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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Not much vikas: Did the prime minister's record on development and governance impress UP voters? -Kanti Bajpai

Not much vikas: Did the prime minister's record on development and governance impress UP voters? -Kanti Bajpai

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published Published on Mar 27, 2017   modified Modified on Mar 27, 2017
-The Times of India Blog

Whatever else won UP for BJP it wasn’t development and good governance. Prime Minister Narendra Modi came to office ostensibly on a plank of economic and administrative ‘acche din’. Sadly, he has not delivered. So voters either don’t know his record or they voted for BJP for quite different reasons.

What is the prime minister’s record on development and governance? In three years of BJP rule at the Centre, GDP has grown by 7.4% on average (if you accept the method of calculating growth brought in by the Modi government). The record of UPA was 7.8% in its first 5 years, 7.5% in the next 5 years, and 7.65% over 10 years. UPA achieved these figures despite the 2008 financial crisis and dipping growth in 2011-13. It also recorded rates of 9.3% in 2005 and 2006 and 10.3% in 2010 – Modi has come nowhere close.

Attracting FDI is supposed to be a great success story for the BJP government. In 10 years of the UPA government, FDI as a proportion of GDP averaged 1.86%. This is after the 0.76% of the Vajpayee years. Over the past three years, the NDA government has averaged 1.83% – hardly a breathtaking pace.

The prime minister promised to ‘Make in India’. Has manufacturing boomed and produced jobs for the tens of millions entering the labour market? The figures for both are not that easy to access – which raises questions of its own. But no one would say that there has been much improvement.

Even before demonetisation, it was clear that manufacturing was stagnant. If you go to the Make in India page, you will read a lot about all the initiatives of the government, but you won’t find figures on manufacturing growth. On the other hand, RBI figures reveal that in 2015-16, manufacturing actually shrank, to the tune of 3.7%. As for jobs, 1.35 lakh jobs were created in 2015 – also the lowest in 7 years. Again, there are no figures available for 2016, as far as i can tell.

The one thing i credited Modi with when he came to power was his bluntness on sanitation. Here was a prime minister willing to talk about an almost taboo subject, especially open defecation, and the horrible state of Ganga. After that brave start, what’s the record?

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The Times of India Blog, 25 March, 2017, http://blogs.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/toi-edit-page/not-much-vikas-did-the-prime-ministers-record-on-development-and-governance-impress-up-voters/


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