Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 150
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 150
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Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 151
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 151
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 97
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]
Code Context
            if (Configure::read('debug')) {

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        LATEST NEWS UPDATES | IMD launches systems for probabilistic weather forecasting    </title>
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-The Indian Express

&ldquo;The new system will tell us the probability of rainfall according to its intensity and volume. This will be colour coded for ease of interpretation,&rdquo; said IMD Director General KJ Ramesh. 

New Delhi: The India Met Department (IMD)..."/>
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-The Indian Express

&ldquo;The new system will tell us the probability of rainfall according to its intensity and volume. This will be colour coded for ease of interpretation,&rdquo; said IMD Director General KJ Ramesh. 

New Delhi: The India Met Department (IMD)..." />
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                            <div align="justify">-The Indian Express<br /><em><br />&ldquo;The new system will tell us the probability of rainfall according to its intensity and volume. This will be colour coded for ease of interpretation,&rdquo; said IMD Director General KJ Ramesh. <br /></em><br /><em>New Delhi: </em>The India Met Department (IMD) on Friday launched two &ldquo;very high resolution&rdquo; Ensemble Prediction Systems, to generate ten-day probabilistic weather forecasts. In simple terms, the new systems in place can provide rainfall forecasts with probabilities allowing better lead time to prepare for extreme weather events. These systems also use a higher resolution 12 km grid scale, instead of the 23 km resolution that has been in use.<br /><br />Ministry of Earth Sciences Secretary M. Rajeevan said that the systems in place are due to the acquisition of Rs 450 crore worth of high power computing systems. He also said that these systems will improve upon the existing deterministic forecasts that are prone to high margins of errors.<br /><br />&ldquo;We have been issuing deterministic forecast at the district level that has been useful for planning for agricultural purposes, so the next logical step is block level forecast,&rdquo; he said. &ldquo;When you go for very small spatial scale, when you want to issue forecast for heavy rainfall or extreme weather forecasts then a deterministic forecast can generate large errors. The ensemble prediction model is more useful for this purpose,&rdquo; he added.<br /><br />However, the IMD said that these particular systems are specifically for rainfall, though it can be tweaked to provide similar forecasts for thunderstorms, cold waves and weather events. &ldquo;The new system will tell us the probability of rainfall according to its intensity and volume. This will be colour coded for ease of interpretation,&rdquo; said IMD Director General KJ Ramesh.<br /><br />Please <a href="http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/imd-launches-systems-for-probabilistic-weather-forecasting-5200929/" title="http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/imd-launches-systems-for-probabilistic-weather-forecasting-5200929/">click here</a> to read more. <br /><br /></div>                                                           
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    <br><a href="http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/imd-launches-systems-for-probabilistic-weather-forecasting-5200929/" class="re" target="_blank">The Indian Express, 2 June, 2018, http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/imd-launches-systems-for-probabilistic-weather-forecasting-5200929/</a><div class="clear"></div>
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&ldquo;The new system will tell us the probability of rainfall according to its intensity and volume. This will be colour coded for ease of interpretation,&rdquo; said IMD Director General KJ Ramesh. 

New Delhi: The India Met Department (IMD)..."/>
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                            <div align="justify">-The Indian Express<br /><em><br />&ldquo;The new system will tell us the probability of rainfall according to its intensity and volume. This will be colour coded for ease of interpretation,&rdquo; said IMD Director General KJ Ramesh. <br /></em><br /><em>New Delhi: </em>The India Met Department (IMD) on Friday launched two &ldquo;very high resolution&rdquo; Ensemble Prediction Systems, to generate ten-day probabilistic weather forecasts. In simple terms, the new systems in place can provide rainfall forecasts with probabilities allowing better lead time to prepare for extreme weather events. These systems also use a higher resolution 12 km grid scale, instead of the 23 km resolution that has been in use.<br /><br />Ministry of Earth Sciences Secretary M. Rajeevan said that the systems in place are due to the acquisition of Rs 450 crore worth of high power computing systems. He also said that these systems will improve upon the existing deterministic forecasts that are prone to high margins of errors.<br /><br />&ldquo;We have been issuing deterministic forecast at the district level that has been useful for planning for agricultural purposes, so the next logical step is block level forecast,&rdquo; he said. &ldquo;When you go for very small spatial scale, when you want to issue forecast for heavy rainfall or extreme weather forecasts then a deterministic forecast can generate large errors. The ensemble prediction model is more useful for this purpose,&rdquo; he added.<br /><br />However, the IMD said that these particular systems are specifically for rainfall, though it can be tweaked to provide similar forecasts for thunderstorms, cold waves and weather events. &ldquo;The new system will tell us the probability of rainfall according to its intensity and volume. This will be colour coded for ease of interpretation,&rdquo; said IMD Director General KJ Ramesh.<br /><br />Please <a href="http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/imd-launches-systems-for-probabilistic-weather-forecasting-5200929/" title="http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/imd-launches-systems-for-probabilistic-weather-forecasting-5200929/">click here</a> to read more. <br /><br /></div>                                                           
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    <br><a href="http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/imd-launches-systems-for-probabilistic-weather-forecasting-5200929/" class="re" target="_blank">The Indian Express, 2 June, 2018, http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/imd-launches-systems-for-probabilistic-weather-forecasting-5200929/</a><div class="clear"></div>
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-The Indian Express

&ldquo;The new system will tell us the probability of rainfall according to its intensity and volume. This will be colour coded for ease of interpretation,&rdquo; said IMD Director General KJ Ramesh. 

New Delhi: The India Met Department (IMD)..."/>
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-The Indian Express

&ldquo;The new system will tell us the probability of rainfall according to its intensity and volume. This will be colour coded for ease of interpretation,&rdquo; said IMD Director General KJ Ramesh. 

New Delhi: The India Met Department (IMD)..." />
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                            <div align="justify">-The Indian Express<br /><em><br />&ldquo;The new system will tell us the probability of rainfall according to its intensity and volume. This will be colour coded for ease of interpretation,&rdquo; said IMD Director General KJ Ramesh. <br /></em><br /><em>New Delhi: </em>The India Met Department (IMD) on Friday launched two &ldquo;very high resolution&rdquo; Ensemble Prediction Systems, to generate ten-day probabilistic weather forecasts. In simple terms, the new systems in place can provide rainfall forecasts with probabilities allowing better lead time to prepare for extreme weather events. These systems also use a higher resolution 12 km grid scale, instead of the 23 km resolution that has been in use.<br /><br />Ministry of Earth Sciences Secretary M. Rajeevan said that the systems in place are due to the acquisition of Rs 450 crore worth of high power computing systems. He also said that these systems will improve upon the existing deterministic forecasts that are prone to high margins of errors.<br /><br />&ldquo;We have been issuing deterministic forecast at the district level that has been useful for planning for agricultural purposes, so the next logical step is block level forecast,&rdquo; he said. &ldquo;When you go for very small spatial scale, when you want to issue forecast for heavy rainfall or extreme weather forecasts then a deterministic forecast can generate large errors. The ensemble prediction model is more useful for this purpose,&rdquo; he added.<br /><br />However, the IMD said that these particular systems are specifically for rainfall, though it can be tweaked to provide similar forecasts for thunderstorms, cold waves and weather events. &ldquo;The new system will tell us the probability of rainfall according to its intensity and volume. This will be colour coded for ease of interpretation,&rdquo; said IMD Director General KJ Ramesh.<br /><br />Please <a href="http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/imd-launches-systems-for-probabilistic-weather-forecasting-5200929/" title="http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/imd-launches-systems-for-probabilistic-weather-forecasting-5200929/">click here</a> to read more. <br /><br /></div>                                                           
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    <br><a href="http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/imd-launches-systems-for-probabilistic-weather-forecasting-5200929/" class="re" target="_blank">The Indian Express, 2 June, 2018, http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/imd-launches-systems-for-probabilistic-weather-forecasting-5200929/</a><div class="clear"></div>
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IMD launches systems for probabilistic weather forecasting

Published on Jun 2, 2018   Modified on Jun 2, 2018

-The Indian Express “The new system will tell us the probability of rainfall according to its intensity and volume. This will be colour coded for ease of interpretation,” said IMD Director General KJ Ramesh. New Delhi: The India Met Department (IMD) on Friday launched two “very high resolution” Ensemble Prediction Systems, to generate ten-day probabilistic weather forecasts. In simple terms, the new systems in place can provide rainfall forecasts with probabilities allowing better lead time to prepare for extreme weather events. These systems also use a higher resolution 12 km grid scale, instead of the 23 km resolution that has been in use. Ministry of Earth Sciences Secretary M. Rajeevan said that the systems in place are due to the acquisition of Rs 450 crore worth of high power computing systems. He also said that these systems will improve upon the existing deterministic forecasts that are prone to high margins of errors. “We have been issuing deterministic forecast at the district level that has been useful for planning for agricultural purposes, so the next logical step is block level forecast,” he said. “When you go for very small spatial scale, when you want to issue forecast for heavy rainfall or extreme weather forecasts then a deterministic forecast can generate large errors. The ensemble prediction model is more useful for this purpose,” he added. However, the IMD said that these particular systems are specifically for rainfall, though it can be tweaked to provide similar forecasts for thunderstorms, cold waves and weather events. “The new system will tell us the probability of rainfall according to its intensity and volume. This will be colour coded for ease of interpretation,” said IMD Director General KJ Ramesh. Please click here to read more.

The Indian Express, 2 June, 2018, http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/imd-launches-systems-for-probabilistic-weather-forecasting-5200929/

Tagged with: India Meteorological Department (IMD) Weather Forecasting Rainfall Forecasts with Probabilities

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