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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Several Studies Using Diverse Methods Point to Undercounting of COVID-19 Deaths, Govt in Denial -Richa Chintan

Several Studies Using Diverse Methods Point to Undercounting of COVID-19 Deaths, Govt in Denial -Richa Chintan

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published Published on Jul 25, 2021   modified Modified on Jul 26, 2021

-Newsclick.in/ Leaflet.in

According to the recent estimates, the actual number of deaths in India due to COVID-19 could be in the range of 2.2 million to 4.9 million. Going by this, the actual number of deaths could be more than the officially reported deaths by a factor ranging from five to 11 times!

CORPES floating in the Ganges, long queues outside crematoriums, the crematoriums working overtime with several pyres burning simultaneously within an arm’s distance of each other, riverbeds strewn with numerous unmarked graves – these images from the second wave of the pandemic continue to be still haunting. Going by these images and the reality they represent, while journalists, experts, and academics are trying to arrive at realistic mortality figures, the government seems to be in denial.

As on July 24, 2021, the officially reported number of deaths since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic is 4,19,452 (0.42 million).

However, right from the first wave of the pandemic, there have been reports alleging undercounting of deaths. Many news reports have shown that across states, the officially reported deaths do not match the actual number of deaths captured through other informal means such as counting the number of dead bodies received by crematoriums and burial grounds. Over the past year or so, scholars have attempted to measure this discrepancy by coming up with modelling-based estimates.

The estimates of under-counting vary across studies but what emerges loud and clear is that the actual number of deaths is much higher than what the State would have us believe.

One of the most common methods of capturing the discrepancy between reported and actual deaths is calculating the excess mortality. Excess mortality refers to the number of deaths from all causes during a crisis above and beyond what we would have expected to see under ‘normal’ conditions.

The Hindu published a series of reports capturing excess deaths across select states and the excess deaths overshot the officially reported deaths by a factor ranging from 1.5 times to nearly seven times. The excess deaths were calculated based on the month-wise number of deaths registered in the Civil Registration System (CRS) from January 2018 to May 2021. 

Please click here to read more. 

(Data collation assistance by Peeyush Sharma)


Newsclick.in/ Leaflet.in, 25 July, 2021, https://www.newsclick.in/several-studies-using-diverse-methods-point-undercounting-covid-19-death-centre-still-denial


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