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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | How India’s rulers have dashed the hopes of its younger citizens -Santosh Mehrotra

How India’s rulers have dashed the hopes of its younger citizens -Santosh Mehrotra

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published Published on Jan 8, 2023   modified Modified on Jan 8, 2023

-Scroll.in

Increasing unemployment is a major cause for concern.

Politicians constantly talk about India being a young country, since two-thirds of the population is under 35 years of age and half of it below 26. Some economists consider this an automatic boon for the economy, since there is a limitless number of workers who could contribute to India’s productive capacity.

Finance and investment giant Morgan Stanley, in a report released in November, identified this productive potential as the reason for “this decade being India’s decade”. But its projections may be too optimistic.

Not much cause for optimism is offered by the four engines of growth – private final consumption expenditure, private investment, government expenditure and net exports.

Nearly 58% of India’s gross domestic product, or GDP, is accounted for by private final consumption expenditure on individual needs. However, since demonetisation in November 2016 – when Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 currency notes were declared invalid – consumption expenditure has been tepid, as job growth fell sharply.

No wonder that in 2017-’18, when the Union government released the Periodic Labour Force Survey data, unemployment had reached a 45-year high of 6.1%. In 2012, it was only 2.1%.

In fact, the growth of non-farm jobs fell to 2.9 million per year between 2013 and 2019, a dramatic drop at a time when five to six million new young people were looking for work each year. By contrast, 7.5 million non-farm jobs were being created each year between 2004-’05 and 2011-’12, according to data from the National Statistics Office.

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Scroll.in, 8 January, 2023, https://scroll.in/article/1040596/how-indias-rulers-have-dashed-the-hopes-of-its-younger-citizens


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