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Statisticians dismiss concerns on growth numbers raised by NSSO study: Report

-MoneyControl.com A government official defended the calculations saying that since the tax collections match up with the database, it is not unusable. Prominent statisticians have dismissed fresh concerns on growth projections raised by a National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) study. An article in The Hindu quoted statisticians as saying the discrepancies pointed out by NSSO in the new Ministry of Corporate Affairs (MCA-21) database will have no major impact on growth. The government...

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Growth in Agri GVA deflator saw a rising trend between 2005-06 & 2009-10, despite using different sources of back-series data

  The year-on-year (y-o-y) growth rate in Agri gross value added (GVA) deflator (an alternative measure of inflation) shows a rising trend between 2005-06 and 2009-10. In other words, price rise pertaining to the agrarian sector accelerated during the period under discussion. This particular trend has been observed irrespective of whether one uses the GVA/GDP back-series data (Base 2011-12=100) that was computed by the National Institution for Transforming India Aayog (NITI Aayog)...

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Growth in Agri GVA deflator shows a declining trend in comparison to growth in other sectoral GVA deflators

Recent studies and media reports have confirmed that Indian farmers are facing non-remunerative and sometimes falling prices. A past news alert by the Inclusive Media for Change team indicated deflation in wholesale prices of 8 kharif crops (viz. maize, arhar, moong, urad, groundnut, soybean, sunflower seed and Niger seed) on average between 2016-17 and 2018-19. Based on data analysis, that news alert also demonstrated how the rural areas have witnessed...

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Deepening slowdown: on the Indian economy

-The Hindu Can the RBI’s reduction in borrowing costs help check the demand slowdown? India’s economy is inarguably slowing, and the latest estimates from the Central Statistics Office disconcertingly point to a deepening slowdown. GDP growth is projected to have eased to 6.6% in the October-December period. With the CSO now forecasting the full-year expansion at 7%, fiscal fourth-quarter growth is implicitly pegged at an even slower 6.5%. At that level, growth...

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India's Agriculture Export Policy: Incidence of non-tariff measures increasing, little understanding of existing restrictions -Seema Bathla & Abhishek Jha

-Financial Express For this, there is a need to have scientific research and adequate data to establish a case. The Cabinet approved the first Agriculture Export Policy in December 2018, with the aim to double farmers’ incomes and increase agricultural exports to $60 billion by 2022. The policy also focuses on a stable trade regime, diversify exports by products and destinations, and promote perishables and high value-added products. In fact, a sum...

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