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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Nutrient facts -Harish Damodaran

Nutrient facts -Harish Damodaran

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published Published on Jan 23, 2015   modified Modified on Jan 23, 2015
-The Indian Express

Having decontrolled petrol and diesel, the government's next focus is on containing fertiliser subsidies. Key to this is decontrol of urea and ushering in a system of crediting subsidy payments directly into the bank accounts of farmers. HARISH DAMODARAN explains the existing subsidy regime and the road ahead.

* What's so special about urea decontrol?

Urea is the only fertiliser whose maximum retail price (MRP) is still fixed by the government, with imports also permitted only through designated state trading enterprises. Moreover, there is a significant domestic industry in urea. In 2013-14, production at 22.72 million tonnes far exceeded imports of 7.09 Mt. This is unlike for other fertilisers, where India is 100 per cent import-dependent either for the final product (muriate of potash or MOP) or raw materials/ intermediates (rock phosphate, sulphur and ammonia for manufacture of di-ammonium phosphate or DAP).

* What does decontrol entail?

Decontrol would mean allowing the MRP for urea to be market-determined, as it is with other fertilisers. Besides, there will be no import restrictions. Anybody can import urea, not just MMTC, STC or Indian Potash Ltd.

The government has already, since April 2010, freed non-urea fertilisers from price controls, following which the MRP of DAP has gone up from Rs 9,350 to around Rs 23,000 a tonne, and of MOP from Rs 4,455 to Rs 16,650. During the same period, the MRP of urea has been raised only marginally from Rs 4,830 to Rs 5,360 a tonne. In the event of price decontrol of urea, farmers would obviously end up paying much more for it as well.

The impact of decontrol on the industry would be mainly on account of imports. The landed price (cost plus freight) of imported urea in India is currently about $300 a tonne, which is lower than the average of $322 in 2013-14 and $413 the year before. On the other hand, the average production cost for domestic plants is roughly Rs 18,000 or $ 290 per tonne, ranging from a low of Rs 11,000 to as high as Rs 41,000. In a free import regime, the high-cost units may face closure.

* But why protect inefficient manufacturers? Also, if farmers are already paying more for other fertilisers, would they not be able to absorb similar price rises in urea?

The second question first. Urea has a disproportionately high share - over 55 per cent - in India's total fertiliser consumption. A wheat farmer typically applies 2.5 bags (125 kg) of urea per acre over the full cropping period, compared to just one bag (50 kg) of DAP and half a bag (25 kg) of MOP. He is, therefore, that much more sensitive to an increase in the price of urea. Also, the decontrol in other fertilisers happened at a time when minimum support prices (MSP) were going up. Today, given falling global prices for agri-commodities, there isn't much scope for MSP increases to compensate for costlier urea.

As regards inefficient urea plants, there are those whose costs are high only because they are using imported liquefied natural gas (LNG) as feedstock. This is far more expensive, at $14-15 per MBTU, relative to the $5-6 for domestically produced gas. But there are also units with very high energy consumption requirements, which probably deserve to be shut down. The resultant production loss of 1.5-2 Mt can easily be covered by imports without really pushing up prices.

* What is the government's game plan?

Ideally, it would want to decontrol urea, which accounts for two-thirds of the annual fertiliser subsidy bill of Rs 100,000 crore-plus if one includes unpaid liabilities. But given the political costs involved, it is seeking to do this over three years or so. This period should suffice for having systems in place to credit subsidy payments directly into the Aadhaar-seeded bank accounts of every farmer based on proper identification and digitisation of land title records.

* How is this different from the existing nutrient-based subsidy (NBS) regime?

Under NBS, there is a fixed per-kg subsidy on each nutrient. Right now, it is, for example, Rs 20.875 for nitrogen (N), Rs 18.679 for phosphorous (P) and Rs 15.5 for potash (K). Based on this, the subsidy payable on DAP (which contains 18 per cent N and 46 per cent P) works out to Rs 12,350 a tonne, just as it is Rs 9,300 in the case of MOP. But this subsidy is today paid not to the farmer, but to the manufacturer who is also free to set the MRP. Besides, the NBS is not applicable on urea, whose MRP is fixed by the government.

In the proposed new NBS regime, the MRPs of all fertilisers, including urea, would be market-determined. Further, the subsidy will be paid directly to the farmer. Currently, farmers buy urea mainly because it is the cheapest fertiliser available. In a genuine NBS system, they would value urea basically for its high N (46 per cent) content. Further, they may increasingly demand fertiliser products customised to their specific crop needs or soil conditions, rather than blindly choosing urea or DAP.


The Indian Express, 22 January, 2015, http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-others/nutrient-facts/99/


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