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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Slower growth and a tighter fiscal -C Rangarajan and DK Srivastava

Slower growth and a tighter fiscal -C Rangarajan and DK Srivastava

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published Published on May 9, 2020   modified Modified on May 9, 2020

-The Hindu

India slid into the pandemic crisis in the backdrop of economic downslide; fiscal stimulus has to be structured

The impact of COVID-19 will be debilitating for the global as well as the Indian economies. Various institutions have assessed India’s growth prospects for 2020-21 ranging from 0.8% (Fitch) to 4.0% (Asian Development Bank). This wide range indicates the extent of uncertainty and tentative nature of these forecasts. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected India’s growth at 1.9%, China’s at 1.2%, and the global growth at (-) 3.0%. The actual growth outcome for India would depend on: the speed at which the economy is opened up; the time it takes to contain the spread of virus, and, the government’s policy support.

Growth prospects

India slid into the novel coronavirus crisis on the back of a persistent economic downslide. There was a sustained fall in the saving and investment rates with unutilised capacity in the industrial sector. In 2019-20, there was a contraction in the Centre’s gross tax revenues in the first 11 months during April 2019 to February 2020, at (-) 0.8%. These trends continue to beset the Indian economy in this crisis.

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The Indian Express, 9 May, 2020, https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/slower-growth-and-a-tighter-fiscal/article31538125.ece


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