-The Indian Express The Union budget should focus on enhancing credit flows to the small and marginal farmers, increase investment in health and education. The first advance estimates of GDP for 2020-21 are much better than the earlier market consensus and shows the inherent strengths of the Indian economy. The economy is expected to contract by 7.7 per cent implying a COVID-19 induced loss of Rs 9.61 lakh crore in real terms...
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RBI Warns Gross NPAs of Banks May Escalate to 14.8% in September in Absence of Adequate Capital
-Moneylife.in While highlighting the need for proactive building up of adequate capital for banks to withstand possible asset quality deterioration, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has warned that the gross non-performing assets (GNPAs) of scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) may escalate to 14.8% under a severe stress scenario. In its financial stability report (FSR), the central bank says, "Macro stress tests incorporating the first advance estimates of gross domestic product (GDP) for...
More »How India could spend its way out of the Great Recession -Nikita Kwatra and Pramit Bhattacharya
-Livemint.com The government will have to ensure its spending improves economy-wide productivity, and its own revenue-generating capacity, to avoid a stagflationary trap After dithering on a fiscal stimulus package for nearly a year, India’s finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman has declared that she will not allow the fiscal deficit number to worry her too much as she pushes spending to revive growth in the upcoming budget. The government hopes that growth will generate higher...
More »Seven key takeaways from India’s latest GDP data -Udit Misra
-The Indian Express India’s GDP 2020-21: This year, India’s per capita GDP, per capita private consumption and the level of investments in the economy — all will fall to levels last seen in 2016-17 or earlier, reveals latest official GDP data. On Thursday, the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation released the First Advance Estimates (FAE) for the current financial year. According to MoSPI, India’s gross domestic product (GDP) — the total...
More »The awkward myth of a revival in the country’s rural economy -Himanshu
-Livemint.com Low incomes and poor farm-gate prices capture the reality of relentless distress in our hinterland National accounts data released last month estimated that the economy has contracted by 7.5% in the second quarter of 2020-21 compared to last year. For many, this was a sign of recovery, given expectations that India’s gross domestic product (GDP) would contract by around 10%. It is, no doubt, an improvement from the 23.9% GDP decline...
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