Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 150
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
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Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 151
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
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Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]
Code Context
            if (Configure::read('debug')) {

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        LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Managing the stimulus -Neelkanth Mishra    </title>
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-The Indian Express

The income transfer scheme was the highlight of the budget. But its success will need deft manoeuvring. 

Like in each of the previous two years, the run-up to the budget this year was rife with fears of significant..."/>
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-The Indian Express

The income transfer scheme was the highlight of the budget. But its success will need deft manoeuvring. 

Like in each of the previous two years, the run-up to the budget this year was rife with fears of significant..." />
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                            <div align="justify">-The Indian Express<br /><br /><em>The income transfer scheme was the highlight of the budget. But its success will need deft manoeuvring. <br /></em><br />Like in each of the previous two years, the run-up to the budget this year was rife with fears of significant fiscal slippage if the government caved in to political compulsions. And like in prior years, these fears turned out to be exaggerated. The decline in fiscal deficit ratios has indeed stalled, and at nearly 6 per cent, India continues to have one of the highest general government (that is, states plus Centre) deficits globally. But an important message was that the downward glide path of fiscal deficits was not disrupted.<br /><br />A measure of &ldquo;crowding out&rdquo; is government borrowing from bond markets as a share of incremental deposits in the banking system: This ratio is now down to 33 per cent as the net bond issuance budgeted for the next financial year is unchanged from levels seen eight years back, a period in which the economy has grown substantially. That is, the government&rsquo;s excess spending, funded through borrowings, is now appropriating a smaller part of the financial savings and leaving more for the private sector.<br /><br />It&rsquo;s not all rosy, however. In the current financial year, extra-budgetary spending was Rs 1.4 trillion higher than what had been budgeted. Ninety per cent of that amount was from the Food Corporation of India. While higher inventory holding likely explains a large part of this Rs 1.2 trillion increase, one wonders if some unfunded food subsidy may have contributed too.<br /><br />Governments also have this tendency to give aggressive tax collection targets that make the deficit appear low, but then later in the year are forced to make course corrections. Are the tax targets for the next year too aggressive? They appear to be somewhat stretched, but achievable. The economic growth estimate of 11.5 per cent, taking the GDP to Rs 210 trillion, may be slightly optimistic, given how weak inflation has been in the past several months, even if the government&rsquo;s consumption stimulus shores up activity levels. Budgeted growth in direct tax collections at 15 per cent appears high, but is lower than what has been achieved over the past two years and thus more credible, given the significant widening of the tax base, and some recovery in corporate earnings.<br /><br />Please <a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/budget-20149-highlights-income-transfer-scheme-managing-the-stimulus-5569141/" title="https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/budget-20149-highlights-income-transfer-scheme-managing-the-stimulus-5569141/">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>                                                           
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    <br><a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/budget-20149-highlights-income-transfer-scheme-managing-the-stimulus-5569141/" class="re" target="_blank">The Indian Express, 5 February, 2019, https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/budget-20149-highlights-income-transfer-scheme-managing-the-stimulus-5569141/</a><div class="clear"></div>
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    <h1 class="cat-box-title">Managing the stimulus -Neelkanth Mishra</h1>
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                            <div align="justify">-The Indian Express<br /><br /><em>The income transfer scheme was the highlight of the budget. But its success will need deft manoeuvring. <br /></em><br />Like in each of the previous two years, the run-up to the budget this year was rife with fears of significant fiscal slippage if the government caved in to political compulsions. And like in prior years, these fears turned out to be exaggerated. The decline in fiscal deficit ratios has indeed stalled, and at nearly 6 per cent, India continues to have one of the highest general government (that is, states plus Centre) deficits globally. But an important message was that the downward glide path of fiscal deficits was not disrupted.<br /><br />A measure of &ldquo;crowding out&rdquo; is government borrowing from bond markets as a share of incremental deposits in the banking system: This ratio is now down to 33 per cent as the net bond issuance budgeted for the next financial year is unchanged from levels seen eight years back, a period in which the economy has grown substantially. That is, the government&rsquo;s excess spending, funded through borrowings, is now appropriating a smaller part of the financial savings and leaving more for the private sector.<br /><br />It&rsquo;s not all rosy, however. In the current financial year, extra-budgetary spending was Rs 1.4 trillion higher than what had been budgeted. Ninety per cent of that amount was from the Food Corporation of India. While higher inventory holding likely explains a large part of this Rs 1.2 trillion increase, one wonders if some unfunded food subsidy may have contributed too.<br /><br />Governments also have this tendency to give aggressive tax collection targets that make the deficit appear low, but then later in the year are forced to make course corrections. Are the tax targets for the next year too aggressive? They appear to be somewhat stretched, but achievable. The economic growth estimate of 11.5 per cent, taking the GDP to Rs 210 trillion, may be slightly optimistic, given how weak inflation has been in the past several months, even if the government&rsquo;s consumption stimulus shores up activity levels. Budgeted growth in direct tax collections at 15 per cent appears high, but is lower than what has been achieved over the past two years and thus more credible, given the significant widening of the tax base, and some recovery in corporate earnings.<br /><br />Please <a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/budget-20149-highlights-income-transfer-scheme-managing-the-stimulus-5569141/" title="https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/budget-20149-highlights-income-transfer-scheme-managing-the-stimulus-5569141/">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>                                                           
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    <br><a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/budget-20149-highlights-income-transfer-scheme-managing-the-stimulus-5569141/" class="re" target="_blank">The Indian Express, 5 February, 2019, https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/budget-20149-highlights-income-transfer-scheme-managing-the-stimulus-5569141/</a><div class="clear"></div>
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        LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Managing the stimulus -Neelkanth Mishra    </title>
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The income transfer scheme was the highlight of the budget. But its success will need deft manoeuvring. 

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                            <div align="justify">-The Indian Express<br /><br /><em>The income transfer scheme was the highlight of the budget. But its success will need deft manoeuvring. <br /></em><br />Like in each of the previous two years, the run-up to the budget this year was rife with fears of significant fiscal slippage if the government caved in to political compulsions. And like in prior years, these fears turned out to be exaggerated. The decline in fiscal deficit ratios has indeed stalled, and at nearly 6 per cent, India continues to have one of the highest general government (that is, states plus Centre) deficits globally. But an important message was that the downward glide path of fiscal deficits was not disrupted.<br /><br />A measure of &ldquo;crowding out&rdquo; is government borrowing from bond markets as a share of incremental deposits in the banking system: This ratio is now down to 33 per cent as the net bond issuance budgeted for the next financial year is unchanged from levels seen eight years back, a period in which the economy has grown substantially. That is, the government&rsquo;s excess spending, funded through borrowings, is now appropriating a smaller part of the financial savings and leaving more for the private sector.<br /><br />It&rsquo;s not all rosy, however. In the current financial year, extra-budgetary spending was Rs 1.4 trillion higher than what had been budgeted. Ninety per cent of that amount was from the Food Corporation of India. While higher inventory holding likely explains a large part of this Rs 1.2 trillion increase, one wonders if some unfunded food subsidy may have contributed too.<br /><br />Governments also have this tendency to give aggressive tax collection targets that make the deficit appear low, but then later in the year are forced to make course corrections. Are the tax targets for the next year too aggressive? They appear to be somewhat stretched, but achievable. The economic growth estimate of 11.5 per cent, taking the GDP to Rs 210 trillion, may be slightly optimistic, given how weak inflation has been in the past several months, even if the government&rsquo;s consumption stimulus shores up activity levels. Budgeted growth in direct tax collections at 15 per cent appears high, but is lower than what has been achieved over the past two years and thus more credible, given the significant widening of the tax base, and some recovery in corporate earnings.<br /><br />Please <a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/budget-20149-highlights-income-transfer-scheme-managing-the-stimulus-5569141/" title="https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/budget-20149-highlights-income-transfer-scheme-managing-the-stimulus-5569141/">click here</a> to read more. <br /></div>                                                           
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    <br><a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/budget-20149-highlights-income-transfer-scheme-managing-the-stimulus-5569141/" class="re" target="_blank">The Indian Express, 5 February, 2019, https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/budget-20149-highlights-income-transfer-scheme-managing-the-stimulus-5569141/</a><div class="clear"></div>
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Home हिन्दी

Managing the stimulus -Neelkanth Mishra

Published on Feb 6, 2019   Modified on Feb 6, 2019

-The Indian Express The income transfer scheme was the highlight of the budget. But its success will need deft manoeuvring. Like in each of the previous two years, the run-up to the budget this year was rife with fears of significant fiscal slippage if the government caved in to political compulsions. And like in prior years, these fears turned out to be exaggerated. The decline in fiscal deficit ratios has indeed stalled, and at nearly 6 per cent, India continues to have one of the highest general government (that is, states plus Centre) deficits globally. But an important message was that the downward glide path of fiscal deficits was not disrupted. A measure of “crowding out” is government borrowing from bond markets as a share of incremental deposits in the banking system: This ratio is now down to 33 per cent as the net bond issuance budgeted for the next financial year is unchanged from levels seen eight years back, a period in which the economy has grown substantially. That is, the government’s excess spending, funded through borrowings, is now appropriating a smaller part of the financial savings and leaving more for the private sector. It’s not all rosy, however. In the current financial year, extra-budgetary spending was Rs 1.4 trillion higher than what had been budgeted. Ninety per cent of that amount was from the Food Corporation of India. While higher inventory holding likely explains a large part of this Rs 1.2 trillion increase, one wonders if some unfunded food subsidy may have contributed too. Governments also have this tendency to give aggressive tax collection targets that make the deficit appear low, but then later in the year are forced to make course corrections. Are the tax targets for the next year too aggressive? They appear to be somewhat stretched, but achievable. The economic growth estimate of 11.5 per cent, taking the GDP to Rs 210 trillion, may be slightly optimistic, given how weak inflation has been in the past several months, even if the government’s consumption stimulus shores up activity levels. Budgeted growth in direct tax collections at 15 per cent appears high, but is lower than what has been achieved over the past two years and thus more credible, given the significant widening of the tax base, and some recovery in corporate earnings. Please click here to read more.

The Indian Express, 5 February, 2019, https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/budget-20149-highlights-income-transfer-scheme-managing-the-stimulus-5569141/

Tagged with: tax collection Goods and Services Tax Union Budget Interim Budget

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