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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Retail inflation inches up to 7% in August led by food price rise

Retail inflation inches up to 7% in August led by food price rise

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published Published on Sep 12, 2022   modified Modified on Sep 13, 2022

-The Hindu

The RBI has estimated a 7.1% inflation rate for the July to September quarter

India’s retail inflation touched 7% in August, up from 6.71% in July, fuelled by a 7.62% pick-up in food prices paid by consumers, even as industrial production growth in July had dropped to the lowest level since April at just 2.4%, with output levels dropping 2.75% month-on-month.  

This is the eighth successive month that retail inflation has stayed above the central bank’s upper tolerance threshold of 6% inflation for the economy, and constitutes a setback to households’ spending power among the poorer sections of the population. 

The combination of buoyant inflation and a tripping industrial recovery would make the central bank’s task trickier at the upcoming monetary policy review at the end of this month, where economists expect a fresh interest rate hike ranging from 35 to 50 basis points. One basis point equals 0.01%.

Rural inflation which was at 6.8% in July, saw a sharper rise than urban inflation in August, rising to 7.15%. Urban consumers’ inflation rate moved up from 6.49% in July to 6.72%. 

Consumer non-durables’ production dropped 2% in July from a 2.96% uptick in June. Capital goods production recorded the highest growth among use-based categories at 5.8%, but contracted sequentially in July by 6.7% from June levels. 

Rural stress

The low industrial growth is likely a function of the base effect, as the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) had grown 11.5% in July 2021. Deloitte India economist Rumki Majumdar linked the contraction in non-durable goods to rural households being under stress, which has impacted demand. 

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The Hindu, 12 September, 2022, https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/retail-inflation-inches-up-to-7-in-august-led-by-food-price-rise/article65882703.ece?homepage=true


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