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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | With due respect, Finance Minister -Arun Kumar

With due respect, Finance Minister -Arun Kumar

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published Published on Nov 13, 2018   modified Modified on Nov 13, 2018
-The Indian Express

There has been only a marginal increase in the direct tax to GDP ratio after demonetisation. And the economy didn’t need to suffer for digitisation.

The government did not celebrate the second anniversary of demonetisation, one of its biggest policy initiatives. It has celebrated the anniversary of all other big policies. Why the diffidence?

The finance minister did come out with a statement listing the achievements of demonetisation. But his statement must be seen in light of the Minutes of the RBI Board Meeting on November 8, 2016, that recommended demonetisation. The Board had made it clear that demonetisation was not the way to tackle black money or counterfeit currency. Thus, two of the main objectives that were emphasised in the PM’s announcement on demonetisation were undermined the very day the policy was announced. No wonder, soon after it became clear the money was flooding into the banks, the government started talking of a cashless economy. And then it started talking about a less cash economy, digitisation and formalisation of the informal economy. It was said that these deposits would create a paper trail and black money generation would become difficult.

Initially, there was a spurt in the use of electronic means of transactions but this pace could not be sustained as more currency became available. The country had anyhow been slowly moving toward a less cash economy prior to demonetisation and this has continued. It was said that the government would restrict currency in circulation to less than what existed on November 7, 2016. But now the currency in circulation is about 10 per cent more than the Rs18 lakh crore that existed prior to demonetisation. To be fair, it is less than what it would have been if the increase in currency in circulation had continued at the pace prior to demonetisation.

The FM has cited three achievements of demonetisation. First, an increase in digital transactions. Second, expansion in the tax base with more people paying taxes. Third, the creation of paper trails that will make it difficult to generate black incomes in the future. Interestingly, echoing the RBI Board, he said confiscation of currency was not an objective of demonetisation.

The line earlier was that black money, held in the form of high denomination notes, would not return to banks since that would create paper trails. The then Attorney General had told the Supreme Court that Rs 3 to 4 lakh crore would not return to the banks. Soon it became clear that all the money would come back since those holding black money had worked out ways of converting their old notes to new notes. The government then started saying that was good since now the people who had deposited large sums of money could be investigated.

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The Indian Express, 12 November, 2018, https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/arun-jaitley-demonetisation-indian-economy-rbi-note-ban-5441626/?fbclid=IwAR162A8oJXvOn_71xxh0rUH0cvAhvAQwltm_P


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