of about a fortnight in over 70 per cent of the geographical area.  Even if the deficient monsoon turns into a drought, the redeeming factor is that the country is saddled with a record 82.4 million tonnes of wheat and rice. There is no danger of an impending famine in case production slumps from an impending drought. With such comfortable food stocks, the government should be able to judiciously distribute it among needy states and at the same time make open-market releases so as to bring price rise in staple food under control. Also, there will be no need to look for food imports considering the sufficient stocks lying within the country. In any case, international wheat supply too is expected to slump following a severe drought in the midlands region of US, comprising the wheat production belt.    This is why India must spurn the G-20 directive which makes it obligatory for member countries to export any surplus food. Although the G-20 objective is to ensure that the global food prices don’t harden in the wake of short supplies, India cannot afford the luxury considering its huge population and the need to maintain enough foodstocks at all times for precariously balancing its food security needs.  Domestic policies therefore have to take precedence over international obligations. Allowing the export of skimmed milk powder just a month before the monsoon begins too is not a worthwhile decision knowing well that milk production drops in summers. A prolonged dry spell is first going to hit dairy production.

Deccan Herald, 5 July, 2012, http://www.deccanherald.com/content/262099/elusive-monsoon.html

Tagged with: monsoon Agriculture economy

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