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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | First-time voters could hold key to 282 seats in this Lok Sabha elections -Ravish Tiwari & Ritika Chopra

First-time voters could hold key to 282 seats in this Lok Sabha elections -Ravish Tiwari & Ritika Chopra

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published Published on Mar 4, 2019   modified Modified on Mar 4, 2019
-The Indian Express

The analysis is based on new voters who crossed the eligibility age of 18 years after the 2014 elections and were added during subsequent annual summary revisions of electoral rolls.

This Lok Sabha election, the youth may hold the key in as many as 282 seats across 29 states, where there could be more first-time voters than their respective winning margins in 2014, an analysis of Election Commission (EC) data by The Indian Express has revealed.

These voters — born between 1997 and 2001 — were not eligible to vote in the last general elections. In fact, there will be an estimated average of 1.49 lakh first-time eligible voters in each Lok Sabha constituency and this figure is larger than the winning margin in 297 seats in 2014. Some of these voters may have got an opportunity to vote during the Assembly elections since 2014, but this will be their first Lok Sabha election.

Given the import of regional dynamics in electoral contests, The Indian Express also compared the state average of first-time voters (18-22 years old) per Lok Sabha seat to the winning margin of seats in those states in 2014. In this case, the total number of Lok Sabha seats, where millennial voters are likely to have a significant bearing on the outcome, works out to 282 – more than the numerical majority required in the Lok Sabha.

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The Indian Express, 4 March, 2019, https://indianexpress.com/elections/first-time-voters-could-hold-key-to-282-seats-this-time-5609391/


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