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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | New monsoon models on the anvil this year -Jacob Koshy

New monsoon models on the anvil this year -Jacob Koshy

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published Published on Jan 18, 2021   modified Modified on Jan 19, 2021

-The Hindu

Agency failed to gauge the magnitude of the excess rainfall in 2019, 2020

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) may introduce new monsoon models this year to better forecast changes in rainfall.

At a day-long meet, via videoconference, involving several senior meteorologists across the IMD’s offices and those from affiliated climate research institutes, discussions took place on the accuracy of the existing models, emerging weather models and their strengths and weaknesses in capturing the vagaries of the monsoon and the extent to which they were effective, over varying time-scales, in forecasting heavy rain or an extended dry patch.

The monsoon that concluded in 2020 was unique, in that with monsoon 2019, it was only the third time in a century that India saw back-to-back years of above normal rainfall. In both years — and monsoon 2019 was a 25-year high — the IMD failed to forecast the magnitude of the excess and only indicated that monsoon would be “above normal”.

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The Hindu, 18 January, 2021, https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/new-monsoon-models-on-the-anvil-this-year/article33602205.ece?homepage=true


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