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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | India needs a more informed debate, better policy design to address population growth -C Rangarajan & JK Satia

India needs a more informed debate, better policy design to address population growth -C Rangarajan & JK Satia

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published Published on Nov 2, 2019   modified Modified on Nov 2, 2019
-The Indian Express

The UN Population Division estimates that the medium fertility variant, the most likely scenario, will result in a peak population of 165 crore in the year 2061 and a decline thereafter.

The mention of a population explosion by the prime minister in his Independence Day speech has rekindled debate on population growth and family planning. The responses have varied. Some have called for a law to limit family size; some others have asked for disincentives for large families. Some have attributed the problem to specific communities.

It is important to understand the dynamics of population growth for designing an appropriate response. There are two major factors leading to high population growth:

One, householders wanting larger families, particularly more than the replacement level of a total fertility rate of 2.1 where a mother is replaced by a daughter; two, the population momentum, that is, a larger number of people entering the reproductive age group of 15-49 years compared to those leaving this age group. This is the age-composition effect of earlier levels of high fertility.

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The Indian Express, 2 November, 2019, https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/population-explosion-fertility-rate-growth-india-facts-of-life-6098651/


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