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Will Indian Agriculture Come out Relatively Unscathed in FY'21? -Siraj Hussain and Jugal Mohapatra

-TheWire.in The outlook for kharif 2020 contains a few good signs, but much will depend on the monsoon. Since the harvesting of most rabi crops was completed in time, despite the nationwide lockdown from March 24 onwards, an impression has gained ground that all is well with Indian agriculture. It is true that due to extraordinary efforts made by government machinery, procurement of wheat in Punjab, Haryana and Madhya Pradesh has been more...

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Deccan farmers may face long dry spells in June, July like last year -Priscilla Jebaraj

-The Hindu North east coast also to have below normal rainfall; good rains in western States While the India Meteorological Department has predicted a Normal Monsoon, spatial forecast models show wide variations in rainfall across the country which can have dire implications for farmers, especially on the north eastern coast and the dryland areas of the Deccan. For instance, there are likely to be long dry spells and low rainfall in June and...

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Farmers stare at another loss despite good rains. They need a boost from govt -Richard Mahapatra

-Down to Earth Indian farmers have accumulated huge debts due to crop damages and less remunerative price for produce When the National Statistical Office released the advance estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the 2019-20 fiscal year, the optimism for farmers — with an above-Normal Monsoon — fizzled out. India’s GDP growth for the current financial year was pegged at 5 per cent, the lowest in 11 years. In 2018-19, the...

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Excess rain washes out IMD's methods -Jacob Koshy

-The Hindu New dynamical model failed to forecast August-September deluge. While India this year may have recorded its highest monsoon rain in 25 years, an analysis suggests that new monsoon models, called the Monsoon Mission Coupled Forecast Model (CFS), deployed by the IMD over the last decade don’t do better than the older ones in long-range forecasting. This year, India ended up with 10% more monsoon rain (or 110% of the long...

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The perpetual El Nino -Jatin Singh

-The Telegraph Below-normal and drought are the new normal. Since 2012 there has only been one Normal Monsoon. Monsoons follow their own patterns, unpredictable as they may be. In the past, certain periods, spanning a decade or sometimes two, have had higher frequencies of droughts and at the moment, we seem to be stuck in such a cycle. Between 1900 and the year 2000, there was one drought per decade. But...

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