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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Govt's flip-flop on jobs data continues, impacts credibility -Prashant K Nanda

Govt's flip-flop on jobs data continues, impacts credibility -Prashant K Nanda

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published Published on Jul 30, 2018   modified Modified on Jul 30, 2018
-Livemint.com

The ministry of statistics claims that the payroll data for the most recent months are provisional and again, data for every month is being revised

New Delhi:
The government’s latest payroll data sourced from the Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO) points towards the fact that earlier growth numbers may have been exaggerated.

In April, when the centre first released the jobs data, it said that between September 2017 and February 2018, India had created 3.11 million jobs. In May, the revised estimates put the number at 3.32 million, but in June this was revised down to 2.95 million. Now, analysis of the latest monthly data released in July shows the number is further down to 2.68 million.

The Narendra Modi-led government’s effort to weave a positive narrative around the jobs report card was seen as a bid to counter the perception that it had failed to live up to its promise of creating 10 million jobs each year. But the frequent revisions have prompted analysts to question the government’s narrative in the run-up to the 2019 general election.

Additionally, there is the issue of whether new payroll additions should be considered as new jobs or just formalization of existing jobs. There is also the unresolved issue of which age group should be considered for calculating net job creation in the country—across all age groups (18-59) or just the 18-25 one.

Though the government has released payroll data for the last nine months—September 2017 to May 2018—the ministry of statistics says that the data for recent months is provisional.

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Livemint.com, 27 July, 2018, https://www.livemint.com/Politics/gaLr6gsUvHylvFTG4OrM2H/Frequent-revisions-affecting-credibility-of-payroll-data.html


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