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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Free grains, fuel tax deferred – Gujarat, HP on its mind, Modi govt puts politics over economy -Sharad Raghavan

Free grains, fuel tax deferred – Gujarat, HP on its mind, Modi govt puts politics over economy -Sharad Raghavan

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published Published on Oct 4, 2022   modified Modified on Oct 5, 2022

-ThePrint.in

RBI's rate hike also among decisions announced last week that might pay political dividends in state polls, but could come with commensurate economic costs, say economists.

New Delhi: Is the Modi government prioritising political gain over much-needed economic prudence with an eye on crucial assembly elections coming up in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh this year and more lined up the next?

The answer seems to be yes, going by several critical decisions announced over the last one week: the Reserve Bank of India’s announcement of a 50 basis points (bps) hike in the repo rate, the Union government’s extension of the Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana (PM-GKAY) free food programme for another three months, and the Ministry of Finance’s decision to defer the imposition of a tax on unblended fuel.

All these decisions, economists say, have the potential to pay significant political dividends, but they could also have commensurate economic costs.

Ineffective repo rate cuts

While the decision on the repo rate (the rate at which the central bank lends money to commercial banks) is taken by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the RBI, this is usually done after extensive consultations with the Ministry of Finance. Additionally, three members of the MPC are appointed by the government.

An analysis of the repo rate and retail inflation over the last decade has shown that there is barely any correlation between the two. That is, it doesn’t necessarily mean that an interest rate hike will be followed by a fall in inflation, or that an interest rate cut would spur higher inflation.

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ThePrint.in, 4 October, 2022, https://theprint.in/economy/free-grains-fuel-tax-deferred-gujarat-hp-on-its-mind-modi-govt-puts-politics-over-economy/1153361/


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