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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Kharif crop to gain as Met sees good rains in July too -Jayashree Bhosale

Kharif crop to gain as Met sees good rains in July too -Jayashree Bhosale

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published Published on Jul 8, 2013   modified Modified on Jul 8, 2013
-The Economic Times


PUNE: After receiving a 32% above-average rainfall in June, the country is likely to get good rainfall in July too. According to IMD officials, the Madden-Julian Oscillations (MJO) has become favourable for the monsoon and will result in good rainfall from mid-July. This will benefit kharif crops, which have been sown early due to timely monsoon.

D Shivanand Pai, head of IMD's long-range forecasting division, said, "The Madden-Julian Oscillation has become favourable for Indian monsoon. This will provide good rainfall by mid-July, especially over central India and the west coast." MJO is the convection zone moving from west to east and is currently entering the Indian ocean. Last year, MJO was not favourable when India received deficient rainfall in June.

Due to timely monsoon, kharif sowing till July 5 this year was almost double the area at 401.69 lakh hectare compared to 215.07 lakh hectare during the comparable period in the previous year.

According to agriculture experts, though sowing has been timely, yield will depend upon the July rainfall. As the crops have been sown early, they will be harvested early. Thus, even if the rainfall in the second half of the season does not remain favourable, it may not affect the yield much. For the country as a whole, cumulative rainfall during this year's monsoon has been 27% above the long period average (LPA) up to July 3. The cumulative seasonal rainfall activity continued to be in excess over all the four homogeneous regions except east and northeast India, where it was 37% below LPA.

However, during the week from June 27 to July 3, rainfall activity was near normal or excess over the country as a whole except south peninsula, where rainfall was 22% below LPA. The south peninsula, where the main kharif crops include sugar cane, soyabean, cotton, pulses and paddy, is still coming out of the last year's drought.

"The south peninsula did not receive good rainfall in the week from June 27 to July 3 because the monsoon trough was to the north of its normal position giving good rainfall in central and north India. Also, there has to be some system over Bay of Bengal off the coast of Odisha or north Andhra Pradesh for getting good rainfall over south India, which was absent during this period," said Medha Khole, IMD's deputy director general for weather forecasting.


The Economic Times, 8 July, 2013, http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/agriculture/kharif-crop-to-gain-as-met-sees-good-rains-in-july-too/articleshow/20963378.cms


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