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'description' => '<p style="text-align:justify">-The Hindu</p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><em>It requires co-ordination across States and districts, based on real-time analysis of data</em></p>
<p style="text-align:justify">As the focus shifts to a possible third wave, it is important for India to ask how it can marshal its resources better. Can we leverage the advantages of our size and federal character?</p>
<p style="text-align:justify">Delhi’s experience is instructive. As the first wave abated, hospitalisation for COVID-19 patients plummeted. By January 2021, Delhi was using less than 20% of its bed capacity for COVID-19 patients. It then made the fateful decision, at the beginning of February, to reduce bed capacity back to its usual level of just above 5,000. The decision paid off till mid-March and then the system collapsed. As the second wave hit, bed occupancy went from 33% to over 90% in the first three weeks of April. The government responded rapidly, ramping up bed capacity (faster than what was seen in China or New York City) to more than the previous peak, but it could not keep up with the surge. Equally, as the surge subsided over an 18-day period, utilisation of government hospital beds went rapidly back to 30%, even as infections spread to many other areas with a shortage of key infrastructure. The fact is that it is extremely hard to ramp up capacity in response to the kind of surge that we saw in April 2021, and next to impossible to staff the additional capacity adequately. It is also true that all governments are under pressure to scale down capacity, if augmented capacity remains unused for a long period of time.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><em>Elastic health infrastructure</em></p>
<p style="text-align:justify">Delhi’s experience highlights two important issues. First, COVID-19 waves require the health infrastructure to be elastic (i.e. expand and contract based on need) and often over a very short period. Second, demand for COVID-19-specific health infrastructure is spatially varied. If cities, districts and States see in surge in cases at different points in time, does health capacity at a location need to be fixed or can it vary over time and across geography?</p>
<p style="text-align:justify">Preparing for the third wave thus requires us to think differently about health infrastructure, and focus on where we need to build capacity locally and where we can move capacity in response to a surge.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify">The response depends, in part, on the geography of COVID-19. When we look at the data, we uncover one key fact: in the second wave, COVID-19 returned to many of the districts affected in the first wave, a group that we call the ‘permanently at risk’ districts. There were 145 districts that accounted for 75% of the cases during the first wave. Strikingly, the same districts accounted for up to 80% of cases during the second wave. Of these, 45 districts accounted for 50% of the cases during the first surge and even more in the initial days of the second. The characteristics of these districts in terms of population size, density and mobility make them susceptible to rapid spread. An epidemiological question is why this happens if such districts have herd immunity, from prior infection and vaccination. One answer, as shown in models developed by the Tata Institute of Fundamental Research, is that if vaccination is only partly efficacious, as recent CMC Vellore results indicate, even limited reinfection and a more transmissible variant can lead to a large surge — and a potential third wave in the ‘permanently at risk’ districts. These ‘permanently at risk’ districts thus need reserve capacity and resources to be expanded to track and detect potential surges at an early stage.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/countering-the-next-wave-of-covid-19/article35007593.ece">click here</a> to read more. </p>
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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Countering the next wave of COVID-19 -Yamini Aiyar, Jishnu Das, Partha Mukhopadhya and Shamindra Nath Roy </title>
<meta name="description" content="-The Hindu
It requires co-ordination across States and districts, based on real-time analysis of data
As the focus shifts to a possible third wave, it is important for India to ask how it can marshal its resources better. Can we leverage the..."/>
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It requires co-ordination across States and districts, based on real-time analysis of data
As the focus shifts to a possible third wave, it is important for India to ask how it can marshal its resources better. Can we leverage the..." />
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<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-The Hindu
It requires co-ordination across States and districts, based on real-time analysis of data
As the focus shifts to a possible third wave, it is important for India to ask how it can marshal its resources better. Can we leverage the advantages of our size and...</p>
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<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Down to Earth
There is scientific consensus that rapid and deep cuts to emissions in this decade, and not later, will avoid scenarios of uncontrollable warming and high mitigation costs later this century
Most countries have set a target timeline — 2030 is the commonly chosen horizon...</p>
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<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Down to Earth
Scarcity, conservation, equitable and fair use of limited resources does not apply to them.
Migration is an important phenomenon with considerable social, economic and cultural implications. The ‘ghost-villages’ of Uttarakhand are well-known, abandoned by the local population who had left in search of employment,...</p>
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<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Scroll.in
Erendro Leichombam’s father said he had been in detention for 40 days on flimsy charges.
The father of Erendro Leichombam, an activist from Manipur, on Monday moved the Supreme Court against his detention under the National Security Act, Bar and Bench reported.
Leichombam and journalist Kishorchandra Wangkhem...</p>
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<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Firstpost.com
For marginalised communities, modern education is a precious asset and a way for acquiring socio-economic mobility in an unequal society
In the past few weeks, several students belonging to marginalised communities such as Scheduled Castes (SCs) and Scheduled Tribes (STs) have received offers to study in...</p>
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It requires co-ordination across States and districts, based on real-time analysis of data
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<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/countering-the-next-wave-of-covid-19-yamini-aiyar-jishnu-das-partha-mukhopadhya-and-shamindra-nath-roy.html" target="_blank">Countering the next wave of COVID-19 -Yamini Aiyar, Jishnu Das, Partha Mukhopadhya and Shamindra Nath Roy</a>
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<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-The Hindu
It requires co-ordination across States and districts, based on real-time analysis of data
As the focus shifts to a possible third wave, it is important for India to ask how it can marshal its resources better. Can we leverage the advantages of our size and...</p>
<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/countering-the-next-wave-of-covid-19-yamini-aiyar-jishnu-das-partha-mukhopadhya-and-shamindra-nath-roy.html"
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<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/act-now-how-climate-action-in-this-decade-can-prevent-catastrophic-global-warming-later-avantika-goswami.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Act now : How climate action in this decade can prevent catastrophic global warming later -Avantika Goswami</strong></a>
<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Down to Earth
There is scientific consensus that rapid and deep cuts to emissions in this decade, and not later, will avoid scenarios of uncontrollable warming and high mitigation costs later this century
Most countries have set a target timeline — 2030 is the commonly chosen horizon...</p>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/uttarakhand-lets-in-migrants-bring-city-drop-sustainability-romola-butalia.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Uttarakhand lets in: Migrants bring city, drop sustainability -Romola Butalia</strong></a>
<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Down to Earth
Scarcity, conservation, equitable and fair use of limited resources does not apply to them.
Migration is an important phenomenon with considerable social, economic and cultural implications. The ‘ghost-villages’ of Uttarakhand are well-known, abandoned by the local population who had left in search of employment,...</p>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/plea-in-sc-challenges-detention-of-manipur-activist-booked-under-nsa-for-criticising-bjp.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Plea in SC challenges detention of Manipur activist booked under NSA for criticising BJP </strong></a>
<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Scroll.in
Erendro Leichombam’s father said he had been in detention for 40 days on flimsy charges.
The father of Erendro Leichombam, an activist from Manipur, on Monday moved the Supreme Court against his detention under the National Security Act, Bar and Bench reported.
Leichombam and journalist Kishorchandra Wangkhem...</p>
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<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Firstpost.com
For marginalised communities, modern education is a precious asset and a way for acquiring socio-economic mobility in an unequal society
In the past few weeks, several students belonging to marginalised communities such as Scheduled Castes (SCs) and Scheduled Tribes (STs) have received offers to study in...</p>
<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/national-overseas-scholarship-state-must-undertake-vast-expansion-of-scheme-will-benefit-nation-in-long-run-vivek-kumar-singh.html"
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<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/countering-the-next-wave-of-covid-19-yamini-aiyar-jishnu-das-partha-mukhopadhya-and-shamindra-nath-roy.html" target="_blank">Countering the next wave of COVID-19 -Yamini Aiyar, Jishnu Das, Partha Mukhopadhya and Shamindra Nath Roy</a>
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<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-The Hindu
It requires co-ordination across States and districts, based on real-time analysis of data
As the focus shifts to a possible third wave, it is important for India to ask how it can marshal its resources better. Can we leverage the advantages of our size and...</p>
<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/countering-the-next-wave-of-covid-19-yamini-aiyar-jishnu-das-partha-mukhopadhya-and-shamindra-nath-roy.html"
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<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Down to Earth
There is scientific consensus that rapid and deep cuts to emissions in this decade, and not later, will avoid scenarios of uncontrollable warming and high mitigation costs later this century
Most countries have set a target timeline — 2030 is the commonly chosen horizon...</p>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/uttarakhand-lets-in-migrants-bring-city-drop-sustainability-romola-butalia.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Uttarakhand lets in: Migrants bring city, drop sustainability -Romola Butalia</strong></a>
<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Down to Earth
Scarcity, conservation, equitable and fair use of limited resources does not apply to them.
Migration is an important phenomenon with considerable social, economic and cultural implications. The ‘ghost-villages’ of Uttarakhand are well-known, abandoned by the local population who had left in search of employment,...</p>
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<a href="https://im4change.in/latest-news-updates/plea-in-sc-challenges-detention-of-manipur-activist-booked-under-nsa-for-criticising-bjp.html" target="_blank"><strong style="" >Plea in SC challenges detention of Manipur activist booked under NSA for criticising BJP </strong></a>
<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Scroll.in
Erendro Leichombam’s father said he had been in detention for 40 days on flimsy charges.
The father of Erendro Leichombam, an activist from Manipur, on Monday moved the Supreme Court against his detention under the National Security Act, Bar and Bench reported.
Leichombam and journalist Kishorchandra Wangkhem...</p>
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<br><small>June 28, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Firstpost.com
For marginalised communities, modern education is a precious asset and a way for acquiring socio-economic mobility in an unequal society
In the past few weeks, several students belonging to marginalised communities such as Scheduled Castes (SCs) and Scheduled Tribes (STs) have received offers to study in...</p>
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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Countering the next wave of COVID-19 -Yamini Aiyar, Jishnu Das, Partha Mukhopadhya and Shamindra Nath Roy
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It requires co-ordination across States and districts, based on real-time analysis of data
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There is scientific consensus that rapid and deep cuts to emissions in this decade, and not later, will avoid scenarios of uncontrollable warming and high mitigation costs later this century
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Scarcity, conservation, equitable and fair use of limited resources does not apply to them.
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