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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | ‘Excess deaths’ in Kerala 1.6 times official COVID-19 toll -Srinivasan Ramani

‘Excess deaths’ in Kerala 1.6 times official COVID-19 toll -Srinivasan Ramani

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published Published on Jun 25, 2021   modified Modified on Jun 26, 2021

-The Hindu

2021 deaths surge reverses decline in mortality

After registering a lower number of deaths overall in 2020 compared to 2019, Kerala witnessed a significant increase in the overall death count due to the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021, resulting in an estimated 15,222 “excess deaths” till May 31, month-wise data from the Civil Registration System show.

The overall “excess deaths” for the period April 2020-May 2021 were 13,868, which is 1.6 times more than the official COVID-19 death toll of 8,816 during this period. Not all excess deaths will be related to COVID-19, but a bulk of them will be during the pandemic.

Kerala’s estimated undercount factor of 1.6 is lower than what The Hindu estimated for Karnataka (5.8) and Tamil Nadu (6.2) for the same period.

The undercount factor for 2021 alone (2.7) is also much lower than that of Karnataka (4.7), Tamil Nadu (6.5), Andhra Pradesh (33.8) and Madhya Pradesh (42.3).

It is also the same as the World Health Organization estimate for the Americas and Europe in 2020 — 1.6 times the recorded COVID-19 death toll. The “excess deaths” were estimated by calculating the difference between the overall death counts registered each month during the pandemic years and the average death tally in the pre-pandemic years (2015-2019).

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The Hindu, 25 June, 2021, https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/excess-deaths-in-kerala-16-times-official-covid-19-toll/article34978628.ece


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