Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 150
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 150
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 151
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 151
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 97
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]
Code Context
            if (Configure::read('debug')) {

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        LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Farmers bear the burden of deflation -Harish Damodaran    </title>
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-The Indian Express

Demonetisation, coupled with daily limits on cash transactions and fear of being tracked by revenue authorities post the Goods and Services Tax regime, have made traders less inclined to purchasing and stocking up produce during the harvest season...."/>
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-The Indian Express

Demonetisation, coupled with daily limits on cash transactions and fear of being tracked by revenue authorities post the Goods and Services Tax regime, have made traders less inclined to purchasing and stocking up produce during the harvest season...." />
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                            <div align="justify">-The Indian Express<br /><br /><em>Demonetisation, coupled with daily limits on cash transactions and fear of being tracked by revenue authorities post the Goods and Services Tax regime, have made traders less inclined to purchasing and stocking up produce during the harvest season. <br /></em><br />The defining feature of Indian agriculture in the last five years &mdash; much of it under the Narendra Modi government&rsquo;s tenure &mdash; has been low prices for farm produce.<br /><br />The accompanying table shows the year-on-year consumer food price inflation rate, which averaged over 13.5 per cent during 2013, almost halving to around 7 per cent in 2014. Since then &mdash; the Modi government came to power in May 2014 &mdash; it fell to 5-5.5 per cent by 2016, before plunging to 1.3 per cent levels over the next two years. In 2017 and 2018, retail food inflation ruled below even the overall consumer price index (CPI) inflation.<br /><br />The same holds true for the wholesale price index (WPI). The annual inflation based on it &mdash; which is closer to producer realisations than at the retail end &mdash; has been lower both for food articles and non-food agricultural articles&nbsp; (oilseeds, cotton, jute, silk, tobacco, raw hides, fodder, natural rubber, flowers, etc) during the last two years, compared to the corresponding rise in the all-commodities WPI.<br /><br />The deceleration in farm produce prices under the Modi government&rsquo;s tenure can be broadly ascribed to three factors.<br /><br />The first has to do with a crash in international agri-commodity prices. The United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization&rsquo;s food price index (base year: 2002-04=100) soared from 89.6 in 2002 to 229.9 in 2011. Subsequently, it eased somewhat to 209.8 in 2013 and 201.8 in 2014, before collapsing to 161.5 in 2016. Low global prices resulted in a sharp drop in India&rsquo;s farm exports, even while increasing its vulnerability to imports. The combined effect was to depress domestic prices.<br /><br />Second, this period, which saw the end of a decade-long global commodity boom, was also when the Modi government adopted a new inflation-targeting monetary policy framework. With the Reserve Bank of India being mandated to achieve a 4 per cent medium-term target of inflation based on the CPI &mdash; in which food and beverage items have a total 45.86 per cent weight &mdash; it led to even the slightest hardening of onion, potato, pulses or sugar prices triggering export bans, duty-free imports and stockholding restrictions. The burden of hawkish policy responses fell mainly on farmers, who were also granted only moderate minimum support price hikes during the first three years of this government.<br /><br />The third trigger for depressed farm realisations has, of course, been demonetisation. Consumer food inflation has for 28 consecutive months &mdash; from September 2016 to December 2018 &mdash; been hovering below general CPI inflation. It is clear by now that this sustained low agri-commodity inflation or even deflation &mdash; probably unprecedented in India&rsquo;s history &mdash; cannot be explained through the usual &ldquo;supply&rdquo; (bumper crop) and &ldquo;demand&rdquo; (slowdown in incomes) factors.<br /><br />Please <a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/india/farmers-bear-the-burden-of-deflation-5542001/" title="https://indianexpress.com/article/india/farmers-bear-the-burden-of-deflation-5542001/">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>                                                           
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    <br><a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/india/farmers-bear-the-burden-of-deflation-5542001/" class="re" target="_blank">The Indian Express, 17 January, 2019, https://indianexpress.com/article/india/farmers-bear-the-burden-of-deflation-5542001/</a><div class="clear"></div>
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Demonetisation, coupled with daily limits on cash transactions and fear of being tracked by revenue authorities post the Goods and Services Tax regime, have made traders less inclined to purchasing and stocking up produce during the harvest season...."/>
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    <h1 class="cat-box-title">Farmers bear the burden of deflation -Harish Damodaran</h1>
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                            <div align="justify">-The Indian Express<br /><br /><em>Demonetisation, coupled with daily limits on cash transactions and fear of being tracked by revenue authorities post the Goods and Services Tax regime, have made traders less inclined to purchasing and stocking up produce during the harvest season. <br /></em><br />The defining feature of Indian agriculture in the last five years &mdash; much of it under the Narendra Modi government&rsquo;s tenure &mdash; has been low prices for farm produce.<br /><br />The accompanying table shows the year-on-year consumer food price inflation rate, which averaged over 13.5 per cent during 2013, almost halving to around 7 per cent in 2014. Since then &mdash; the Modi government came to power in May 2014 &mdash; it fell to 5-5.5 per cent by 2016, before plunging to 1.3 per cent levels over the next two years. In 2017 and 2018, retail food inflation ruled below even the overall consumer price index (CPI) inflation.<br /><br />The same holds true for the wholesale price index (WPI). The annual inflation based on it &mdash; which is closer to producer realisations than at the retail end &mdash; has been lower both for food articles and non-food agricultural articles&nbsp; (oilseeds, cotton, jute, silk, tobacco, raw hides, fodder, natural rubber, flowers, etc) during the last two years, compared to the corresponding rise in the all-commodities WPI.<br /><br />The deceleration in farm produce prices under the Modi government&rsquo;s tenure can be broadly ascribed to three factors.<br /><br />The first has to do with a crash in international agri-commodity prices. The United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization&rsquo;s food price index (base year: 2002-04=100) soared from 89.6 in 2002 to 229.9 in 2011. Subsequently, it eased somewhat to 209.8 in 2013 and 201.8 in 2014, before collapsing to 161.5 in 2016. Low global prices resulted in a sharp drop in India&rsquo;s farm exports, even while increasing its vulnerability to imports. The combined effect was to depress domestic prices.<br /><br />Second, this period, which saw the end of a decade-long global commodity boom, was also when the Modi government adopted a new inflation-targeting monetary policy framework. With the Reserve Bank of India being mandated to achieve a 4 per cent medium-term target of inflation based on the CPI &mdash; in which food and beverage items have a total 45.86 per cent weight &mdash; it led to even the slightest hardening of onion, potato, pulses or sugar prices triggering export bans, duty-free imports and stockholding restrictions. The burden of hawkish policy responses fell mainly on farmers, who were also granted only moderate minimum support price hikes during the first three years of this government.<br /><br />The third trigger for depressed farm realisations has, of course, been demonetisation. Consumer food inflation has for 28 consecutive months &mdash; from September 2016 to December 2018 &mdash; been hovering below general CPI inflation. It is clear by now that this sustained low agri-commodity inflation or even deflation &mdash; probably unprecedented in India&rsquo;s history &mdash; cannot be explained through the usual &ldquo;supply&rdquo; (bumper crop) and &ldquo;demand&rdquo; (slowdown in incomes) factors.<br /><br />Please <a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/india/farmers-bear-the-burden-of-deflation-5542001/" title="https://indianexpress.com/article/india/farmers-bear-the-burden-of-deflation-5542001/">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>                                                           
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    <br><a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/india/farmers-bear-the-burden-of-deflation-5542001/" class="re" target="_blank">The Indian Express, 17 January, 2019, https://indianexpress.com/article/india/farmers-bear-the-burden-of-deflation-5542001/</a><div class="clear"></div>
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Demonetisation, coupled with daily limits on cash transactions and fear of being tracked by revenue authorities post the Goods and Services Tax regime, have made traders less inclined to purchasing and stocking up produce during the harvest season...."/>
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                            <div align="justify">-The Indian Express<br /><br /><em>Demonetisation, coupled with daily limits on cash transactions and fear of being tracked by revenue authorities post the Goods and Services Tax regime, have made traders less inclined to purchasing and stocking up produce during the harvest season. <br /></em><br />The defining feature of Indian agriculture in the last five years &mdash; much of it under the Narendra Modi government&rsquo;s tenure &mdash; has been low prices for farm produce.<br /><br />The accompanying table shows the year-on-year consumer food price inflation rate, which averaged over 13.5 per cent during 2013, almost halving to around 7 per cent in 2014. Since then &mdash; the Modi government came to power in May 2014 &mdash; it fell to 5-5.5 per cent by 2016, before plunging to 1.3 per cent levels over the next two years. In 2017 and 2018, retail food inflation ruled below even the overall consumer price index (CPI) inflation.<br /><br />The same holds true for the wholesale price index (WPI). The annual inflation based on it &mdash; which is closer to producer realisations than at the retail end &mdash; has been lower both for food articles and non-food agricultural articles&nbsp; (oilseeds, cotton, jute, silk, tobacco, raw hides, fodder, natural rubber, flowers, etc) during the last two years, compared to the corresponding rise in the all-commodities WPI.<br /><br />The deceleration in farm produce prices under the Modi government&rsquo;s tenure can be broadly ascribed to three factors.<br /><br />The first has to do with a crash in international agri-commodity prices. The United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization&rsquo;s food price index (base year: 2002-04=100) soared from 89.6 in 2002 to 229.9 in 2011. Subsequently, it eased somewhat to 209.8 in 2013 and 201.8 in 2014, before collapsing to 161.5 in 2016. Low global prices resulted in a sharp drop in India&rsquo;s farm exports, even while increasing its vulnerability to imports. The combined effect was to depress domestic prices.<br /><br />Second, this period, which saw the end of a decade-long global commodity boom, was also when the Modi government adopted a new inflation-targeting monetary policy framework. With the Reserve Bank of India being mandated to achieve a 4 per cent medium-term target of inflation based on the CPI &mdash; in which food and beverage items have a total 45.86 per cent weight &mdash; it led to even the slightest hardening of onion, potato, pulses or sugar prices triggering export bans, duty-free imports and stockholding restrictions. The burden of hawkish policy responses fell mainly on farmers, who were also granted only moderate minimum support price hikes during the first three years of this government.<br /><br />The third trigger for depressed farm realisations has, of course, been demonetisation. Consumer food inflation has for 28 consecutive months &mdash; from September 2016 to December 2018 &mdash; been hovering below general CPI inflation. It is clear by now that this sustained low agri-commodity inflation or even deflation &mdash; probably unprecedented in India&rsquo;s history &mdash; cannot be explained through the usual &ldquo;supply&rdquo; (bumper crop) and &ldquo;demand&rdquo; (slowdown in incomes) factors.<br /><br />Please <a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/india/farmers-bear-the-burden-of-deflation-5542001/" title="https://indianexpress.com/article/india/farmers-bear-the-burden-of-deflation-5542001/">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>                                                           
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    <br><a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/india/farmers-bear-the-burden-of-deflation-5542001/" class="re" target="_blank">The Indian Express, 17 January, 2019, https://indianexpress.com/article/india/farmers-bear-the-burden-of-deflation-5542001/</a><div class="clear"></div>
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Home हिन्दी

Farmers bear the burden of deflation -Harish Damodaran

Published on Jan 17, 2019   Modified on Jan 17, 2019

-The Indian Express Demonetisation, coupled with daily limits on cash transactions and fear of being tracked by revenue authorities post the Goods and Services Tax regime, have made traders less inclined to purchasing and stocking up produce during the harvest season. The defining feature of Indian agriculture in the last five years — much of it under the Narendra Modi government’s tenure — has been low prices for farm produce. The accompanying table shows the year-on-year consumer food price inflation rate, which averaged over 13.5 per cent during 2013, almost halving to around 7 per cent in 2014. Since then — the Modi government came to power in May 2014 — it fell to 5-5.5 per cent by 2016, before plunging to 1.3 per cent levels over the next two years. In 2017 and 2018, retail food inflation ruled below even the overall consumer price index (CPI) inflation. The same holds true for the wholesale price index (WPI). The annual inflation based on it — which is closer to producer realisations than at the retail end — has been lower both for food articles and non-food agricultural articles  (oilseeds, cotton, jute, silk, tobacco, raw hides, fodder, natural rubber, flowers, etc) during the last two years, compared to the corresponding rise in the all-commodities WPI. The deceleration in farm produce prices under the Modi government’s tenure can be broadly ascribed to three factors. The first has to do with a crash in international agri-commodity prices. The United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization’s food price index (base year: 2002-04=100) soared from 89.6 in 2002 to 229.9 in 2011. Subsequently, it eased somewhat to 209.8 in 2013 and 201.8 in 2014, before collapsing to 161.5 in 2016. Low global prices resulted in a sharp drop in India’s farm exports, even while increasing its vulnerability to imports. The combined effect was to depress domestic prices. Second, this period, which saw the end of a decade-long global commodity boom, was also when the Modi government adopted a new inflation-targeting monetary policy framework. With the Reserve Bank of India being mandated to achieve a 4 per cent medium-term target of inflation based on the CPI — in which food and beverage items have a total 45.86 per cent weight — it led to even the slightest hardening of onion, potato, pulses or sugar prices triggering export bans, duty-free imports and stockholding restrictions. The burden of hawkish policy responses fell mainly on farmers, who were also granted only moderate minimum support price hikes during the first three years of this government. The third trigger for depressed farm realisations has, of course, been demonetisation. Consumer food inflation has for 28 consecutive months — from September 2016 to December 2018 — been hovering below general CPI inflation. It is clear by now that this sustained low agri-commodity inflation or even deflation — probably unprecedented in India’s history — cannot be explained through the usual “supply” (bumper crop) and “demand” (slowdown in incomes) factors. Please click here to read more.

The Indian Express, 17 January, 2019, https://indianexpress.com/article/india/farmers-bear-the-burden-of-deflation-5542001/

Tagged with: Demonetisation Wholesale Price Index (WPI) Wholesale prices Retail Inflation Retail Prices Consumer Price Index (CPI) Consumer Price Index Consumer Food Price Index

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